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<!DOCTYPE html>
<html lang="zh-CN">
<head>
<meta charset="utf-8" />
<meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1, shrink-to-fit=no">
<title>大飞机概念深度分析报告</title>
<link href="https://fonts.googleapis.com/css2?family=Inter:wght@300;400;500;600;700;800&display=swap" rel="stylesheet" />
<link href="https://cdn.jsdelivr.net/npm/tailwindcss@2.2.19/dist/tailwind.min.css" rel="stylesheet">
<link href="https://cdn.jsdelivr.net/npm/daisyui@5/dist/full.css" rel="stylesheet">
<script src="https://cdn.jsdelivr.net/npm/@tailwindcss/browser@4"></script>
<link href="https://cdn.jsdelivr.net/npm/tailwindcss@2.2.19/dist/tailwind.min.css" rel="stylesheet">
<script src="https://kit.fontawesome.com/1d2b6c4f81.js" crossorigin="anonymous"></script>
<script src="https://cdn.jsdelivr.net/npm/tsparticles@3/tsparticles.bundle.min.js"></script>
<script src="https://cdnjs.cloudflare.com/ajax/libs/three.js/r134/three.min.js"></script>
<script src="https://cdnjs.cloudflare.com/ajax/libs/vanta/0.5.24/vanta.waves.min.js"></script>
<style>
body {
font-family: 'Inter', sans-serif;
overflow-x: hidden;
}
#vanta-bg {
position: fixed;
top: 0;
left: 0;
width: 100%;
height: 100%;
z-index: -1;
}
.glass-effect {
background: rgba(255, 255, 255, 0.85);
backdrop-filter: blur(10px);
border-radius: 16px;
border: 1px solid rgba(255, 255, 255, 0.2);
box-shadow: 0 8px 32px 0 rgba(31, 38, 135, 0.15);
}
.timeline-dot {
width: 16px;
height: 16px;
background-color: #3b82f6;
border-radius: 50%;
position: absolute;
left: -8px;
top: 6px;
}
.timeline-line {
position: absolute;
left: 0;
top: 22px;
bottom: 0;
width: 2px;
background-color: #d1d5db;
}
.highlight {
background: linear-gradient(120deg, #a5b4fc 0%, #c7d2fe 100%);
background-repeat: no-repeat;
background-size: 100% 40%;
background-position: 0 90%;
padding: 0 4px;
}
.table-responsive {
overflow-x: auto;
-webkit-overflow-scrolling: touch;
}
@media (max-width: 768px) {
.timeline-line {
left: 7px;
}
.timeline-dot {
left: -1px;
}
}
</style>
</head>
<body class="bg-gray-50 text-gray-800">
<div id="vanta-bg"></div>
<div class="container mx-auto px-4 py-8 max-w-6xl">
<!-- 标题部分 -->
<div class="glass-effect p-8 mb-8 text-center">
<h1 class="text-4xl md:text-5xl font-bold text-gray-800 mb-4">大飞机概念深度分析报告</h1>
<p class="text-lg text-gray-600 max-w-3xl mx-auto">
C919从"小批量验证"进入"规模化量产"阶段,国产大飞机产业迎来历史性发展机遇
</p>
<div class="mt-6 flex flex-wrap justify-center gap-4">
<span class="px-4 py-2 bg-blue-100 text-blue-800 rounded-full text-sm font-medium">产能爬坡</span>
<span class="px-4 py-2 bg-blue-100 text-blue-800 rounded-full text-sm font-medium">国产替代</span>
<span class="px-4 py-2 bg-blue-100 text-blue-800 rounded-full text-sm font-medium">出海逻辑</span>
<span class="px-4 py-2 bg-blue-100 text-blue-800 rounded-full text-sm font-medium">政策支持</span>
</div>
</div>
<!-- 概念事件时间轴 -->
<div class="glass-effect p-6 mb-8">
<h2 class="text-2xl font-bold text-gray-800 mb-6 flex items-center">
<i class="fas fa-history mr-3 text-blue-500"></i>概念事件时间轴
</h2>
<div class="relative pl-8">
<div class="timeline-line"></div>
<div class="relative mb-8">
<div class="timeline-dot"></div>
<div class="bg-white p-4 rounded-lg shadow-sm">
<div class="flex flex-wrap items-center justify-between mb-2">
<h3 class="font-bold text-lg text-gray-800">2024年12月</h3>
<span class="px-3 py-1 bg-blue-100 text-blue-800 rounded-full text-sm">规模化启动</span>
</div>
<p class="text-gray-600">中国商飞启动"大飞机规模化系列化建设项目"C919从"小批量验证"进入"规模化量产"阶段</p>
</div>
</div>
<div class="relative mb-8">
<div class="timeline-dot"></div>
<div class="bg-white p-4 rounded-lg shadow-sm">
<div class="flex flex-wrap items-center justify-between mb-2">
<h3 class="font-bold text-lg text-gray-800">2025年3月</h3>
<span class="px-3 py-1 bg-green-100 text-green-800 rounded-full text-sm">产能超预期</span>
</div>
<p class="text-gray-600">商飞供应商大会披露<span class="highlight">2029年C919产能目标200架/年</span>较2027年150架上调33%2025年产能从50架上调至75架+50%</p>
</div>
</div>
<div class="relative mb-8">
<div class="timeline-dot"></div>
<div class="bg-white p-4 rounded-lg shadow-sm">
<div class="flex flex-wrap items-center justify-between mb-2">
<h3 class="font-bold text-lg text-gray-800">2025年4月</h3>
<span class="px-3 py-1 bg-red-100 text-red-800 rounded-full text-sm">贸易摩擦升级</span>
</div>
<p class="text-gray-600">中美贸易摩擦升级,<span class="highlight">波音进口关税从1%-5%暴增至125%</span>中国航司暂停接收波音飞机存量波音机队占比超45%</p>
</div>
</div>
<div class="relative mb-8">
<div class="timeline-dot"></div>
<div class="bg-white p-4 rounded-lg shadow-sm">
<div class="flex flex-wrap items-center justify-between mb-2">
<h3 class="font-bold text-lg text-gray-800">2025年4月</h3>
<span class="px-3 py-1 bg-purple-100 text-purple-800 rounded-full text-sm">出海突破</span>
</div>
<p class="text-gray-600">越南、马来西亚等国与中国签署协议,<span class="highlight">C919首次获得东南亚出口意向订单</span>,出海逻辑验证</p>
</div>
</div>
<div class="relative">
<div class="timeline-dot"></div>
<div class="bg-white p-4 rounded-lg shadow-sm">
<div class="flex flex-wrap items-center justify-between mb-2">
<h3 class="font-bold text-lg text-gray-800">2025年6月</h3>
<span class="px-3 py-1 bg-yellow-100 text-yellow-800 rounded-full text-sm">运营扩展</span>
</div>
<p class="text-gray-600">C919完成支线机场南阳姜营商业首航运营场景从干线拓展至"干支通"网络</p>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
<!-- 核心观点摘要 -->
<div class="glass-effect p-6 mb-8">
<h2 class="text-2xl font-bold text-gray-800 mb-6 flex items-center">
<i class="fas fa-lightbulb mr-3 text-yellow-500"></i>核心观点摘要
</h2>
<div class="grid grid-cols-1 md:grid-cols-3 gap-6">
<div class="bg-white p-5 rounded-lg shadow-sm">
<div class="text-blue-500 mb-3">
<i class="fas fa-chart-line text-2xl"></i>
</div>
<h3 class="font-bold text-lg text-gray-800 mb-2">阶段判断</h3>
<p class="text-gray-600">C919已从"主题炒作"进入"基本面驱动"阶段,<span class="highlight">2025年是产能从10→100的关键拐点</span>国产化率60%→80%的加速期</p>
</div>
<div class="bg-white p-5 rounded-lg shadow-sm">
<div class="text-green-500 mb-3">
<i class="fas fa-rocket text-2xl"></i>
</div>
<h3 class="font-bold text-lg text-gray-800 mb-2">核心驱动力</h3>
<p class="text-gray-600"><span class="highlight">外部制裁(波音关税)+内部产能爬坡2029年200架+政策强制替代</span>形成三重共振</p>
</div>
<div class="bg-white p-5 rounded-lg shadow-sm">
<div class="text-purple-500 mb-3">
<i class="fas fa-globe-asia text-2xl"></i>
</div>
<h3 class="font-bold text-lg text-gray-800 mb-2">未来潜力</h3>
<p class="text-gray-600">未来20年中国需接收<span class="highlight">9000架新机1.4万亿美元市场)</span>C919当前订单仅1300架渗透率提升空间巨大</p>
</div>
</div>
</div>
<!-- 核心逻辑与市场认知 -->
<div class="glass-effect p-6 mb-8">
<h2 class="text-2xl font-bold text-gray-800 mb-6 flex items-center">
<i class="fas fa-brain mr-3 text-indigo-500"></i>核心逻辑与市场认知
</h2>
<div class="mb-8">
<h3 class="text-xl font-bold text-gray-800 mb-4">核心驱动力</h3>
<div class="grid grid-cols-1 md:grid-cols-3 gap-5">
<div class="bg-blue-50 p-5 rounded-lg border-l-4 border-blue-500">
<h4 class="font-bold text-gray-800 mb-2 flex items-center">
<i class="fas fa-landmark mr-2 text-blue-500"></i>政策强制替代
</h4>
<ul class="text-gray-600 space-y-2 text-sm">
<li>• 存量替代中国航司波音机队占比45%,暂停交付后每年需<span class="highlight">200-300架国产机填补缺口</span></li>
<li>• 增量替代2025年C919产能75架占国内新增需求30%2029年200架占新增需求60%</li>
</ul>
</div>
<div class="bg-green-50 p-5 rounded-lg border-l-4 border-green-500">
<h4 class="font-bold text-gray-800 mb-2 flex items-center">
<i class="fas fa-microchip mr-2 text-green-500"></i>技术突破验证
</h4>
<ul class="text-gray-600 space-y-2 text-sm">
<li>• 国产化率C919当前60%<span class="highlight">发动机长江1000A、航电系统中航机载</span>2025年有望突破</li>
<li>• 适航认证EASA第三轮认证完成2025年取证后打开欧洲市场占全球20%份额)</li>
</ul>
</div>
<div class="bg-purple-50 p-5 rounded-lg border-l-4 border-purple-500">
<h4 class="font-bold text-gray-800 mb-2 flex items-center">
<i class="fas fa-dollar-sign mr-2 text-purple-500"></i>成本优势
</h4>
<ul class="text-gray-600 space-y-2 text-sm">
<li>• 价格差C919目录价<span class="highlight">0.99亿美元/架</span>较波音737MAX1.23亿低20%</li>
<li>• 航司采购意愿强烈东航2023年客座率77%验证商业可行性)</li>
</ul>
</div>
</div>
</div>
<div class="mb-8">
<h3 class="text-xl font-bold text-gray-800 mb-4">市场热度与情绪</h3>
<div class="bg-white p-5 rounded-lg shadow-sm">
<div class="grid grid-cols-1 md:grid-cols-2 gap-6">
<div>
<div class="flex items-center mb-3">
<i class="fas fa-file-alt text-blue-500 mr-2"></i>
<h4 class="font-bold text-gray-800">研报密集度</h4>
</div>
<p class="text-gray-600">2024年8月-2025年6月<span class="highlight">15家券商发布20篇深度报告</span>,关键词从"主题"转向"订单落地"</p>
</div>
<div>
<div class="flex items-center mb-3">
<i class="fas fa-chart-line text-green-500 mr-2"></i>
<h4 class="font-bold text-gray-800">情绪指标</h4>
</div>
<p class="text-gray-600">2025年4月关税事件后<span class="highlight">大飞机指数单月涨幅35%</span>同期沪深300涨5%但机构持仓比例仍低于5%,存在分歧</p>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
<div>
<h3 class="text-xl font-bold text-gray-800 mb-4">预期差分析</h3>
<div class="bg-yellow-50 p-5 rounded-lg border-l-4 border-yellow-500">
<div class="flex items-start">
<i class="fas fa-exclamation-triangle text-yellow-500 mt-1 mr-3"></i>
<div>
<p class="text-gray-800 font-medium mb-2">市场共识 vs 预期差</p>
<p class="text-gray-600">市场共识C919产能2027年150架</p>
<p class="text-gray-600">预期差:商飞最新规划<span class="highlight">2029年200架+33%</span>且2025年采购额增70%航材采购量翻4倍产业链公司订单弹性被低估</p>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
<!-- 关联股票表格 -->
<div class="glass-effect p-6 mb-8">
<h2 class="text-2xl font-bold text-gray-800 mb-6 flex items-center">
<i class="fas fa-table mr-3 text-green-500"></i>大飞机产业链核心公司
</h2>
<div class="table-responsive">
<table class="min-w-full bg-white rounded-lg overflow-hidden">
<thead class="bg-gray-100">
<tr>
<th class="py-3 px-4 text-left text-xs font-medium text-gray-500 uppercase tracking-wider">股票名称</th>
<th class="py-3 px-4 text-left text-xs font-medium text-gray-500 uppercase tracking-wider">项目</th>
<th class="py-3 px-4 text-left text-xs font-medium text-gray-500 uppercase tracking-wider">行业</th>
<th class="py-3 px-4 text-left text-xs font-medium text-gray-500 uppercase tracking-wider">参与原因</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody class="divide-y divide-gray-200">
<tr class="hover:bg-gray-50">
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm font-medium text-gray-900">三角防务</td>
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-500">总装</td>
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-500">机体制造</td>
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-500">参与大飞机总装制造</td>
</tr>
<tr class="hover:bg-gray-50">
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm font-medium text-gray-900">中航西飞</td>
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-500">总装</td>
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-500">机体制造</td>
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-500">参与大飞机总装制造</td>
</tr>
<tr class="hover:bg-gray-50">
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm font-medium text-gray-900">中航沈飞</td>
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-500">总装</td>
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-500">机体制造</td>
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-500">参与大飞机总装制造</td>
</tr>
<tr class="hover:bg-gray-50">
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm font-medium text-gray-900">洪都航空</td>
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-500">总装</td>
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-500">机体制造</td>
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-500">参与大飞机总装制造</td>
</tr>
<tr class="hover:bg-gray-50">
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm font-medium text-gray-900">中直股份</td>
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-500">总装</td>
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-500">机体制造</td>
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-500">参与大飞机总装制造</td>
</tr>
<tr class="hover:bg-gray-50">
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm font-medium text-gray-900">航发动力</td>
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-500">叶片类</td>
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-500">零部件</td>
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-500">供应大飞机叶片类零部件</td>
</tr>
<tr class="hover:bg-gray-50">
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm font-medium text-gray-900">航亚科技</td>
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-500">叶片类</td>
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-500">零部件</td>
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-500">供应大飞机叶片类零部件</td>
</tr>
<tr class="hover:bg-gray-50">
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm font-medium text-gray-900">航发科技</td>
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-500">叶片类</td>
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-500">零部件</td>
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-500">供应大飞机叶片类零部件</td>
</tr>
<tr class="hover:bg-gray-50">
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm font-medium text-gray-900">应流股份</td>
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-500">叶片类</td>
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-500">零部件</td>
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-500">供应大飞机叶片类零部件</td>
</tr>
<tr class="hover:bg-gray-50">
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm font-medium text-gray-900">万泽股份</td>
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-500">叶片类</td>
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-500">零部件</td>
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-500">供应大飞机叶片类零部件</td>
</tr>
<tr class="hover:bg-gray-50">
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm font-medium text-gray-900">三角防务</td>
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-500">盘类</td>
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-500">零部件</td>
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-500">供应大飞机盘类零部件</td>
</tr>
<tr class="hover:bg-gray-50">
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm font-medium text-gray-900">航发动力</td>
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-500">盘类</td>
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-500">零部件</td>
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-500">供应大飞机盘类零部件</td>
</tr>
<tr class="hover:bg-gray-50">
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm font-medium text-gray-900">钢研高纳</td>
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-500">盘类</td>
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-500">零部件</td>
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-500">供应大飞机盘类零部件</td>
</tr>
<tr class="hover:bg-gray-50">
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm font-medium text-gray-900">中航重机</td>
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-500">盘类</td>
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-500">零部件</td>
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-500">供应大飞机盘类零部件</td>
</tr>
<tr class="hover:bg-gray-50">
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm font-medium text-gray-900">图南股份</td>
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-500">机匣类</td>
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-500">零部件</td>
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-500">供应大飞机机匣类零部件</td>
</tr>
<tr class="hover:bg-gray-50">
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm font-medium text-gray-900">中航重机</td>
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-500">机匣类</td>
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-500">零部件</td>
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-500">供应大飞机机匣类零部件</td>
</tr>
<tr class="hover:bg-gray-50">
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm font-medium text-gray-900">派克新材</td>
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-500">机匣类</td>
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-500">零部件</td>
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-500">供应大飞机机匣类零部件</td>
</tr>
<tr class="hover:bg-gray-50">
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm font-medium text-gray-900">航宇科技</td>
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-500">机匣类</td>
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-500">零部件</td>
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-500">供应大飞机机匣类零部件</td>
</tr>
<tr class="hover:bg-gray-50">
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm font-medium text-gray-900">华伍股份</td>
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-500">机匣类</td>
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-500">零部件</td>
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-500">供应大飞机机匣类零部件</td>
</tr>
<tr class="hover:bg-gray-50">
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm font-medium text-gray-900">润贝航科</td>
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-500">航材</td>
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-500">零部件</td>
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-500">供应大飞机航材</td>
</tr>
<tr class="hover:bg-gray-50">
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm font-medium text-gray-900">新研股份</td>
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-500">航材</td>
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-500">零部件</td>
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-500">供应大飞机航材</td>
</tr>
<tr class="hover:bg-gray-50">
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm font-medium text-gray-900">中航高科</td>
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-500">航材</td>
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-500">零部件</td>
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-500">供应大飞机航材</td>
</tr>
<tr class="hover:bg-gray-50">
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm font-medium text-gray-900">中复神鹰</td>
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-500">航材</td>
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-500">零部件</td>
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-500">供应大飞机航材</td>
</tr>
<tr class="hover:bg-gray-50">
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm font-medium text-gray-900">航发动力</td>
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-500">动力短舱</td>
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-500">机载系统</td>
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-500">参与大飞机动力短舱制造</td>
</tr>
<tr class="hover:bg-gray-50">
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm font-medium text-gray-900">北摩高科</td>
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-500">起落架刹车</td>
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-500">机载系统</td>
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-500">供应大飞机起落架刹车系统</td>
</tr>
<tr class="hover:bg-gray-50">
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm font-medium text-gray-900">博云新材</td>
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-500">起落架刹车</td>
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-500">机载系统</td>
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-500">供应大飞机起落架刹车系统</td>
</tr>
<tr class="hover:bg-gray-50">
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm font-medium text-gray-900">昊华科技</td>
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-500">起落架刹车</td>
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-500">机载系统</td>
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-500">供应大飞机起落架刹车系统</td>
</tr>
<tr class="hover:bg-gray-50">
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm font-medium text-gray-900">中航机载</td>
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-500">机电液压</td>
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-500">机载系统</td>
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-500">供应大飞机机电液压系统</td>
</tr>
<tr class="hover:bg-gray-50">
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm font-medium text-gray-900">江航装备</td>
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-500">环控系统</td>
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-500">机载系统</td>
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-500">供应大飞机环控系统</td>
</tr>
<tr class="hover:bg-gray-50">
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm font-medium text-gray-900">四川九洲</td>
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-500">航电系统</td>
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-500">机载系统</td>
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-500">供应大飞机航电系统</td>
</tr>
<tr class="hover:bg-gray-50">
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm font-medium text-gray-900">中航机载</td>
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-500">航电系统</td>
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-500">机载系统</td>
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-500">供应大飞机航电系统</td>
</tr>
<tr class="hover:bg-gray-50">
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm font-medium text-gray-900">航新科技</td>
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-500">运营维修</td>
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-500">运营维修</td>
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-500">提供大飞机运营维修服务</td>
</tr>
<tr class="hover:bg-gray-50">
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm font-medium text-gray-900">海特高新</td>
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-500">运营维修</td>
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-500">运营维修</td>
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-500">提供大飞机运营维修服务</td>
</tr>
<tr class="hover:bg-gray-50">
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm font-medium text-gray-900">安达维尔</td>
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-500">运营维修</td>
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-500">运营维修</td>
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-500">提供大飞机运营维修服务</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
</div>
<!-- 关键催化剂与未来发展路径 -->
<div class="glass-effect p-6 mb-8">
<h2 class="text-2xl font-bold text-gray-800 mb-6 flex items-center">
<i class="fas fa-route mr-3 text-purple-500"></i>关键催化剂与未来发展路径
</h2>
<div class="mb-8">
<h3 class="text-xl font-bold text-gray-800 mb-4">近期催化剂3-6个月</h3>
<div class="grid grid-cols-1 md:grid-cols-3 gap-5">
<div class="bg-white p-5 rounded-lg shadow-sm border-l-4 border-blue-500">
<div class="flex items-center mb-3">
<div class="bg-blue-100 p-2 rounded-full mr-3">
<i class="fas fa-certificate text-blue-600"></i>
</div>
<h4 class="font-bold text-gray-800">2025年Q3</h4>
</div>
<p class="text-gray-600">C919欧洲EASA取证结果若通过欧洲订单或超100架</p>
</div>
<div class="bg-white p-5 rounded-lg shadow-sm border-l-4 border-green-500">
<div class="flex items-center mb-3">
<div class="bg-green-100 p-2 rounded-full mr-3">
<i class="fas fa-cog text-green-600"></i>
</div>
<h4 class="font-bold text-gray-800">2025年Q4</h4>
</div>
<p class="text-gray-600"><span class="highlight">长江1000A发动机</span>首次装机试飞(国产替代里程碑)</p>
</div>
<div class="bg-white p-5 rounded-lg shadow-sm border-l-4 border-purple-500">
<div class="flex items-center mb-3">
<div class="bg-purple-100 p-2 rounded-full mr-3">
<i class="fas fa-file-contract text-purple-600"></i>
</div>
<h4 class="font-bold text-gray-800">2025年全年</h4>
</div>
<p class="text-gray-600">三大航追加订单(预计国航/南航各增50架</p>
</div>
</div>
</div>
<div>
<h3 class="text-xl font-bold text-gray-800 mb-4">长期发展路径</h3>
<div class="bg-white p-5 rounded-lg shadow-sm overflow-x-auto">
<table class="min-w-full">
<thead>
<tr class="bg-gray-50">
<th class="py-3 px-4 text-left text-sm font-medium text-gray-500 uppercase">阶段</th>
<th class="py-3 px-4 text-left text-sm font-medium text-gray-500 uppercase">里程碑</th>
<th class="py-3 px-4 text-left text-sm font-medium text-gray-500 uppercase">关键指标</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody class="divide-y divide-gray-200">
<tr>
<td class="py-4 px-4 text-sm font-medium text-gray-900">2025-2027</td>
<td class="py-4 px-4 text-sm text-gray-600">产能爬坡至150架/年</td>
<td class="py-4 px-4 text-sm text-gray-600">年交付量≥100架</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td class="py-4 px-4 text-sm font-medium text-gray-900">2028-2030</td>
<td class="py-4 px-4 text-sm text-gray-600">国产化率80%+出口东南亚/欧洲</td>
<td class="py-4 px-4 text-sm text-gray-600">海外订单占比≥20%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td class="py-4 px-4 text-sm font-medium text-gray-900">2030-2035</td>
<td class="py-4 px-4 text-sm text-gray-600">C929宽体机量产280座1.2万公里)</td>
<td class="py-4 px-4 text-sm text-gray-600">全球市占率10%对标A350</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
</div>
</div>
<!-- 风险与挑战 -->
<div class="glass-effect p-6 mb-8">
<h2 class="text-2xl font-bold text-gray-800 mb-6 flex items-center">
<i class="fas fa-exclamation-triangle mr-3 text-red-500"></i>潜在风险与挑战
</h2>
<div class="grid grid-cols-1 md:grid-cols-2 gap-6">
<div class="bg-white p-5 rounded-lg shadow-sm">
<div class="flex items-start mb-3">
<div class="bg-red-100 p-2 rounded-full mr-3 mt-1">
<i class="fas fa-microchip text-red-600"></i>
</div>
<div>
<h3 class="font-bold text-gray-800 mb-2">技术风险</h3>
<p class="text-gray-600">长江1000A发动机<span class="highlight">涡轮叶片寿命</span>未达LEAP-1C水平需验证试飞数据</p>
</div>
</div>
</div>
<div class="bg-white p-5 rounded-lg shadow-sm">
<div class="flex items-start mb-3">
<div class="bg-orange-100 p-2 rounded-full mr-3 mt-1">
<i class="fas fa-plane text-orange-600"></i>
</div>
<div>
<h3 class="font-bold text-gray-800 mb-2">商业化风险</h3>
<p class="text-gray-600">C919高原型试飞延迟<span class="highlight">西藏航空订单</span>或推迟至2026年</p>
</div>
</div>
</div>
<div class="bg-white p-5 rounded-lg shadow-sm">
<div class="flex items-start mb-3">
<div class="bg-yellow-100 p-2 rounded-full mr-3 mt-1">
<i class="fas fa-balance-scale text-yellow-600"></i>
</div>
<div>
<h3 class="font-bold text-gray-800 mb-2">政策风险</h3>
<p class="text-gray-600">若中美缓和,波音关税下调,<span class="highlight">国产替代紧迫性下降</span></p>
</div>
</div>
</div>
<div class="bg-white p-5 rounded-lg shadow-sm">
<div class="flex items-start mb-3">
<div class="bg-purple-100 p-2 rounded-full mr-3 mt-1">
<i class="fas fa-info-circle text-purple-600"></i>
</div>
<div>
<h3 class="font-bold text-gray-800 mb-2">信息矛盾</h3>
<p class="text-gray-600">路演称2025年产能75架<span class="highlight">浙江西子势必锐</span>未上市2024年产量已超2023全年——实际产能可能超预期</p>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
<!-- 综合结论与投资启示 -->
<div class="glass-effect p-6 mb-8">
<h2 class="text-2xl font-bold text-gray-800 mb-6 flex items-center">
<i class="fas fa-chart-pie mr-3 text-indigo-500"></i>综合结论与投资启示
</h2>
<div class="mb-8">
<div class="bg-gradient-to-r from-blue-50 to-indigo-50 p-6 rounded-lg border-l-4 border-indigo-500">
<h3 class="text-xl font-bold text-gray-800 mb-4">阶段判断</h3>
<p class="text-gray-700 text-lg">C919处于<span class="highlight">"订单爆发+产能爬坡"</span>的戴维斯双击阶段类似2019年的特斯拉Model 3</p>
</div>
</div>
<div class="mb-8">
<h3 class="text-xl font-bold text-gray-800 mb-4">投资方向</h3>
<div class="grid grid-cols-1 md:grid-cols-2 gap-6">
<div class="bg-white p-5 rounded-lg shadow-sm">
<div class="flex items-center mb-3">
<div class="bg-blue-100 p-2 rounded-full mr-3">
<i class="fas fa-star text-blue-600"></i>
</div>
<h4 class="font-bold text-gray-800">最纯标的</h4>
</div>
<div class="space-y-3">
<div class="flex items-center">
<div class="w-2 h-2 bg-blue-500 rounded-full mr-3"></div>
<p class="text-gray-600"><span class="font-medium">中航西飞</span>(机体垄断)</p>
</div>
<div class="flex items-center">
<div class="w-2 h-2 bg-blue-500 rounded-full mr-3"></div>
<p class="text-gray-600"><span class="font-medium">航发动力</span>(发动机替代)</p>
</div>
</div>
</div>
<div class="bg-white p-5 rounded-lg shadow-sm">
<div class="flex items-center mb-3">
<div class="bg-green-100 p-2 rounded-full mr-3">
<i class="fas fa-rocket text-green-600"></i>
</div>
<h4 class="font-bold text-gray-800">弹性标的</h4>
</div>
<div class="space-y-3">
<div class="flex items-center">
<div class="w-2 h-2 bg-green-500 rounded-full mr-3"></div>
<p class="text-gray-600"><span class="font-medium">三角防务</span>蒙皮加工费100亿市场</p>
</div>
<div class="flex items-center">
<div class="w-2 h-2 bg-green-500 rounded-full mr-3"></div>
<p class="text-gray-600"><span class="font-medium">润贝航科</span>(航材分销国产替代)</p>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
<div>
<h3 class="text-xl font-bold text-gray-800 mb-4">跟踪指标</h3>
<div class="grid grid-cols-1 md:grid-cols-3 gap-5">
<div class="bg-white p-5 rounded-lg shadow-sm text-center">
<div class="bg-blue-100 w-16 h-16 rounded-full flex items-center justify-center mx-auto mb-4">
<i class="fas fa-plane-departure text-blue-600 text-2xl"></i>
</div>
<h4 class="font-bold text-gray-800 mb-2">月度交付量</h4>
<p class="text-gray-600">2025年目标54架Q3需达15架/月</p>
</div>
<div class="bg-white p-5 rounded-lg shadow-sm text-center">
<div class="bg-green-100 w-16 h-16 rounded-full flex items-center justify-center mx-auto mb-4">
<i class="fas fa-cog text-green-600 text-2xl"></i>
</div>
<h4 class="font-bold text-gray-800 mb-2">长江1000A试飞小时数</h4>
<p class="text-gray-600">需累计1000小时方可申请适航证</p>
</div>
<div class="bg-white p-5 rounded-lg shadow-sm text-center">
<div class="bg-purple-100 w-16 h-16 rounded-full flex items-center justify-center mx-auto mb-4">
<i class="fas fa-certificate text-purple-600 text-2xl"></i>
</div>
<h4 class="font-bold text-gray-800 mb-2">欧洲EASA认证进度</h4>
<p class="text-gray-600">2025年Q4为关键节点</p>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
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