update pay ui

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2025-12-05 13:29:18 +08:00
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<!DOCTYPE html>
<html lang="zh-CN" data-theme="dracula">
<html lang="zh-CN" data-theme="night">
<head>
<meta charset="UTF-8">
<meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1.0">
<title>聚酯产业深度分析:反内卷下的周期反转</title>
<title>聚酯产业 - 深度研究报告</title>
<script src="https://cdn.tailwindcss.com"></script>
<link href="https://cdn.jsdelivr.net/npm/daisyui@4.12.10/dist/full.min.css" rel="stylesheet" type="text/css" />
<script src="https://unpkg.com/aos@2.3.1/dist/aos.js"></script>
<link href="https://unpkg.com/aos@2.3.1/dist/aos.css" rel="stylesheet">
<link href="https://cdn.jsdelivr.net/npm/daisyui@4.10.1/dist/full.min.css" rel="stylesheet" type="text/css" />
<script defer src="https://cdn.jsdelivr.net/npm/alpinejs@3.x.x/dist/cdn.min.js"></script>
<script src="https://cdn.jsdelivr.net/npm/echarts@5.5.0/dist/echarts.min.js"></script>
<link rel="preconnect" href="https://fonts.googleapis.com">
<link rel="preconnect" href="https://fonts.gstatic.com" crossorigin>
<link href="https://fonts.googleapis.com/css2?family=Inter:wght@300;400;500;600;700&family=Orbitron:wght@400;700&display=swap" rel="stylesheet">
<style>
.gradient-bg { background: linear-gradient(135deg, #1e3a8a 0%, #3b82f6 50%, #06b6d4 100%); }
.glass-card { background: rgba(30, 41, 59, 0.7); backdrop-filter: blur(10px); border: 1px solid rgba(148, 163, 184, 0.2); }
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@media (max-width: 768px) { .timeline-line::before { left: 20px; } }
.stock-table { font-size: 0.875rem; }
.stock-table th { position: sticky; top: 0; z-index: 10; }
@media (max-width: 640px) { .stock-table { font-size: 0.75rem; } .hide-mobile { display: none; } }
:root {
--glow-color-1: #00ffff;
--glow-color-2: #ff00ff;
--glow-color-3: #ffff00;
}
body {
font-family: 'Inter', sans-serif;
background-color: #020010;
color: #e0e0e0;
overflow-x: hidden;
}
#space-bg {
position: fixed;
top: 0;
left: 0;
width: 100%;
height: 100vh;
background: radial-gradient(ellipse at bottom, #1b2735 0%, #020010 100%);
z-index: -2;
overflow: hidden;
}
.stars {
position: absolute;
top: 0;
left: 0;
width: 100%;
height: 100%;
background-image:
radial-gradient(1px 1px at 20% 30%, rgba(255,255,255,0.4), transparent),
radial-gradient(1px 1px at 80% 10%, rgba(255,255,255,0.4), transparent),
radial-gradient(1px 1px at 50% 70%, rgba(255,255,255,0.4), transparent),
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radial-gradient(2px 2px at 30% 80%, rgba(255,255,255,0.6), transparent);
background-repeat: no-repeat;
background-size: cover;
animation: zoom 25s infinite;
}
@keyframes zoom {
0% { transform: scale(1); }
50% { transform: scale(1.1); }
100% { transform: scale(1); }
}
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position: fixed;
border-radius: 50%;
filter: blur(150px);
opacity: 0.3;
z-index: -1;
}
.sphere1 {
width: 600px;
height: 600px;
background: var(--glow-color-1);
top: -200px;
left: -200px;
animation: move-sphere1 30s alternate infinite;
}
.sphere2 {
width: 500px;
height: 500px;
background: var(--glow-color-2);
bottom: -200px;
right: -200px;
animation: move-sphere2 35s alternate-reverse infinite;
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width: 400px;
height: 400px;
background: var(--glow-color-3);
bottom: 50%;
right: 50%;
transform: translate(50%, 50%);
animation: move-sphere3 40s alternate infinite;
}
@keyframes move-sphere1 {
to { transform: translate(200px, 300px); }
}
@keyframes move-sphere2 {
to { transform: translate(-300px, -200px); }
}
@keyframes move-sphere3 {
to { transform: translate(150px, -150px) scale(1.2); }
}
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background: rgba(10, 10, 30, 0.4);
backdrop-filter: blur(12px) saturate(150%);
-webkit-backdrop-filter: blur(12px) saturate(150%);
border: 1px solid rgba(255, 255, 255, 0.1);
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transform: translateY(-5px);
box-shadow: 0 0 30px rgba(0, 255, 255, 0.2);
border-color: rgba(0, 255, 255, 0.3);
}
h1, h2, h3 {
font-family: 'Orbitron', sans-serif;
text-shadow: 0 0 10px var(--glow-color-1), 0 0 20px var(--glow-color-1);
}
h2 { color: #93c5fd; }
h3 { color: #a5b4fc; }
.bento-grid {
display: grid;
gap: 1rem;
grid-template-columns: repeat(12, 1fr);
grid-auto-rows: minmax(100px, auto);
}
.bento-item {
grid-column: span 12;
}
@media (min-width: 768px) {
.bento-item-1 { grid-column: span 8; grid-row: span 2; }
.bento-item-2 { grid-column: span 4; grid-row: span 2; }
.bento-item-3 { grid-column: span 4; }
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.bento-item-5 { grid-column: span 4; }
.bento-item-6 { grid-column: span 12; }
}
.custom-list li::before {
content: '▰';
color: var(--glow-color-1);
margin-right: 0.75rem;
font-size: 0.8rem;
}
.table thead th {
background-color: rgba(0, 255, 255, 0.1);
color: var(--glow-color-1);
text-transform: uppercase;
letter-spacing: 1px;
font-family: 'Orbitron', sans-serif;
}
.table tbody tr {
border-color: rgba(255, 255, 255, 0.1);
transition: background-color 0.2s ease;
}
.table tbody tr:hover {
background-color: rgba(0, 255, 255, 0.08);
}
[x-cloak] { display: none !important; }
</style>
</head>
<body class="bg-slate-900 text-white">
<body class="min-h-screen">
<div id="space-bg">
<div class="stars"></div>
<div class="glow-sphere sphere1"></div>
<div class="glow-sphere sphere2"></div>
<div class="glow-sphere sphere3"></div>
</div>
<!-- Hero Section -->
<section class="gradient-bg min-h-screen flex items-center justify-center p-4">
<div class="max-w-6xl mx-auto text-center" data-aos="fade-up">
<h1 class="text-5xl md:text-7xl font-bold mb-6 bg-gradient-to-r from-cyan-400 to-purple-400 bg-clip-text text-transparent">
聚酯产业深度洞察
<div class="container mx-auto p-4 md:p-8" x-data="{}" x-init="
const observer = new IntersectionObserver((entries) => {
entries.forEach(entry => {
if (entry.isIntersecting) {
entry.target.classList.add('animate-fade-in-up');
entry.target.classList.remove('opacity-0');
}
});
}, { threshold: 0.1 });
document.querySelectorAll('.anim-on-scroll').forEach((el) => {
observer.observe(el);
});
">
<header class="text-center py-8 anim-on-scroll opacity-0">
<h1 class="text-4xl md:text-6xl font-bold tracking-widest uppercase">
聚酯产业
</h1>
<p class="text-xl md:text-2xl mb-8 text-slate-200">
反内卷三重奏下的周期反转 · 亏损倒逼最强协同
</p>
<div class="flex flex-wrap justify-center gap-4 mb-12">
<div class="glass-card rounded-xl p-6 min-w-[12rem]">
<div class="text-3xl font-bold text-green-400">-200元/吨</div>
<div class="text-sm text-slate-400">PTA价差历史低点</div>
</div>
<div class="glass-card rounded-xl p-6 min-w-[12rem]">
<div class="text-3xl font-bold text-blue-400">75%</div>
<div class="text-sm text-slate-400">CR6行业集中度</div>
</div>
<div class="glass-card rounded-xl p-6 min-w-[12rem]">
<div class="text-3xl font-bold text-purple-400">600%</div>
<div class="text-sm text-slate-400">长丝产销率峰值</div>
</div>
<div class="glass-card rounded-xl p-6 min-w-[12rem]">
<div class="text-3xl font-bold text-orange-400">3%</div>
<div class="text-sm text-slate-400">2026年产能增速</div>
</div>
<p class="text-lg text-cyan-300 mt-2 tracking-wider">Polyester Industry</p>
<div class="mt-4 text-xs text-gray-500 max-w-2xl mx-auto">
<p>北京价值前沿科技有限公司 AI投研agent“价小前投研” 呈现</p>
<p>本报告为AI合成数据据此投资风险自担。</p>
</div>
<button class="btn btn-primary btn-lg rounded-full px-8" onclick="document.getElementById('analysis').scrollIntoView({behavior: 'smooth'})">
开始探索
</button>
</div>
</section>
</header>
<!-- 核心摘要 -->
<section id="analysis" class="py-20 px-4">
<div class="max-w-6xl mx-auto">
<h2 class="text-4xl font-bold text-center mb-12" data-aos="fade-up">核心观点摘要</h2>
<div class="glass-card rounded-2xl p-8 mb-12" data-aos="fade-up" data-aos-delay="100">
<p class="text-lg leading-relaxed text-slate-300">
聚酯产业链正处于
<span class="bg-gradient-to-r from-red-500 to-orange-500 bg-clip-text text-transparent font-bold">"亏损倒逼+政策引导+龙头协同"</span>
三重驱动的周期反转关键节点。2025年9月PTA价差跌至负值的极端事件反而成为最强催化剂推动行业从分散竞争走向寡头协同。
<strong class="text-blue-400">PTA环节</strong>因集中度最高CR6达75%)、亏损最严重、新增产能归零,具备最大价格弹性;
<strong class="text-purple-400">涤纶长丝环节</strong>因库存降至历史低位、需求韧性较强,盈利修复确定性最高。
当前处于基本面驱动早期非主题炒作未来2-3年有望进入双重景气周期。
</p>
</div>
</div>
</section>
<!-- 时间轴 -->
<section class="py-20 px-4 bg-slate-800">
<div class="max-w-6xl mx-auto">
<h2 class="text-4xl font-bold text-center mb-16">产业演进时间轴</h2>
<div class="timeline-line">
<main class="space-y-8 md:space-y-12">
<!-- Insight Section -->
<section class="glass-card rounded-3xl p-6 md:p-10 anim-on-scroll opacity-0" style="animation-delay: 100ms;">
<h2 class="text-3xl font-bold mb-6 border-b-2 border-cyan-400/30 pb-3">概念核心洞察 (Concept Insight)</h2>
<div class="flex flex-col md:flex-row items-center mb-12" data-aos="fade-right">
<div class="md:w-1/2 md:pr-8 md:text-right mb-4 md:mb-0">
<div class="glass-card rounded-xl p-6">
<h3 class="text-2xl font-bold text-orange-400 mb-2">2023年行业触底</h3>
<ul class="text-slate-300 space-y-2">
<li>• 涤纶长丝价差仅盈亏平衡1000元/吨)</li>
<li>• PTA全行业亏损加工费历史低位</li>
<li>• 龙头采取"保价不保量"开工率压至60%</li>
<li>• 下游坯布库存从30天降至20天</li>
</ul>
</div>
<div class="space-y-8">
<div>
<h3 class="text-xl font-semibold mb-3">0. 概念事件:周期演变的核心脉络</h3>
<p class="text-gray-300">聚酯产业在近年经历了一个完整的“产能扩张 → 供给过剩 → 行业亏损 → 联合减产”的周期性演变。其核心事件在于以2025年下半年为转折点在工信部政策定调和龙头企业生存危机驱动下行业从无序竞争转向了以“反内卷”为目标的协同供给侧改革。</p>
</div>
<div class="w-4 h-4 bg-orange-500 rounded-full border-4 border-slate-900 z-10"></div>
<div class="md:w-1/2 md:pl-8"></div>
</div>
<div class="flex flex-col md:flex-row-reverse items-center mb-12" data-aos="fade-left">
<div class="md:w-1/2 md:pl-8 mb-4 md:mb-0">
<div class="glass-card rounded-xl p-6">
<h3 class="text-2xl font-bold text-blue-400 mb-2">2024年反内卷元年</h3>
<ul class="text-slate-300 space-y-2">
<li><strong>5月</strong>长丝大厂开启减产累计达24%</li>
<li><strong>7-9月</strong>深化减产FDY减20%、POY减5%</li>
<li><strong>8月</strong>:郑商所推动聚酯品种对外开放</li>
<li><strong>CR6达75%</strong>,组织基础形成</li>
</ul>
</div>
<div>
<h3 class="text-xl font-semibold mb-3">1. 核心观点摘要</h3>
<p class="font-medium text-cyan-200 text-lg">聚酯产业正处在由供给过剩驱动的恶性竞争,转向寡头协同驱动的供给侧改革的关键拐点。核心驱动力已从需求增长转变为行业龙头为自救而达成的“反内卷”共识,未来潜力在于供给端有序收缩带来的全产业链利润修复,行业正从周期底部迈入景气回升通道。</p>
</div>
<div class="w-4 h-4 bg-blue-500 rounded-full border-4 border-slate-900 z-10"></div>
<div class="md:w-1/2 md:pr-8"></div>
</div>
<div class="flex flex-col md:flex-row items-center mb-12" data-aos="fade-right">
<div class="md:w-1/2 md:pr-8 md:text-right mb-4 md:mb-0">
<div class="glass-card rounded-xl p-6">
<h3 class="text-2xl font-bold text-red-500 mb-2">2025年景气崩塌与最强协同</h3>
<ul class="text-slate-300 space-y-2">
<li><strong>9月</strong>PTA价差崩盘至<strong>-200元/吨</strong></li>
<li>• 长丝产销率飙升至<strong>600%</strong>库存降至10天</li>
<li><strong>9月24日</strong>三大长丝厂再减产8-10%</li>
<li><strong>11月</strong>PTA龙头全面减产涉及产能10%</li>
</ul>
</div>
</div>
<div class="w-4 h-4 bg-red-500 rounded-full border-4 border-slate-900 z-10 animate-pulse"></div>
<div class="md:w-1/2 md:pl-8"></div>
</div>
<div class="flex flex-col md:flex-row-reverse items-center" data-aos="fade-left">
<div class="md:w-1/2 md:pl-8">
<div class="glass-card rounded-xl p-6">
<h3 class="text-2xl font-bold text-green-400 mb-2">2026年供给拐点</h3>
<ul class="text-slate-300 space-y-2">
<li>• PTA新增产能周期结束</li>
<li>• 长丝新增产能增速仅<strong>3%</strong></li>
<li>• 老旧产能20年以上陆续退出</li>
<li>• 行业进入存量优化阶段</li>
</ul>
</div>
</div>
<div class="w-4 h-4 bg-green-500 rounded-full border-4 border-slate-900 z-10"></div>
<div class="md:w-1/2 md:pr-8"></div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</section>
<!-- 核心逻辑 -->
<section class="py-20 px-4">
<div class="max-w-6xl mx-auto">
<h2 class="text-4xl font-bold text-center mb-12">核心逻辑与市场认知</h2>
<div class="grid md:grid-cols-3 gap-6 mb-12">
<div class="glass-card rounded-xl p-6" data-aos="fade-up">
<h3 class="text-xl font-bold text-cyan-400 mb-4">行政逻辑</h3>
<p class="text-slate-300">反内卷政策从口号变为行业自觉行动。化工行业作为制造业代表,聚酯成为政策突破口。龙头企业在协会协调下,将"限产保价"从长丝延伸至PTA是2016年煤炭供给侧改革以来最彻底的协同行动。</p>
</div>
<div class="glass-card rounded-xl p-6" data-aos="fade-up" data-aos-delay="100">
<h3 class="text-xl font-bold text-purple-400 mb-4">市场逻辑</h3>
<p class="text-slate-300">2026年PTA新增产能几乎为零但1,100万吨产能长期停车有效供给比名义数据低15-20%。下游功能面料需求强劲锦纶消费增速30%),结构性牛市特征明显。</p>
</div>
<div class="glass-card rounded-xl p-6" data-aos="fade-up" data-aos-delay="200">
<h3 class="text-xl font-bold text-orange-400 mb-4">财务逻辑</h3>
<p class="text-slate-300">9月PTA加工费跌至108元/吨远低于现金成本300元/吨)。龙头企业虽有一体化优势,但亏损仍拖累业绩。"不减产就亏损"的生存压力下,协同成为理性最优解。</p>
</div>
</div>
<!-- 预期差分析 -->
<div class="glass-card rounded-2xl p-8" data-aos="fade-up">
<h3 class="text-2xl font-bold mb-6 text-center">三大预期差</h3>
<div class="grid md:grid-cols-3 gap-6">
<div class="text-center">
<div class="text-4xl mb-2">📊</div>
<h4 class="font-bold text-lg mb-2">产能数据的"水分"</h4>
<p class="text-sm text-slate-400">公开8,855万吨含僵尸产能实际有效仅7,900万吨。开工率89%而非78%,供给紧张被严重低估。</p>
</div>
<div class="text-center">
<div class="text-4xl mb-2">🎯</div>
<h4 class="font-bold text-lg mb-2">军备竞赛反转</h4>
<p class="text-sm text-slate-400">从"扩产抢份额"转向"利润优先"。新凤鸣推迟300万吨、同坤退出150万吨老线退出产能将永久退出。</p>
</div>
<div class="text-center">
<div class="text-4xl mb-2">📈</div>
<h4 class="font-bold text-lg mb-2">结构性牛市</h4>
<p class="text-sm text-slate-400">市场担忧总量疲软但功能面料需求强劲户外、耐磨。长丝库存10天 vs PTA库存高企印证需求在高端细分。</p>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</section>
<!-- 股票数据表格 -->
<section class="py-20 px-4 bg-slate-800">
<div class="max-w-7xl mx-auto">
<h2 class="text-4xl font-bold text-center mb-12">产业链产能数据全景</h2>
<div class="glass-card rounded-2xl p-4 md:p-8 overflow-x-auto">
<table class="table table-zebra stock-table w-full">
<thead class="bg-gradient-to-r from-blue-900 to-purple-900">
<tr class="text-white">
<th class="p-3">公司名称</th>
<th class="p-3 hide-mobile">分类</th>
<th class="p-3">项目</th>
<th class="p-3">产能</th>
<th class="p-3 hide-mobile">信源</th>
<th class="p-3 hide-mobile">核心优势</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr><td class="font-bold">荣盛石化</td><td class="hide-mobile">上游</td><td>对二甲苯(PX)</td><td>1040万吨/年</td><td class="hide-mobile">工商/互动</td><td class="hide-mobile">浙石化51%,全球最大</td></tr>
<tr><td class="font-bold">恒力石化</td><td class="hide-mobile">上游</td><td>对二甲苯(PX)</td><td>520万吨/年</td><td class="hide-mobile">公告</td><td class="hide-mobile">现有产能</td></tr>
<tr><td class="font-bold">恒力石化</td><td class="hide-mobile">中游</td><td>精对苯二甲酸(PTA)</td><td>1660万吨/年</td><td class="hide-mobile">年报</td><td class="hide-mobile">全球最大占比18%</td></tr>
<tr><td class="font-bold">恒逸石化</td><td class="hide-mobile">中游</td><td>精对苯二甲酸(PTA)</td><td>1049万吨/年</td><td class="hide-mobile">公告</td><td class="hide-mobile">权益产能</td></tr>
<tr><td class="font-bold">荣盛石化</td><td class="hide-mobile">中游</td><td>精对苯二甲酸(PTA)</td><td>1040万吨/年</td><td class="hide-mobile">互动</td><td class="hide-mobile">现有产能</td></tr>
<tr><td class="font-bold">桐昆股份</td><td class="hide-mobile">中游</td><td>精对苯二甲酸(PTA)</td><td>1020万吨/年</td><td class="hide-mobile">半年报</td><td class="hide-mobile">长丝龙头配套</td></tr>
<tr><td class="font-bold">新凤鸣</td><td class="hide-mobile">中游</td><td>精对苯二甲酸(PTA)</td><td>800万吨/年</td><td class="hide-mobile">公告</td><td class="hide-mobile">一体化100%</td></tr>
<tr><td class="font-bold">桐昆股份</td><td class="hide-mobile">下游</td><td>涤纶长丝</td><td>1350万吨/年</td><td class="hide-mobile">半年报</td><td class="hide-mobile">长丝绝对龙头</td></tr>
<tr><td class="font-bold">新凤鸣</td><td class="hide-mobile">下游</td><td>涤纶长丝</td><td>805万吨/年</td><td class="hide-mobile">公告</td><td class="hide-mobile">市占率超12%</td></tr>
<tr><td class="font-bold">恒逸石化</td><td class="hide-mobile">下游</td><td>涤纶长丝</td><td>677万吨/年</td><td class="hide-mobile">公告</td><td class="hide-mobile">多元化布局</td></tr>
<tr><td class="font-bold">荣盛石化</td><td class="hide-mobile">下游</td><td>聚酯瓶片</td><td>530万吨/年</td><td class="hide-mobile">年报</td><td class="hide-mobile">瓶片龙头</td></tr>
<tr><td class="font-bold">万凯新材</td><td class="hide-mobile">下游</td><td>聚酯瓶片</td><td>300万吨/年</td><td class="hide-mobile">半年报</td><td class="hide-mobile">率先扭亏</td></tr>
<tr><td class="font-bold">三房巷</td><td class="hide-mobile">下游</td><td>聚酯瓶片</td><td>240万吨/年</td><td class="hide-mobile">公告</td><td class="hide-mobile">市占率19.34%</td></tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<div class="mt-4 text-sm text-slate-400 text-center">
💡 <strong>核心洞察</strong>恒力石化PTA产能1660万吨行业18%话语权最重桐昆股份1350万吨长丝规模效应最强新凤鸣一体化率100%弹性最大
</div>
</div>
</div>
</section>
<!-- 核心公司对比 -->
<section class="py-20 px-4">
<div class="max-w-6xl mx-auto">
<h2 class="text-4xl font-bold text-center mb-12">核心玩家对比分析</h2>
<div class="glass-card rounded-2xl p-4 md:p-8 overflow-x-auto">
<table class="table table-compact stock-table w-full">
<thead class="bg-gradient-to-r from-green-900 to-blue-900">
<tr class="text-white">
<th class="p-3">公司</th>
<th class="p-3">PTA产能</th>
<th class="p-3">长丝产能</th>
<th class="p-3 hide-mobile">一体化</th>
<th class="p-3">利润弹性</th>
<th class="p-3 hide-mobile">核心优势</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr class="hover:bg-slate-700"><td class="font-bold">新凤鸣</td><td>1100万吨</td><td>840万吨</td><td class="hide-mobile">100%</td><td><span class="badge badge-error">最大</span></td><td class="hide-mobile">长丝增速快,协同减产积极</td></tr>
<tr class="hover:bg-slate-700"><td class="font-bold">桐昆股份</td><td>1020万吨</td><td>1350万吨</td><td class="hide-mobile"></td><td><span class="badge badge-error">最大</span></td><td class="hide-mobile">长丝绝对龙头,规模效应最强</td></tr>
<tr class="hover:bg-slate-700"><td class="font-bold">恒逸石化</td><td>1000万吨</td><td>680万吨</td><td class="hide-mobile"></td><td><span class="badge badge-warning">较大</span></td><td class="hide-mobile">海外PX布局文莱一体化</td></tr>
<tr class="hover:bg-slate-700"><td class="font-bold">恒力石化</td><td>1660万吨</td><td>410万吨</td><td class="hide-mobile">最高</td><td><span class="badge badge-info">中等</span></td><td class="hide-mobile">PTA规模最大话语权最重</td></tr>
<tr class="hover:bg-slate-700"><td class="font-bold">荣盛石化</td><td>1040万吨</td><td>142万吨</td><td class="hide-mobile">最高</td><td><span class="badge badge-info">中等</span></td><td class="hide-mobile">上游PX最强势受益价差修复</td></tr>
<tr class="hover:bg-slate-700"><td class="font-bold">万凯新材</td><td>-</td><td>300万吨(瓶片)</td><td class="hide-mobile"></td><td><span class="badge badge-warning">较大</span></td><td class="hide-mobile">瓶片率先扭亏,乙二醇放量</td></tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
</div>
</section>
<!-- 催化剂与路径 -->
<section class="py-20 px-4 bg-slate-800">
<div class="max-w-6xl mx-auto">
<h2 class="text-4xl font-bold text-center mb-12">催化剂与发展路径</h2>
<div class="mb-12">
<h3 class="text-2xl font-bold mb-6 text-center text-orange-400">近期催化剂3-6个月</h3>
<div class="grid md:grid-cols-3 gap-6">
<div class="card bg-gradient-to-br from-red-900 to-orange-900 shadow-xl" data-aos="zoom-in">
<div class="card-body">
<h4 class="card-title">减产落地验证</h4>
<p class="text-sm">11月虹港石化250万吨、逸盛等检修落地若实际减产超1000万吨PTA加工费有望快速修复至200元/吨以上。</p>
</div>
</div>
<div class="card bg-gradient-to-br from-blue-900 to-purple-900 shadow-xl" data-aos="zoom-in" data-aos-delay="100">
<div class="card-body">
<h4 class="card-title">业绩拐点显现</h4>
<p class="text-sm">万凯新材Q3净利预计3500-5000万率先扭亏桐昆、新凤鸣Q4有望V型反转业绩成最强催化剂。</p>
</div>
</div>
<div class="card bg-gradient-to-br from-green-900 to-teal-900 shadow-xl" data-aos="zoom-in" data-aos-delay="200">
<div class="card-body">
<h4 class="card-title">春节补库启动</h4>
<p class="text-sm">若10-11月织机开工率维持80%以上,春节前原料补库将提前启动,形成"供需双紧"格局。</p>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
<div>
<h3 class="text-2xl font-bold mb-6 text-center text-green-400">长期发展路径2026-2028</h3>
<div class="grid md:grid-cols-3 gap-6">
<div class="glass-card rounded-xl p-6" data-aos="fade-up">
<h4 class="text-xl font-bold mb-3 text-yellow-400">2026H1产能出清</h4>
<ul class="text-slate-300 space-y-2 text-sm">
<li>• PTA开工率维持75-80%</li>
<li>• 长期亏损装置500万吨退出</li>
<li>• 加工费修复至200-300元/吨</li>
<li>• 长丝利润从150元升至300-400元/吨</li>
<div>
<h3 class="text-xl font-semibold mb-3">2. 核心逻辑与市场认知分析</h3>
<ul class="space-y-4 custom-list text-gray-300">
<li><strong class="text-white">生存危机倒逼的寡头协同:</strong> 长期全行业亏损PTA加工费跌破现金成本是推动协同减产的最强动力。</li>
<li><strong class="text-white">高行业集中度提供执行基础:</strong> PTA行业CR6集中度达74-75%涤纶长丝CR6近80%,为寡头协同提供了可能。</li>
<li><strong class="text-white">产能扩张周期结束提供“休战”窗口:</strong> 2025年底PTA新增产能周期基本结束2026年或无新增产能为减产保价提供了稳定环境。</li>
<li><strong class="text-white">市场情绪与预期差:</strong> 市场情绪已由悲观转为显著乐观。但潜在预期差在于对减产协议“执行力与持续性”的过度乐观,以及可能高估了“需求端的配合度”。</li>
</ul>
</div>
<div class="glass-card rounded-xl p-6" data-aos="fade-up" data-aos-delay="100">
<h4 class="text-xl font-bold mb-3 text-yellow-400">2026H2-2027双重景气</h4>
<ul class="text-slate-300 space-y-2 text-sm">
<li>• 聚酯需求增速4-5%</li>
<li>• PTA开工率需达88.6%才能满足需求</li>
<li>• 加工费突破300元/吨</li>
<li>• 长丝价差扩张至500元/吨以上</li>
<div>
<h3 class="text-xl font-semibold mb-3">3. 关键催化剂与未来发展路径</h3>
<div class="grid md:grid-cols-2 gap-6">
<div>
<h4 class="font-semibold text-lg text-indigo-300 mb-2">近期催化剂 (3-6个月)</h4>
<ul class="space-y-2 custom-list text-sm">
<li>行业开工率数据持续下降,验证减产执行力。</li>
<li>PTA加工费、涤纶长丝吨利润等财务指标修复。</li>
<li>印度BIS认证取消后对印出口数据显著增长。</li>
<li>龙头公司2026年一季报验证盈利改善。</li>
</ul>
</div>
<div>
<h4 class="font-semibold text-lg text-indigo-300 mb-2">长期发展路径</h4>
<ol class="space-y-2 list-decimal list-inside text-sm">
<li><strong class="text-white">阶段一 (当前 - 2026 H1):</strong> 供给收缩与利润修复。</li>
<li><strong class="text-white">阶段二 (2026 H2 - 2027):</strong> 格局优化与产能出清。</li>
<li><strong class="text-white">阶段三 (2028+):</strong> 高质量发展与价值延伸(如可降解材料、化学回收)。</li>
</ol>
</div>
</div>
</div>
<div>
<h3 class="text-xl font-semibold mb-3">4. 产业链与核心公司剖析</h3>
<p class="mb-4 text-gray-300">产业链呈现高度一体化趋势从上游PX到中游PTA再到下游聚酯产品龙头企业优势明显。</p>
<div class="overflow-x-auto">
<table class="table table-sm">
<thead>
<tr>
<th>玩家类型</th>
<th>代表公司</th>
<th>竞争优势 & 逻辑</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td class="font-bold text-cyan-400">领导者 (一体化巨头)</td>
<td>恒力石化, 荣盛石化</td>
<td>“原油-PX-PTA-聚酯”全产业链布局,抗风险能力最强,经营稳健。</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td class="font-bold text-purple-400">追赶者 (专注型龙头)</td>
<td>桐昆股份, 新凤鸣</td>
<td>涤纶长丝领域绝对龙头业绩对“PTA-长丝”价差弹性最大,是本轮逻辑中最纯粹的标的。</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td class="font-bold text-lime-400">细分市场专家</td>
<td>万凯新材</td>
<td>专注于聚酯瓶片,全球领先。通过海外布局规避贸易壁垒,直接受益于瓶片环节减产。</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
</div>
<div>
<h3 class="text-xl font-semibold mb-3">5. 潜在风险与挑战</h3>
<ul class="space-y-2 custom-list text-red-300">
<li><strong class="text-red-200">减产同盟的脆弱性 (核心风险):</strong> 利润修复后,个别企业可能为抢占份额而打破协议。</li>
<li><strong class="text-red-200">终端需求不及预期:</strong> 全球经济疲软及贸易摩擦可能对冲供给收缩的利好。</li>
<li><strong class="text-red-200">成本风险:</strong> 原油价格大幅波动将冲击产业链成本和库存价值。</li>
<li><strong class="text-red-200">信息交叉验证风险:</strong> 机构对终端需求展望存在巨大分歧,是投资决策中需重点审视的风险点。</li>
</ul>
</div>
<div class="glass-card rounded-xl p-6" data-aos="fade-up" data-aos-delay="200">
<h4 class="text-xl font-bold mb-3 text-yellow-400">2028年后稳态格局</h4>
<ul class="text-slate-300 space-y-2 text-sm">
<li>• CR6提升至80%以上</li>
<li>• 形成区域价格协同机制</li>
<li>• PTA加工费中枢250-350元/吨</li>
<li>• 龙头从周期股转向"周期成长"</li>
<div>
<h3 class="text-xl font-semibold mb-3">6. 综合结论与投资启示</h3>
<p class="mb-2">聚酯产业已从价值毁灭阶段进入由基本面驱动的行业修复阶段。本轮上涨的核心是供给侧收缩,而非需求强劲复苏,决定了其修复的“高度”可能有限,但“确定性”相对较高。</p>
<p class="font-semibold text-cyan-200">最具投资价值的环节是中游PTA和下游涤纶长丝。建议关注两类公司一是桐昆股份、新凤鸣这类弹性最大的专注型龙头二是恒力石化、荣盛石化这类经营更稳健的一体化巨头。</p>
</div>
</div>
</section>
<!-- Data Bento Grid Section -->
<section class="anim-on-scroll opacity-0" style="animation-delay: 200ms;">
<h2 class="text-3xl font-bold mb-6 text-center">多维数据透视 (Multi-dimensional Data)</h2>
<div class="bento-grid">
<div class="bento-item bento-item-1 glass-card rounded-3xl p-6 flex flex-col">
<h3 class="text-xl font-semibold mb-3">核心动态:“反内卷”与联合减产</h3>
<p class="text-sm text-gray-400 mb-4">工信部座谈会为行业“反内卷”奠定基础,产业链各环节通过主动减产应对市场压力,改善盈利状况。</p>
<div class="space-y-4 text-sm flex-grow">
<div>
<p class="font-semibold text-cyan-300">涤纶长丝减产:</p>
<p class="text-gray-300">自5月起主流大厂多轮协同减产累计幅度显著。例如9月三大厂再次协同减产8%-10%,持续执行“限产保价”策略。</p>
</div>
<div>
<p class="font-semibold text-cyan-300">PTA减产:</p>
<p class="text-gray-300">龙头五家企业(恒力、新凤鸣等)通过老装置检修/退出、新装置延期实现利润回升预计存在超1000万吨产能的减产空间。</p>
</div>
<div>
<p class="font-semibold text-cyan-300">聚酯瓶片减产:</p>
<p class="text-gray-300">头部企业7月开始联合减产开工率降至70%利润已修复。行业四家头部企业承诺未来3年不新增产能。</p>
</div>
</div>
</div>
<div class="bento-item bento-item-2 glass-card rounded-3xl p-6 flex flex-col">
<h3 class="text-xl font-semibold mb-3">关键指标概览</h3>
<p class="text-sm text-gray-400 mb-2">截至研报数据,产业链利润分化,库存压力仍存。</p>
<div id="keyMetricsChart" class="w-full h-80 flex-grow"></div>
</div>
<div class="bento-item bento-item-3 glass-card rounded-3xl p-6">
<h3 class="text-xl font-semibold mb-3">产能格局展望</h3>
<p class="text-sm text-gray-400">新增产能周期结束,高集中度为协同减产提供基础。</p>
<ul class="space-y-2 text-sm custom-list mt-4">
<li><strong class="text-white">PTA:</strong> 新增产能周期于2025年底结束2026年或无新增。CR6集中度达74%。</li>
<li><strong class="text-white">涤纶长丝:</strong> 未来新增产能维持2-3%低增速低于需求增速。CR6近80%。</li>
<li><strong class="text-white">老旧产能:</strong> 涤纶长丝有12.4%的产能投产已超20年存在出清空间。</li>
</ul>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</section>
<!-- 风险提示 -->
<section class="py-20 px-4">
<div class="max-w-6xl mx-auto">
<h2 class="text-4xl font-bold text-center mb-12">潜在风险与挑战</h2>
<div class="grid md:grid-cols-2 lg:grid-cols-4 gap-6">
<div class="glass-card rounded-xl p-6 border-l-4 border-red-500" data-aos="flip-left">
<h4 class="font-bold text-lg mb-3 text-red-400">需求风险</h4>
<p class="text-slate-400 text-sm">若2026年GDP增速低于5%纺织服装消费增速降至3%以下将削弱减产效果。需跟踪10-11月织机开工率。</p>
</div>
<div class="glass-card rounded-xl p-6 border-l-4 border-yellow-500" data-aos="flip-left" data-aos-delay="100">
<h4 class="font-bold text-lg mb-3 text-yellow-400">协同风险</h4>
<p class="text-slate-400 text-sm">历史看价格回升后企业有复产冲动。但2026年无新增产能复产即亏损且龙头股权高度绑定持续性较强。</p>
</div>
<div class="glass-card rounded-xl p-6 border-l-4 border-blue-500" data-aos="flip-left" data-aos-delay="200">
<h4 class="font-bold text-lg mb-3 text-blue-400">瓶片拖累</h4>
<p class="text-slate-400 text-sm">瓶片2023-2024年投产过大出口反倾销风险美国税率77.15%)可能蔓延,抑制利润修复。</p>
</div>
<div class="glass-card rounded-xl p-6 border-l-4 border-purple-500" data-aos="flip-left" data-aos-delay="300">
<h4 class="font-bold text-lg mb-3 text-purple-400">政策转向</h4>
<p class="text-slate-400 text-sm">若2026年经济下行压力增大保供优先于反内卷行政协调减产可能被弱化。但当前产能过剩已引发高层关注。</p>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</section>
<div class="bento-item bento-item-4 glass-card rounded-3xl p-6">
<h3 class="text-xl font-semibold mb-3">国际贸易与政策</h3>
<p class="text-sm text-gray-400">外部环境复杂,但亦有机遇出现。</p>
<ul class="space-y-2 text-sm custom-list mt-4">
<li><strong class="text-white">印度撤销BIS认证:</strong> 2025年11月印度撤销对部分聚酯产品的BIS认证直接拉动对印出口。</li>
<li><strong class="text-white">反倾销调查:</strong> 美国、印度、土耳其等对中国聚酯产品发起双反调查,是持续存在的外部威胁。</li>
<li><strong class="text-white">期货市场:</strong> 郑商所积极推进聚酯板块品种对外开放,提升产业链风险管理工具。</li>
</ul>
</div>
<!-- 结论 -->
<section class="py-20 px-4 gradient-bg">
<div class="max-w-6xl mx-auto text-center">
<h2 class="text-5xl font-bold mb-8" data-aos="fade-up">综合结论</h2>
<div class="glass-card rounded-2xl p-8 mb-8" data-aos="fade-up" data-aos-delay="100">
<p class="text-xl leading-relaxed">
聚酯产业正站在 <strong class="text-yellow-300">"三年亏损,一朝反转"</strong> 的拐点上,由惨烈的亏损倒逼出最强的协同决心。
这不是周期股的简单反弹,而是 <strong class="text-green-300">行业竞争格局重塑带来的估值修复</strong>
PTA加工费从负值修复至合理水平长丝库存从历史高位降至历史低位这两个极端数据的背离恰恰揭示了最大的投资机会。
</p>
</div>
<div class="grid md:grid-cols-2 gap-6 text-left mb-8">
<div class="glass-card rounded-xl p-6" data-aos="fade-up" data-aos-delay="200">
<h4 class="font-bold text-lg mb-3 text-green-400">🔥 优先配置方向</h4>
<ul class="space-y-2 text-sm">
<li><strong>PTA环节</strong>:恒力石化(规模最大)、桐昆股份(双弹性)</li>
<li><strong>长丝龙头</strong>桐昆股份1350万吨、新凤鸣一体化100%</li>
<li><strong>PX上游</strong>荣盛石化浙石化51%</li>
<li><strong>谨慎博弈</strong>:万凯新材(瓶片扭亏)</li>
</ul>
<div class="bento-item bento-item-5 glass-card rounded-3xl p-6">
<h3 class="text-xl font-semibold mb-3">市场观点碰撞</h3>
<p class="text-sm text-gray-400">机构对终端需求判断存在巨大分歧,是核心风险点。</p>
<div class="mt-4 space-y-3 text-sm">
<div class="p-3 rounded-xl bg-green-500/10 border border-green-500/30">
<p class="font-semibold text-green-300">乐观观点 (2025.11.09路演):</p>
<p>"金九银十需求后移冷冬十五规划四季度至2026年景气向上。"</p>
</div>
<div class="p-3 rounded-xl bg-red-500/10 border border-red-500/30">
<p class="font-semibold text-red-300">悲观观点 (2025.11.11路演):</p>
<p>"成本端原油弱势、终端出口疲软,库存压力仍大...聚酯终端需求继续下滑风险。"</p>
</div>
</div>
</div>
<div class="bento-item bento-item-6 glass-card rounded-3xl p-6">
<h3 class="text-xl font-semibold mb-3">市场反应案例:新乡化纤涨幅分析</h3>
<p class="text-sm text-gray-400 mb-4">2025年9月26日新乡化纤上涨6.73%,其背后逻辑与聚酯产业“反内卷”高度相关。</p>
<div class="grid md:grid-cols-3 gap-4 text-xs">
<div class="bg-gray-800/50 p-3 rounded-lg">
<p class="font-bold text-cyan-300 mb-1">行业因素</p>
<p>聚酯产业链集体上涨,市场交易“反内卷”成效。主流涤纶长丝大厂协同减产,执行“限产保价”,推动产业生态健康化。</p>
</div>
<div class="bg-gray-800/50 p-3 rounded-lg">
<p class="font-bold text-cyan-300 mb-1">原材料带动</p>
<p>原油价格高位PTA价格受成本支撑上涨带动化纤产品价格上涨预期。涤纶长丝产销数据火爆日均超600%)。</p>
</div>
<div class="bg-gray-800/50 p-3 rounded-lg">
<p class="font-bold text-cyan-300 mb-1">资金与情绪</p>
<p>板块轮动效应明显,资金从高位科技股流向相对低位的化纤等周期行业。市场对行业悲观预期得到修复。</p>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
<div class="glass-card rounded-xl p-6" data-aos="fade-up" data-aos-delay="300">
<h4 class="font-bold text-lg mb-3 text-blue-400">📊 关键跟踪指标</h4>
<ul class="space-y-2 text-sm">
<li><strong>PTA加工费</strong>:目标从-200元→200-300元</li>
<li><strong>长丝库存</strong>目标维持15天以下</li>
<li><strong>龙头开工率</strong>12月降至82-85%</li>
<li><strong>出口数据</strong>维持25-30万吨/月</li>
</ul>
</div>
</div>
<div class="text-2xl font-bold text-yellow-300" data-aos="fade-up" data-aos-delay="400">
核心策略重仓PTA和长丝龙头等待2026年供给拐点后的戴维斯双击
</div>
</div>
</section>
</section>
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<p class="text-slate-500">
本报告基于公开市场信息整理不构成投资建议。数据来源Wind、公司公告、行业研报、路演记录
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<!-- Stock Tables Section -->
<section class="anim-on-scroll opacity-0" style="animation-delay: 300ms;">
<h2 class="text-3xl font-bold mb-6 text-center">产业链核心标的 (Core Stocks)</h2>
<div class="space-y-8">
<div>
<h3 class="text-2xl font-semibold mb-4 text-fuchsia-400">上游: 对二甲苯(PX)</h3>
<div class="overflow-x-auto glass-card rounded-2xl">
<table class="table w-full">
<thead>
<tr>
<th>股票名称</th>
<th>股票代码</th>
<th>核心逻辑/产能</th>
<th>其他标签</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr><td>荣盛石化</td><td><a href="https://valuefrontier.cn/company?scode=002493" target="_blank" class="link link-hover text-cyan-400">002493</a></td><td>现有产能1040万吨/年 (公司持股51%的浙石化是全球单体规模最大的PX生产基地)</td><td><div class="badge badge-primary badge-outline">产业链位置: 上游</div></td></tr>
<tr><td>恒力石化</td><td><a href="https://valuefrontier.cn/company?scode=600346" target="_blank" class="link link-hover text-cyan-400">600346</a></td><td>现有产能520万吨/年</td><td><div class="badge badge-primary badge-outline">产业链位置: 上游</div></td></tr>
<tr><td>东方盛虹</td><td><a href="https://valuefrontier.cn/company?scode=000301" target="_blank" class="link link-hover text-cyan-400">000301</a></td><td>现有产能280万吨/年</td><td><div class="badge badge-primary badge-outline">产业链位置: 上游</div></td></tr>
<tr><td>恒逸石化</td><td><a href="https://valuefrontier.cn/company?scode=000703" target="_blank" class="link link-hover text-cyan-400">000703</a></td><td>现有产能PX、苯等化工品参控股产能 265万吨/年</td><td><div class="badge badge-primary badge-outline">产业链位置: 上游</div></td></tr>
<tr><td>桐昆股份</td><td><a href="https://valuefrontier.cn/company?scode=601233" target="_blank" class="link link-hover text-cyan-400">601233</a></td><td>浙石化公司持股20%是全球单体规模最大的PX生产基地</td><td><div class="badge badge-primary badge-outline">产业链位置: 上游</div></td></tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
</div>
<div>
<h3 class="text-2xl font-semibold mb-4 text-sky-400">中游: 精对苯二甲酸(PTA)</h3>
<div class="overflow-x-auto glass-card rounded-2xl">
<table class="table w-full">
<thead>
<tr>
<th>股票名称</th>
<th>股票代码</th>
<th>核心逻辑/产能</th>
<th>其他标签</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr><td>恒力石化</td><td><a href="https://valuefrontier.cn/company?scode=600346" target="_blank" class="link link-hover text-cyan-400">600346</a></td><td>现有产能1660万吨/年</td><td><div class="badge badge-info badge-outline">产业链位置: 中游</div></td></tr>
<tr><td>恒逸石化</td><td><a href="https://valuefrontier.cn/company?scode=000703" target="_blank" class="link link-hover text-cyan-400">000703</a></td><td>现有产能1049万吨/年 (权益产能)</td><td><div class="badge badge-info badge-outline">产业链位置: 中游</div></td></tr>
<tr><td>荣盛石化</td><td><a href="https://valuefrontier.cn/company?scode=002493" target="_blank" class="link link-hover text-cyan-400">002493</a></td><td>现有产能1040万吨/年</td><td><div class="badge badge-info badge-outline">产业链位置: 中游</div></td></tr>
<tr><td>桐昆股份</td><td><a href="https://valuefrontier.cn/company?scode=601233" target="_blank" class="link link-hover text-cyan-400">601233</a></td><td>现有产能1020万吨/年</td><td><div class="badge badge-info badge-outline">产业链位置: 中游</div></td></tr>
<tr><td>新凤鸣</td><td><a href="https://valuefrontier.cn/company?scode=603225" target="_blank" class="link link-hover text-cyan-400">603225</a></td><td>现有产能800万吨/年</td><td><div class="badge badge-info badge-outline">产业链位置: 中游</div></td></tr>
<tr><td>东方盛虹</td><td><a href="https://valuefrontier.cn/company?scode=000301" target="_blank" class="link link-hover text-cyan-400">000301</a></td><td>现有产能390万吨/年</td><td><div class="badge badge-info badge-outline">产业链位置: 中游</div></td></tr>
<tr><td>三房巷</td><td><a href="https://valuefrontier.cn/company?scode=600370" target="_blank" class="link link-hover text-cyan-400">600370</a></td><td>320万吨PTA技改项目稳步建设</td><td><div class="badge badge-info badge-outline">产业链位置: 中游</div></td></tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
</div>
<div>
<h3 class="text-2xl font-semibold mb-4 text-emerald-400">下游: 聚酯产品 (长丝/瓶片/短纤)</h3>
<div class="space-y-6">
<div class="overflow-x-auto glass-card rounded-2xl">
<table class="table w-full">
<caption><div class="text-left font-semibold p-2 text-lg">涤纶长丝</div></caption>
<thead><tr><th>股票名称</th><th>股票代码</th><th>核心逻辑/产能</th></tr></thead>
<tbody>
<tr><td>桐昆股份</td><td><a href="https://valuefrontier.cn/company?scode=601233" target="_blank" class="link link-hover text-cyan-400">601233</a></td><td>现有产能1350万吨/年(涤纶长丝行业龙头)</td></tr>
<tr><td>新凤鸣</td><td><a href="https://valuefrontier.cn/company?scode=603225" target="_blank" class="link link-hover text-cyan-400">603225</a></td><td>现有产能805万吨/年国内市场占有率超12%</td></tr>
<tr><td>恒逸石化</td><td><a href="https://valuefrontier.cn/company?scode=000703" target="_blank" class="link link-hover text-cyan-400">000703</a></td><td>参控股产能涤纶长丝含聚酯切片677万吨/年</td></tr>
<tr><td>恒力石化</td><td><a href="https://valuefrontier.cn/company?scode=600346" target="_blank" class="link link-hover text-cyan-400">600346</a></td><td>合计产能(涤纶长丝+民用丝410万吨/年</td></tr>
<tr><td>东方盛虹</td><td><a href="https://valuefrontier.cn/company?scode=000301" target="_blank" class="link link-hover text-cyan-400">000301</a></td><td>现有产能360万吨/年</td></tr>
<tr><td>荣盛石化</td><td><a href="https://valuefrontier.cn/company?scode=002493" target="_blank" class="link link-hover text-cyan-400">002493</a></td><td>现有产能142万吨/年(POY+FDY+DTY)</td></tr>
<tr><td>尤夫股份</td><td><a href="https://valuefrontier.cn/company?scode=002427" target="_blank" class="link link-hover text-cyan-400">002427</a></td><td>现有产能30万吨/年(涤纶工业丝,全球排名第三)</td></tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
<div class="overflow-x-auto glass-card rounded-2xl">
<table class="table w-full">
<caption><div class="text-left font-semibold p-2 text-lg">聚酯瓶片</div></caption>
<thead><tr><th>股票名称</th><th>股票代码</th><th>核心逻辑/产能</th></tr></thead>
<tbody>
<tr><td>荣盛石化</td><td><a href="https://valuefrontier.cn/company?scode=002493" target="_blank" class="link link-hover text-cyan-400">002493</a></td><td>现有产能530万吨/年</td></tr>
<tr><td>万凯新材</td><td><a href="https://valuefrontier.cn/company?scode=301216" target="_blank" class="link link-hover text-cyan-400">301216</a></td><td>现有产能300万吨/年</td></tr>
<tr><td>三房巷</td><td><a href="https://valuefrontier.cn/company?scode=600370" target="_blank" class="link link-hover text-cyan-400">600370</a></td><td>现有产能240万吨/年 (2021年国内市占率19.34%)</td></tr>
<tr><td>恒逸石化</td><td><a href="https://valuefrontier.cn/company?scode=000703" target="_blank" class="link link-hover text-cyan-400">000703</a></td><td>现有产能235万吨/年 (权益产能)</td></tr>
<tr><td>华润材料</td><td><a href="https://valuefrontier.cn/company?scode=301090" target="_blank" class="link link-hover text-cyan-400">301090</a></td><td>现有产能210万吨/年</td></tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
<div class="overflow-x-auto glass-card rounded-2xl">
<table class="table w-full">
<caption><div class="text-left font-semibold p-2 text-lg">涤纶短纤</div></caption>
<thead><tr><th>股票名称</th><th>股票代码</th><th>核心逻辑/产能</th></tr></thead>
<tbody>
<tr><td>恒逸石化</td><td><a href="https://valuefrontier.cn/company?scode=000703" target="_blank" class="link link-hover text-cyan-400">000703</a></td><td>参控股产能118万吨/年</td></tr>
<tr><td>华西股份</td><td><a href="https://valuefrontier.cn/company?scode=000936" target="_blank" class="link link-hover text-cyan-400">000936</a></td><td>现有产能50万吨/年</td></tr>
<tr><td>优彩资源</td><td><a href="https://valuefrontier.cn/company?scode=002998" target="_blank" class="link link-hover text-cyan-400">002998</a></td><td>现有产能34.54万吨/年</td></tr>
<tr><td>江南高纤</td><td><a href="https://valuefrontier.cn/company?scode=600527" target="_blank" class="link link-hover text-cyan-400">600527</a></td><td>复合短纤维产能23万吨/年</td></tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</section>
</main>
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