update pay ui

This commit is contained in:
2025-12-05 13:29:18 +08:00
parent 20994cfb13
commit 48d9c76c5e
1008 changed files with 417880 additions and 486974 deletions

View File

@@ -0,0 +1,680 @@
<!DOCTYPE html>
<html lang="zh-CN" data-theme="night">
<head>
<meta charset="UTF-8">
<meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1.0">
<title>光伏产业链 - 深度行业研究报告</title>
<script src="https://cdn.tailwindcss.com"></script>
<link href="https://cdn.jsdelivr.net/npm/daisyui@4.10.1/dist/full.min.css" rel="stylesheet" type="text/css" />
<script defer src="https://cdn.jsdelivr.net/npm/alpinejs@3.x.x/dist/cdn.min.js"></script>
<script src="https://cdn.jsdelivr.net/npm/echarts@5.5.0/dist/echarts.min.js"></script>
<link rel="preconnect" href="https://fonts.googleapis.com">
<link rel="preconnect" href="https://fonts.gstatic.com" crossorigin>
<link href="https://fonts.googleapis.com/css2?family=Poppins:wght@300;400;600;700&family=Space+Mono:wght@400;700&display=swap" rel="stylesheet">
<style>
:root {
--glow-color-1: rgba(0, 255, 255, 0.3);
--glow-color-2: rgba(255, 0, 255, 0.3);
--glass-bg: rgba(20, 20, 40, 0.5);
--border-color: rgba(100, 100, 200, 0.3);
}
body {
font-family: 'Poppins', sans-serif;
background-color: #0a0a1a;
background-image:
radial-gradient(circle at 25% 30%, var(--glow-color-1) 0%, transparent 40%),
radial-gradient(circle at 75% 70%, var(--glow-color-2) 0%, transparent 40%);
background-attachment: fixed;
color: #e0e0ff;
}
.fui-container {
max-width: 1400px;
margin: auto;
padding: 2rem;
}
.glass-card {
background: var(--glass-bg);
backdrop-filter: blur(16px) saturate(180%);
-webkit-backdrop-filter: blur(16px) saturate(180%);
border: 1px solid var(--border-color);
border-radius: 24px;
transition: all 0.3s ease;
position: relative;
overflow: hidden;
}
.glass-card:before {
content: '';
position: absolute;
top: 0;
left: 0;
right: 0;
bottom: 0;
background-image: radial-gradient(circle at 100% 0%, rgba(150, 150, 255, 0.15) 0%, transparent 30%);
opacity: 0;
transition: opacity 0.5s ease;
pointer-events: none;
}
.glass-card:hover:before {
opacity: 1;
}
.glass-card:hover {
transform: translateY(-5px);
box-shadow: 0 20px 40px rgba(0,0,0,0.2), 0 0 30px var(--glow-color-1);
}
.bento-grid {
display: grid;
gap: 1.5rem;
grid-template-columns: repeat(auto-fit, minmax(300px, 1fr));
}
h1, h2, h3, h4, .font-fui {
font-family: 'Space Mono', monospace;
text-shadow: 0 0 8px rgba(0, 255, 255, 0.5);
}
.section-title {
display: flex;
align-items: center;
gap: 0.75rem;
font-size: 2.25rem;
line-height: 2.5rem;
margin-bottom: 2rem;
color: #c0c0ff;
}
.section-title svg {
stroke: #00ffff;
filter: drop-shadow(0 0 5px #00ffff);
}
.daisy-table {
background-color: transparent !important;
}
.daisy-table th, .daisy-table td {
background-color: transparent !important;
border-color: var(--border-color) !important;
}
.daisy-table tr:hover {
background-color: rgba(100, 100, 200, 0.1) !important;
}
.collapse-title {
background-color: rgba(40, 40, 80, 0.3) !important;
font-family: 'Space Mono', monospace;
font-size: 1.1rem;
}
.collapse-content {
background-color: rgba(20, 20, 40, 0.3) !important;
}
.tag {
display: inline-block;
padding: 0.25rem 0.75rem;
border-radius: 9999px;
font-size: 0.75rem;
font-weight: 600;
background-color: rgba(0, 255, 255, 0.1);
color: #00ffff;
border: 1px solid rgba(0, 255, 255, 0.3);
margin: 0.1rem;
}
</style>
</head>
<body class="min-h-screen">
<div class="fui-container" x-data="{}">
<header class="text-center py-8">
<h1 class="text-5xl font-bold text-cyan-300 tracking-widest">光伏产业链</h1>
<p class="mt-4 text-lg text-purple-300">深度行业研究报告</p>
<p class="text-sm mt-2 text-gray-400">北京价值前沿科技有限公司 AI投研agent“价小前投研” 进行投研呈现<br>本报告为AI合成数据投资需谨慎。</p>
</header>
<main class="space-y-12">
<!-- Concept Insight -->
<section id="insight">
<div class="glass-card p-8">
<h2 class="section-title">
<svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" class="h-8 w-8" fill="none" viewBox="0 0 24 24" stroke="currentColor"><path stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" stroke-width="2" d="M9.663 17h4.673M12 3v1m6.364 1.636l-.707.707M21 12h-1M4 12H3m3.343-5.657l-.707-.707m2.828 9.9a5 5 0 117.072 0l-.548.547A3.374 3.374 0 0014 18.469V19a2 2 0 11-4 0v-.531c0-.895-.356-1.754-.988-2.386l-.548-.547z" /></svg>
概念核心洞察
</h2>
<div class="space-y-6">
<article class="p-6 bg-black bg-opacity-20 rounded-xl border border-transparent hover:border-cyan-400/50 transition-colors">
<h3 class="text-xl font-fui text-cyan-300 mb-2">0. 概念事件:周期调整与行业自救</h3>
<p class="text-gray-300 leading-relaxed">光伏产业链在2024至2025年间经历了一场深刻的周期性调整其核心叙事围绕着**产能严重过剩、价格非理性下跌、行业自救(“反内卷”)以及技术迭代**展开。从2024年Q2全线跌破生产成本到Q3跌破现金成本行业进入残酷的生存战。转折点出现在2024年底至2025年初行业自律会议与供给侧改革预期推动价格探涨。2025年Q1因“抢装潮”出现短期需求扰动但Q2再度探底。最终在2025年Q3以“不低于成本销售”为核心的“反内卷”共识成为标志性事件硅料、硅片企业强制性提价推动产业链进入被动修复阶段行业格局开始向“剩者为王”与“技术为王”分化。</p>
</article>
<div class="collapse collapse-plus glass-card">
<input type="radio" name="insight-accordion" checked="checked" />
<div class="collapse-title text-xl font-medium">1. 核心观点摘要</div>
<div class="collapse-content p-6">
<p>光伏产业链正处于**周期底部的出清阶段**,其核心驱动力已从过去的需求高增转变为**供给侧的强制性收缩与市场化淘汰**。当前市场正经历由政策和行业自律主导的“反内卷”行情但这并不意味着基本面全面反转真正的复苏将取决于落后产能的实质性退出和新技术如BC电池的商业化落地行业正从“普涨”走向**“剩者为王”与“技术为王”**的结构性分化。</p>
</div>
</div>
<div class="collapse collapse-plus glass-card">
<input type="radio" name="insight-accordion" />
<div class="collapse-title text-xl font-medium">2. 核心逻辑与市场认知分析</div>
<div class="collapse-content p-6 space-y-4">
<div>
<h4 class="text-lg font-semibold text-purple-300">核心驱动力:供给侧改革</h4>
<p>当前支撑光伏概念的核心逻辑是供给侧改革,包含两个层面:一是长达半年的现金亏损驱动的**市场化出清**;二是行业协会与监管层推动的**“反内卷”**行动,核心是“不低于全成本销售”的价格同盟。驱动力已从“降本增效”的成长叙事,转变为“去产能、保利润”的周期反转叙事。</p>
</div>
<div>
<h4 class="text-lg font-semibold text-purple-300">市场热度与情绪:底部博弈</h4>
<p>市场高度关注,但情绪复杂,呈现典型的“底部博弈”特征。乐观方认为最坏时期已过,估值低位具备反弹动力;谨慎方则认为彻底出清仍需时日,对“反内卷”的持续性存疑。市场情绪在“政策底已现”和“市场底未明”之间摇摆。</p>
</div>
<div>
<h4 class="text-lg font-semibold text-purple-300">预期差分析</h4>
<ul class="list-disc list-inside space-y-2 pl-4 text-gray-300">
<li><strong class="text-white">价格上涨 vs. 真实盈利:</strong>市场关注报价上涨,但忽略了多个环节单瓦盈利仍为负值。预期差在于:价格反弹不等于立即盈利,恢复盈利尚需时日和需求配合。</li>
<li><strong class="text-white">“反内卷”口号 vs. 执行落地:</strong>市场期待协同行动,但龙头企业间存在利益博弈(如低成本企业减产意愿不强)。预期差在于:市场可能高估了行业自律的协同性,低估了出清过程的复杂性。</li>
<li><strong class="text-white">技术路线共识与分歧:</strong>市场普遍认知TOPCon是主流但对下一代技术BC vs. HJT路径存分歧。预期差在于对BC技术替代TOPCon的速度和广度存在争议而这恰是未来龙头分化的关键。</li>
</ul>
</div>
</div>
</div>
<div class="collapse collapse-plus glass-card">
<input type="radio" name="insight-accordion" />
<div class="collapse-title text-xl font-medium">3. 关键催化剂与未来发展路径</div>
<div class="collapse-content p-6 space-y-4">
<div>
<h4 class="text-lg font-semibold text-purple-300">近期催化剂 (未来3-6个月)</h4>
<ul class="list-disc list-inside space-y-2 pl-4">
<li>供给侧改革政策细化与落地(如产能、能耗限制,硅料收储方案)。</li>
<li>龙头企业Q3/Q4财报验证毛利率和现金流是否实质性改善。</li>
<li>BC技术成本与良率突破验证其领先性。</li>
<li>海外(欧美)库存去化结束,新订单回升的明确数据。</li>
</ul>
</div>
<div>
<h4 class="text-lg font-semibold text-purple-300">长期发展路径</h4>
<ol class="list-decimal list-inside space-y-2 pl-4">
<li><strong class="text-white">出清整合期 (当前-2025年底)</strong>通过市场化与行政化手段淘汰落后产能,行业出现大规模并购重组。</li>
<li><strong class="text-white">技术分化期 (2025-2026年)</strong>TOPCon红利见顶BC技术大规模渗透市场份额向BC龙头集中。</li>
<li><strong class="text-white">盈利修复与新增长期 (2026年以后)</strong>供需恢复健康,增长驱动力转向技术溢价和差异化竞争。</li>
</ol>
</div>
</div>
</div>
<div class="collapse collapse-plus glass-card">
<input type="radio" name="insight-accordion" />
<div class="collapse-title text-xl font-medium">4. 产业链与核心公司深度剖析</div>
<div class="collapse-content p-6 space-y-4">
<div class="bento-grid">
<div class="glass-card p-4 rounded-lg col-span-1 md:col-span-2">
<h4 class="font-fui text-purple-300 mb-2">产业链图谱</h4>
<p><strong>上游:</strong> 硅料 (通威、大全), 硅片 (隆基、TCL中环), 石英砂/坩埚 (石英股份、欧晶科技)</p>
<p><strong>中游:</strong> 电池片 (TOPCon: 晶科、钧达; BC: 隆基、爱旭; HJT: 爱康), 组件 (隆基、晶科、晶澳)</p>
<p><strong>辅材:</strong> 玻璃 (福莱特), 胶膜 (福斯特), 银浆 (聚和材料), 逆变器 (阳光电源)</p>
<p><strong>设备:</strong> 单晶炉 (晶盛机电), 激光设备 (帝尔激光), 串焊机 (奥特维)</p>
</div>
<div class="glass-card p-4 rounded-lg">
<h4 class="font-fui text-purple-300 mb-2">BC技术双雄隆基 vs. 爱旭</h4>
<p><strong>隆基绿能:</strong> 市场领导者,品牌、渠道、规模优势。风险在于体量大,转型链条长。</p>
<p><strong>爱旭股份:</strong> 技术先行者逻辑最纯全力押注BC。Q2已盈利。风险在于规模和品牌力相对较弱。</p>
</div>
<div class="glass-card p-4 rounded-lg">
<h4 class="font-fui text-purple-300 mb-2">TOPCon一体化龙头晶科 vs. 钧达</h4>
<p><strong>晶科能源:</strong> 全球组件龙头规模巨大全球化布局。保留BC技术跟随能力。</p>
<p><strong>钧达股份:</strong> 纯粹TOPCon电池供应商弹性最大。风险在于业务单一受环节景气度影响大。</p>
</div>
<div class="glass-card p-4 rounded-lg col-span-1 md:col-span-2">
<h4 class="font-fui text-purple-300 mb-2">信息交叉验证与风险点</h4>
<p><strong>验证:</strong>路演中“供给端加速出清”逻辑,被后续新闻中企业停产、开工率下降所验证。</p>
<p><strong>证伪/风险:</strong>新闻数据估算多个环节仍负盈利,警示“价格修复不等于盈利修复”。部分研报和新闻数据对组件盈利能力的判断存在矛盾,需警惕其盈利能力可能不如预期乐观。</p>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
<div class="collapse collapse-plus glass-card">
<input type="radio" name="insight-accordion" />
<div class="collapse-title text-xl font-medium">5. 潜在风险与挑战</div>
<div class="collapse-content p-6 space-y-4">
<ul class="list-disc list-inside space-y-2 pl-4">
<li><strong>技术风险:</strong> BC技术降本速度不及预期颗粒硅质量争议钙钛矿商业化进程缓慢。</li>
<li><strong>商业化风险:</strong> “反内卷”价格同盟脆弱性,可能因需求不济或龙头博弈而瓦解;全球宏观经济与电网消纳问题导致需求不及预期。</li>
<li><strong>政策与竞争风险:</strong> 供给侧改革政策执行力度不确定;国际贸易壁垒(如美国“双反”)持续构成威胁。</li>
<li><strong>信息交叉验证风险:</strong> 行业产能统计数据混乱且存在矛盾,投资者需审慎看待单一来源数据;剧烈波动市场中,静态盈利判断极易失效。</li>
</ul>
</div>
</div>
<div class="collapse collapse-plus glass-card">
<input type="radio" name="insight-accordion" />
<div class="collapse-title text-xl font-medium">6. 综合结论与投资启示</div>
<div class="collapse-content p-6 space-y-4">
<p><strong>综合结论:</strong> 光伏产业链已进入由基本面驱动的残酷淘汰赛阶段。“反内卷”提价是“止血”手段,但非“治本”良药。投资逻辑需从“水涨船高”的板块式思维,转向精选个股。</p>
<div>
<h4 class="text-lg font-semibold text-purple-300">最具投资价值的细分环节与方向</h4>
<ol class="list-decimal list-inside space-y-2 pl-4">
<li><strong>新技术引领者 (BC电池产业链):</strong> 最具颠覆潜力和alpha机会的方向。核心标的包括电池/组件龙头 (爱旭股份、隆基绿能) 及绑定的设备 (帝尔激光) 和材料。</li>
<li><strong>辅材领域的“隐形冠军”:</strong> 竞争格局更优、技术壁垒更高的环节可能率先企稳,如光伏银浆 (聚和材料) 和光伏玻璃双寡头 (福莱特)。</li>
<li><strong>成本极致领先的龙头:</strong> 在出清周期中,拥有最低现金成本的企业最终将受益于行业集中度提升,是“剩者为王”的逻辑。</li>
</ol>
</div>
<div>
<h4 class="text-lg font-semibold text-purple-300">需重点跟踪的关键指标</h4>
<ul class="list-disc list-inside space-y-2 pl-4">
<li><strong>库存周转天数:</strong> 尤其欧洲市场,是真实需求复苏的领先指标。</li>
<li><strong>各环节产能利用率:</strong> 是供需关系改善的直接证据。</li>
<li><strong>龙头企业毛利率与现金流:</strong> 是确认盈利拐点的信号。</li>
<li><strong>BC电池非硅成本:</strong> 验证其相对TOPCon的成本竞争力。</li>
<li><strong>二三线企业退出信号:</strong> 债务违约、项目终止、被并购等事件。</li>
</ul>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</section>
<!-- Price Dynamics Dashboard -->
<section id="price-dynamics">
<h2 class="section-title">
<svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" class="h-8 w-8" fill="none" viewBox="0 0 24 24" stroke="currentColor"><path stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" stroke-width="2" d="M13 7h8m0 0v8m0-8l-8 8-4-4-6 6" /></svg>
产业链价格动态仪表盘
</h2>
<div class="glass-card p-8">
<div id="priceChart" style="width: 100%; height: 500px;"></div>
</div>
</section>
<!-- Supporting Data -->
<section id="supporting-data">
<h2 class="section-title">
<svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" class="h-8 w-8" fill="none" viewBox="0 0 24 24" stroke="currentColor"><path stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" stroke-width="2" d="M9 17v-2m3 2v-4m3 4v-6m2 10H7a2 2 0 01-2-2V7a2 2 0 012-2h5.586a1 1 0 01.707.293l5.414 5.414a1 1 0 01.293.707V19a2 2 0 01-2 2z" /></svg>
核心数据支撑
</h2>
<div class="space-y-4">
<div class="collapse collapse-arrow glass-card">
<input type="checkbox" />
<div class="collapse-title text-xl font-medium">新闻数据精要</div>
<div class="collapse-content p-4 space-y-2">
<p><strong>行业趋势:</strong>行业去产能进行中,产业链价格有望筑底,但供需平衡仍需时日。板块估值处历史低位。行业自律“反内卷”成为主线,硅料、硅片率先提价响应。</p>
<p><strong>市场需求:</strong>国内装机需求动力蓬勃,但短期面临库存高位与需求疲弱双重压力。分布式“抢装潮”曾引发短期价格波动。</p>
<p><strong>价格动态:</strong>硅料价格在经历谷底后受“反内卷”影响大幅上调25-35%。硅片、电池片、组件价格随之探涨,但终端传导仍存压力,多个环节盈利估算仍为负。</p>
<p><strong>政策动态:</strong>国家支持新能源市场准入;地方层面(益阳、江苏、海南)出台政策支持光伏发展与电价竞价;越南允许屋顶光伏余电上网。</p>
</div>
</div>
<div class="collapse collapse-arrow glass-card">
<input type="checkbox" />
<div class="collapse-title text-xl font-medium">路演观点洞察</div>
<div class="collapse-content p-4 space-y-2">
<p><strong>供需与出清:</strong>供给端加速出清减产、融资收紧、地方支持退坡。24年H2盈利修复可期龙头优势凸显。市场化出清叠加能效标准提升加速淘汰落后产能。</p>
<p><strong>技术路线之争:</strong>BC技术被视为下一代核心方向与TOPCon成本差距缩小功率优势明显隆基、爱旭资本开支聚焦BC。HJT在特定场景有结构性机会但扩产受限。颗粒硅存在质量争议。</p>
<p><strong>盈利与成本:</strong>产业链价格跌破现金成本后行业自救开启。硅料报价已覆盖全成本。BC路线的爱旭股份Q2率先扭亏为盈显示结构性复苏。辅材环节胶膜、银浆龙头盈利相对稳定。</p>
<p><strong>市场信号:</strong>多晶硅期货价格成为市场情绪风向标。“反内卷”下,收储传闻与行业协会限产会议成为重要催化剂。</p>
</div>
</div>
<div class="collapse collapse-arrow glass-card">
<input type="checkbox" />
<div class="collapse-title text-xl font-medium">研报核心数据</div>
<div class="collapse-content p-4 space-y-2">
<p><strong>产能过剩:</strong>2023年中国光伏各环节有效产能严重过剩扩产显著降速。2024年行业开启新一轮去产能周期。</p>
<p><strong>技术迭代:</strong>n型电池(TOPCon+HJT)市占率快速增加。2023年TOPCon市占率达23.0%。BC、钙钛矿等新技术效率记录不断刷新。</p>
<p><strong>成本结构:</strong>光伏电池约占组件成本的61.2%。辅材中,光伏玻璃(信义、福莱特)和胶膜(福斯特)呈现寡头格局。</p>
<p><strong>价格周期:</strong>2024年Q2全线跌破生产成本Q3跌破现金成本。Q3末价格接近止跌企稳跌幅收窄。</p>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</section>
<!-- Rise Analysis -->
<section id="rise-analysis">
<h2 class="section-title">
<svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" class="h-8 w-8" fill="none" viewBox="0 0 24 24" stroke="currentColor"><path stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" stroke-width="2" d="M17 13l-5 5m0 0l-5-5m5 5V6" /></svg>
相关个股异动分析
</h2>
<div class="space-y-4">
<div class="collapse collapse-arrow glass-card" x-data="{ open: false }">
<div class="collapse-title text-xl font-medium" @click="open = !open">
中光防雷 (300414) - 2025-07-14 上涨8.77%
</div>
<div class="collapse-content p-4" x-show="open" x-collapse>
<p><strong>核心逻辑:</strong> 主要受益于光伏与光模块两大行业的景气度提升,市场预期其防雷产品需求将随之增长。光伏行业供给侧改革预期、浙江光伏成为第一大电源等消息提供了积极的行业背景。同时,光模块行业(中际旭创、光库科技)的高速增长也带动了对通信设备防雷产品的需求预期。机构资金的买入行为与市场乐观情绪共同推动了股价上涨。</p>
</div>
</div>
<div class="collapse collapse-arrow glass-card" x-data="{ open: false }">
<div class="collapse-title text-xl font-medium" @click="open = !open">
东岳硅材 (300821) - 2025-07-08 上涨10.94%
</div>
<div class="collapse-content p-4" x-show="open" x-collapse>
<p><strong>核心逻辑:</strong> 光伏产业链“反内卷”行情爆发带动上游有机硅板块补涨。核心驱动力包括1. <strong>政策驱动</strong>工信部、人民日报等发声治理行业无序竞争。2. <strong>价格驱动</strong>多晶硅期货涨停硅料现货报价持续上调至成本线以上。3. <strong>供需改善</strong>:国际巨头陶氏化学宣布关闭部分产能,为国内企业带来出口机遇。多重利好共振,叠加券商全面看多,推动股价大涨。</p>
</div>
</div>
<div class="collapse collapse-arrow glass-card" x-data="{ open: false }">
<div class="collapse-title text-xl font-medium" @click="open = !open">
合盛硅业 (603260) - 2025-07-08 上涨5.27%
</div>
<div class="collapse-content p-4" x-show="open" x-collapse>
<p><strong>核心逻辑:</strong> 与东岳硅材逻辑类似直接受益于光伏行业反内卷政策与价格修复共振。作为硅料生产企业公司直接受益于1. <strong>政策环境改善</strong>国家层面密集发声反内卷行业自律减产。2. <strong>硅料价格大幅上涨</strong>多晶硅期货涨停现货价格回归成本线之上。3. <strong>产业链传导预期</strong>:价格自上而下传导,带动整个有机硅板块走强,公司作为龙头受到资金追捧。</p>
</div>
</div>
<div class="collapse collapse-arrow glass-card" x-data="{ open: false }">
<div class="collapse-title text-xl font-medium" @click="open = !open">
锴威特 (688693) - 2025-10-24 上涨5.43%
</div>
<div class="collapse-content p-4" x-show="open" x-collapse>
<p><strong>核心逻辑:</strong> 典型的“行业β修复”+“产业链情绪扩散”驱动行情。核心催化剂是光伏龙头通威股份发布超预期的Q3业绩修复信号环比大幅减亏、经营现金流大幅回正引发市场对光伏行业“周期触底、景气反转”的强烈预期。锴威特作为光伏逆变器核心部件功率半导体IGBT/MOSFET的供应商与光伏行业景气度高度相关因此在主线确立后作为高弹性标的获得资金追捧。</p>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</section>
<!-- Stock List -->
<section id="stock-list">
<h2 class="section-title">
<svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" class="h-8 w-8" fill="none" viewBox="0 0 24 24" stroke="currentColor"><path stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" stroke-width="2" d="M9 12h6m-6 4h6m2 5H7a2 2 0 01-2-2V5a2 2 0 012-2h5.586a1 1 0 01.707.293l5.414 5.414a1 1 0 01.293.707V19a2 2 0 01-2 2z" /></svg>
产业链核心标的
</h2>
<div class="glass-card p-4 overflow-x-auto">
<div class="daisy-table w-full">
<h3 class="text-xl font-fui text-cyan-300 p-4">中游:电池片 (技术迭代核心)</h3>
<table class="table w-full">
<thead>
<tr>
<th>股票名称</th>
<th>技术路线</th>
<th>核心逻辑 / 产能</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td><a href="https://valuefrontier.cn/company?scode=601012" target="_blank" class="link link-hover text-cyan-300">隆基绿能</a></td>
<td><span class="tag bg-purple-500/20 text-purple-300 border-purple-400/50">BC电池</span></td>
<td>BC电池(HPBC)已建产能29GW规划74GW市场领导者</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><a href="https://valuefrontier.cn/company?scode=600732" target="_blank" class="link link-hover text-cyan-300">爱旭股份</a></td>
<td><span class="tag bg-purple-500/20 text-purple-300 border-purple-400/50">BC电池</span></td>
<td>BC电池(ABC)6.5GW,在建/规划48.5GW,技术先行者</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><a href="https://valuefrontier.cn/company?scode=688223" target="_blank" class="link link-hover text-cyan-300">晶科能源</a></td>
<td><span class="tag bg-blue-500/20 text-blue-300 border-blue-400/50">Topcon电池</span> <span class="tag bg-purple-500/20 text-purple-300 border-purple-400/50">BC电池 (TBC)</span></td>
<td>Topcon电池龙头 (56GW E产能)BC技术中试保持技术跟随</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><a href="https://valuefrontier.cn/company?scode=002865" target="_blank" class="link link-hover text-cyan-300">钧达股份</a></td>
<td><span class="tag bg-blue-500/20 text-blue-300 border-blue-400/50">Topcon电池</span> <span class="tag bg-purple-500/20 text-purple-300 border-purple-400/50">BC电池 (TBC)</span></td>
<td>纯粹Topcon电池供应商 (44GW E产能)弹性大BC技术中试</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><a href="https://valuefrontier.cn/company?scode=688599" target="_blank" class="link link-hover text-cyan-300">天合光能</a></td>
<td><span class="tag bg-blue-500/20 text-blue-300 border-blue-400/50">Topcon电池</span></td>
<td>一体化组件龙头Topcon电池产能40GW</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><a href="https://valuefrontier.cn/company?scode=002459" target="_blank" class="link link-hover text-cyan-300">晶澳科技</a></td>
<td><span class="tag bg-blue-500/20 text-blue-300 border-blue-400/50">Topcon电池</span></td>
<td>一体化组件龙头Topcon电池产能57.3GW</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><a href="https://valuefrontier.cn/company?scode=300118" target="_blank" class="link link-hover text-cyan-300">东方日升</a></td>
<td><span class="tag bg-green-500/20 text-green-300 border-green-400/50">HJT电池</span></td>
<td>HJT技术布局(2023年E产能)9GW</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><a href="https://valuefrontier.cn/company?scode=002514" target="_blank" class="link link-hover text-cyan-300">宝馨科技</a></td>
<td><span class="tag bg-yellow-500/20 text-yellow-300 border-yellow-400/50">钙钛矿电池</span></td>
<td>钙钛矿电池片,新技术方向</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
<div class="daisy-table w-full mt-8">
<h3 class="text-xl font-fui text-cyan-300 p-4">下游与辅材 (格局优化环节)</h3>
<table class="table w-full">
<thead>
<tr>
<th>股票名称</th>
<th>细分领域</th>
<th>核心逻辑 / 市场地位</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td><a href="https://valuefrontier.cn/company?scode=300274" target="_blank" class="link link-hover text-cyan-300">阳光电源</a></td>
<td><span class="tag">逆变器</span></td>
<td>全球逆变器龙头2022年全球市占率22%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><a href="https://valuefrontier.cn/company?scode=601865" target="_blank" class="link link-hover text-cyan-300">福莱特</a></td>
<td><span class="tag">光伏玻璃</span></td>
<td>光伏玻璃双寡头之一2022年产能占比23.2%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><a href="https://valuefrontier.cn/company?scode=603806" target="_blank" class="link link-hover text-cyan-300">福斯特</a></td>
<td><span class="tag">光伏胶膜</span></td>
<td>光伏胶膜绝对龙头2022年市占率43%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><a href="https://valuefrontier.cn/company?scode=688680" target="_blank" class="link link-hover text-cyan-300">海优新材</a></td>
<td><span class="tag">光伏胶膜</span></td>
<td>光伏胶膜核心企业2022年市占率14%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><a href="https://valuefrontier.cn/company?scode=300842" target="_blank" class="link link-hover text-cyan-300">帝科股份</a></td>
<td><span class="tag">光伏银浆</span></td>
<td>光伏银浆龙头技术壁垒高2021年格局19%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><a href="https://valuefrontier.cn/company?scode=002079" target="_blank" class="link link-hover text-cyan-300">苏州固锝</a></td>
<td><span class="tag">光伏银浆</span></td>
<td>光伏银浆核心企业2021年格局9%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><a href="https://valuefrontier.cn/company?scode=688408" target="_blank" class="link link-hover text-cyan-300">中信博</a></td>
<td><span class="tag">光伏支架</span></td>
<td>光伏支架龙头技术壁垒高2022年产能12.22GW</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
<div class="daisy-table w-full mt-8">
<h3 class="text-xl font-fui text-cyan-300 p-4">上游与设备 (周期与技术驱动)</h3>
<table class="table w-full">
<thead>
<tr>
<th>股票名称</th>
<th>细分领域</th>
<th>核心逻辑 / 市场地位</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td><a href="https://valuefrontier.cn/company?scode=600438" target="_blank" class="link link-hover text-cyan-300">通威股份</a></td>
<td><span class="tag">硅料/电池片</span></td>
<td>硅料龙头成本优势显著同时布局BC电池研发</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><a href="https://valuefrontier.cn/company?scode=603688" target="_blank" class="link link-hover text-cyan-300">石英股份</a></td>
<td><span class="tag">石英砂</span></td>
<td>高纯石英砂龙头,硅片环节关键耗材,壁垒极高</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><a href="https://valuefrontier.cn/company?scode=001269" target="_blank" class="link link-hover text-cyan-300">欧晶科技</a></td>
<td><span class="tag">石英坩埚</span></td>
<td>石英坩埚龙头,单晶拉棒核心耗材</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><a href="https://valuefrontier.cn/company?scode=300316" target="_blank" class="link link-hover text-cyan-300">晶盛机电</a></td>
<td><span class="tag">光伏设备</span></td>
<td>单晶炉设备龙头,深度受益于硅片环节扩产与技术迭代</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>帝尔激光</td>
<td><span class="tag">光伏设备</span></td>
<td>激光设备龙头深度受益于电池技术迭代尤其BC</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
</div>
</section>
</main>
<footer class="text-center py-8 mt-12 border-t border-gray-700/50">
<p class="text-gray-500">报告生成时间: <span x-text="new Date().toLocaleString('zh-CN')"></span></p>
<p class="text-gray-600 text-sm">数据来源新闻、路演、研报、价小前Insight。本报告内容仅供参考不构成任何投资建议。</p>
</footer>
</div>
<script>
const chartDom = document.getElementById('priceChart');
const myChart = echarts.init(chartDom, 'dark');
// Extracted and synthesized price data from news
const priceData = [
{ date: '2024-09-18', silicon: 37.5, wafer: 1.15, cell: 0.28, module: 0.73 },
{ date: '2024-11-21', silicon: 36.0, wafer: 1.12, cell: 0.27, module: 0.72 },
{ date: '2024-12-12', silicon: 36.0, wafer: 1.15, cell: 0.28, module: 0.71 },
{ date: '2025-01-09', silicon: 42.0, wafer: 1.18, cell: 0.29, module: 0.69 },
{ date: '2025-01-23', silicon: 42.0, wafer: 1.18, cell: 0.29, module: 0.69 },
{ date: '2025-02-13', silicon: 43.0, wafer: 1.15, cell: 0.29, module: 0.68 },
{ date: '2025-02-27', silicon: 43.0, wafer: 1.15, cell: 0.30, module: 0.70 },
{ date: '2025-03-24', silicon: 43.5, wafer: 1.16, cell: 0.30, module: 0.72 },
{ date: '2025-05-15', silicon: 35.0, wafer: 0.88, cell: 0.23, module: 0.66 },
{ date: '2025-07-09', silicon: 48.0, wafer: 1.00, cell: 0.26, module: 0.68 },
{ date: '2025-07-24', silicon: 51.0, wafer: 1.10, cell: 0.27, module: 0.69 },
{ date: '2025-10-23', silicon: 50.0, wafer: 1.10, cell: 0.26, module: 0.69 }
];
const dates = priceData.map(item => item.date);
const siliconPrices = priceData.map(item => item.silicon);
const waferPrices = priceData.map(item => item.wafer);
const cellPrices = priceData.map(item => item.cell);
const modulePrices = priceData.map(item => item.module);
const option = {
backgroundColor: 'transparent',
title: {
text: '光伏产业链主要环节价格走势',
subtext: '数据综合自新闻与研报',
left: 'center',
textStyle: {
color: '#e0e0ff',
fontFamily: 'Space Mono, monospace'
}
},
tooltip: {
trigger: 'axis',
backgroundColor: 'rgba(20, 20, 40, 0.8)',
borderColor: '#00ffff',
textStyle: {
color: '#e0e0ff'
}
},
legend: {
data: ['硅料 (元/kg)', '硅片 (元/片)', '电池片 (元/W)', '组件 (元/W)'],
bottom: 10,
textStyle: {
color: '#c0c0ff'
}
},
grid: {
left: '3%',
right: '4%',
bottom: '15%',
containLabel: true
},
xAxis: {
type: 'category',
boundaryGap: false,
data: dates,
axisLine: { lineStyle: { color: '#8392A5' } }
},
yAxis: [
{
type: 'value',
name: '硅料 (元/kg)',
position: 'left',
axisLine: { show: true, lineStyle: { color: '#00ffff' } },
splitLine: { lineStyle: { type: 'dashed', color: 'rgba(131, 146, 165, 0.3)' } }
},
{
type: 'value',
name: '硅片/电池/组件',
position: 'right',
axisLine: { show: true, lineStyle: { color: '#ff00ff' } },
splitLine: { show: false }
}
],
series: [
{
name: '硅料 (元/kg)',
type: 'line',
smooth: true,
symbol: 'circle',
yAxisIndex: 0,
itemStyle: { color: '#00ffff' },
lineStyle: {
width: 3,
shadowColor: 'rgba(0, 255, 255, 0.5)',
shadowBlur: 10
},
data: siliconPrices
},
{
name: '硅片 (元/片)',
type: 'line',
smooth: true,
symbol: 'circle',
yAxisIndex: 1,
itemStyle: { color: '#00ff00' },
lineStyle: {
width: 2,
shadowColor: 'rgba(0, 255, 0, 0.5)',
shadowBlur: 8
},
data: waferPrices
},
{
name: '电池片 (元/W)',
type: 'line',
smooth: true,
symbol: 'circle',
yAxisIndex: 1,
itemStyle: { color: '#ffff00' },
lineStyle: {
width: 2,
shadowColor: 'rgba(255, 255, 0, 0.5)',
shadowBlur: 8
},
data: cellPrices
},
{
name: '组件 (元/W)',
type: 'line',
smooth: true,
symbol: 'circle',
yAxisIndex: 1,
itemStyle: { color: '#ff00ff' },
lineStyle: {
width: 2,
shadowColor: 'rgba(255, 0, 255, 0.5)',
shadowBlur: 8
},
data: modulePrices
}
]
};
myChart.setOption(option);
window.addEventListener('resize', myChart.resize);
</script>
</body>
</html>