436 lines
29 KiB
HTML
436 lines
29 KiB
HTML
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<title>中昊芯英概念股 - 深度投研报告</title>
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<div class="max-w-7xl mx-auto space-y-12">
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<!-- Header -->
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<header class="text-center space-y-4">
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<p class="text-sm font-light text-indigo-300">北京价值前沿科技有限公司 AI投研agent：“价小前投研”</p>
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<h1 class="text-5xl md:text-7xl font-bold text-glow tracking-tighter">中昊芯英概念股</h1>
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<p class="text-lg text-slate-400 max-w-3xl mx-auto">深度分析国产TPU芯片龙头及其产业链投资机遇</p>
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</header>
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<!-- Insight Core -->
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<main class="space-y-16">
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<!-- Core Insight Section -->
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<section class="glass-card rounded-3xl p-6 md:p-8 space-y-6">
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<h2 class="section-title">概念核心 Insight</h2>
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<div class="prose prose-invert max-w-none prose-p:text-slate-300 prose-li:text-slate-300">
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<p class="text-lg leading-relaxed text-indigo-200">“中昊芯英概念”是围绕一家具备<strong class="text-cyan-300">稀缺技术路径（TPU）</strong>和<strong class="text-cyan-300">已验证盈利能力</strong>的非上市AI芯片龙头展开的高贝塔（高弹性）投资主题。其核心驱动力源于<strong class="text-fuchsia-300">AI算力国产替代的巨大想象空间</strong>与<strong class="text-fuchsia-300">中昊芯英自身的“技术+商业”正向循环</strong>。当前，该概念正处于<strong class="text-amber-300">基本面初步验证</strong>与<strong class="text-amber-300">市场高度投机预期交织</strong>的阶段，存在显著的预期差，风险与机遇并存。</p>
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</div>
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</section>
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<!-- Zhonghao Xinying Bento Grid -->
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<section class="space-y-6">
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<h2 class="sub-title">中昊芯英：公司画像与核心能力</h2>
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<div class="bento-grid">
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<div class="glass-card bento-item col-span-4 lg:col-span-2 row-span-2 space-y-4">
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<h3><span class="text-lg text-cyan-400 mr-2">▌</span>技术与产品：TPU架构破局者</h3>
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<p><strong>核心技术：</strong> 自研“动态稀疏计算架构”，国内唯一掌握TPU架构AI芯片核心技术并实现量产的公司。</p>
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<ul class="list-disc pl-5 space-y-2">
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<li><strong>训练芯片「刹那®」:</strong> 算力达204TFLOPS/396TOPS，拥有完全自主IP核。性能超越海外GPU近1.5倍，能耗降低30%。</li>
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<li><strong>推理芯片「祝融系列」:</strong> 国内唯一实现7nm推理芯片量产，良率98%，性能接近英伟达同类产品。</li>
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<li><strong>计算集群「泰则®」:</strong> 可通过高达1024片芯片互联，支撑超千亿参数AIGC大模型计算。</li>
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<li><strong>技术优势：</strong> TPU针对深度学习优化，能效比是同工艺GPU的3-5倍，集群组网成本更低。</li>
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</ul>
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</div>
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<div class="glass-card bento-item col-span-4 lg:col-span-2 row-span-1 space-y-2">
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<h3><span class="text-lg text-fuchsia-400 mr-2">▌</span>商业与财务：已验证的盈利能力</h3>
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<p><strong>业绩表现：</strong> 国内首家公开盈利的AI芯片企业。</p>
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<ul class="list-disc pl-5 space-y-1">
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<li><strong>2023年业绩：</strong> 收入4.85亿元，净利润8133万元，完成业绩承诺。</li>
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<li><strong>2024年Q1业绩：</strong> 收入1.88亿元，净利润4074万元。</li>
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<li><strong>2024年目标（路演）：</strong> 营收目标8-10亿元。</li>
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<li><strong>业务模式：</strong> 具有明显季节性，收入集中在下半年确认。</li>
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</ul>
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</div>
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<div class="glass-card bento-item col-span-4 lg:col-span-2 row-span-1 space-y-2">
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<h3><span class="text-lg text-amber-400 mr-2">▌</span>生态与合作：构建产业价值链</h3>
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<ul class="list-disc pl-5 space-y-1">
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<li><strong>大模型绑定：</strong> 与 <strong>DeepSeek</strong> 深度绑定，是其V4大模型独家推理芯片供应商，锁定2025年20万片订单。</li>
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<li><strong>机器人合作：</strong> 与 <strong>特斯拉Optimus</strong> 联合开发实时决策模块。</li>
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<li><strong>项目落地：</strong> 与 <strong>太极股份</strong> 共建天津移动TPU智算中心；与 <strong>广安爱众</strong> 孙公司共建230亿丝绸云谷项目。</li>
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<li><strong>模型发布：</strong> 发布文生视频大模型V-Gen，与 <strong>群兴玩具</strong> 子公司图灵引擎合作。</li>
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</ul>
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</div>
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<div class="glass-card bento-item col-span-4 lg:col-span-2 row-span-1 space-y-2">
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<h3><span class="text-lg text-emerald-400 mr-2">▌</span>资本运作：IPO在途，市场焦点</h3>
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<ul class="list-disc pl-5 space-y-1">
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<li><strong>IPO计划：</strong> 已启动IPO相关工作，进入股改阶段，计划于2026年底前完成。</li>
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<li><strong>收购天普股份：</strong> 取得 <strong>天普股份</strong> 控制权，引发“借壳”猜想，但公司多次澄清无资产注入计划。</li>
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<li><strong>A股参股方：</strong> <strong>科德教育</strong>、<strong>艾布鲁</strong>、<strong>浙大网新</strong> 等通过直接或间接方式参股。</li>
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</ul>
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</div>
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</div>
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</section>
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<!-- Echarts Visualizations -->
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<section class="space-y-6">
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<h2 class="sub-title">数据透视：增长、股权与预期</h2>
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<div class="grid grid-cols-1 lg:grid-cols-3 gap-6">
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<div class="glass-card rounded-3xl p-4 lg:col-span-1">
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<div id="revenueChart" style="width: 100%; height: 400px;"></div>
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</div>
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<div class="glass-card rounded-3xl p-4 lg:col-span-1">
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<div id="shareholdingChart" style="width: 100%; height: 400px;"></div>
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</div>
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<div class="glass-card rounded-3xl p-4 lg:col-span-1">
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<div id="valuationChart" style="width: 100%; height: 400px;"></div>
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</div>
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</div>
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</section>
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<!-- Detailed Insight Analysis -->
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<section class="space-y-8">
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<div class="glass-card rounded-3xl p-6 md:p-8">
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<h2 class="sub-title mb-6">核心逻辑与市场认知分析</h2>
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<div class="prose prose-invert max-w-none prose-p:text-slate-300 prose-li:text-slate-300 space-y-4">
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<h4 class="text-indigo-300">核心驱动力</h4>
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<ol>
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<li><strong>技术稀缺性与差异化竞争：</strong> 在GPU主导的市场中，选择TPU架构构成“弯道超车”的底层逻辑。路演数据显示，TPU在深度学习场景下能效比是同代GPU的3-5倍，自研「刹那®」芯片宣称性能超越海外GPU近1.5倍，能耗降低30%，为市场提供了极具吸引力的叙事。</li>
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<li><strong>国产替代的紧迫性与确定性：</strong> 作为已实现7nm推理芯片量产、拥有完全自主IP核并已盈利的本土企业，完美契合国家战略层面对自主可控AI算力的需求，为其商业化提供了确定性的市场空间。</li>
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<li><strong>“芯片+集群+模型”一体化解决方案：</strong> 提供全栈能力，降低客户应用门槛，加速生态构建，形成比单纯卖芯片更高的业务壁垒。与太极股份“芯片研发+系统集成”的合作模式是该逻辑的成功实践。</li>
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</ol>
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<h4 class="text-indigo-300">预期差分析：机遇与风险之源</h4>
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<ul>
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<li><strong>【核心预期差】业绩与估值的巨大鸿沟：</strong> 市场叙事（新闻预测2025年收入220亿，估值1650亿）与公司指引（路演目标2024年收入8-10亿，年复合增长≥30%）差距悬殊。当前股价表现更多基于信仰和故事，而非短期业绩。</li>
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<li><strong>【合作深度预期差】“合作伙伴”与“核心客户”的差异：</strong> 与DeepSeek的20万片订单是2025年的目标，与特斯拉的合作处于“联合开发”阶段。已供货的“四大运营商”等基础业务的规模和增速才是验证其真实成长的基石。</li>
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<li><strong>【股东关系预期差】参股公司的战略意图：</strong> 科德教育连续放弃优先认购权，持股比例稀释，表明其更倾向于财务投资。相比之下，艾布鲁增资并派驻董事，转型AI的意图更为坚决。</li>
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</ul>
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</div>
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</div>
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<div class="grid grid-cols-1 md:grid-cols-2 gap-8">
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<div class="glass-card rounded-3xl p-6 md:p-8">
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<h2 class="sub-title mb-6">关键催化剂与发展路径</h2>
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<div class="prose prose-invert max-w-none prose-p:text-slate-300 prose-li:text-slate-300 space-y-4">
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<h4 class="text-indigo-300">近期催化剂 (3-6个月)</h4>
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<ul>
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<li><strong>IPO进展公告：</strong> 递交招股书将是验证或证伪市场传闻的“试金石”。</li>
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<li><strong>2024年下半年业绩兑现：</strong> 能否实现8-10亿元营收目标是第一次大考。</li>
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<li><strong>重大订单官方确认：</strong> 如与运营商的大规模集采合同。</li>
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<li><strong>天普股份收购完成与后续整合：</strong> 新实控人对上市公司的定位和规划将变得明朗。</li>
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</ul>
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<h4 class="text-indigo-300">长期发展路径</h4>
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<ul>
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<li><strong>技术迭代与生态构建 (1-2年)：</strong> 推出三维万卡组网方案，持续优化软件生态，缩小与CUDA差距。</li>
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<li><strong>核心客户渗透与场景拓展 (2-3年)：</strong> 实现标杆客户合作从“开发”到“大规模商业化”的跨越。</li>
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<li><strong>实现国产AI算力领导地位 (3-5年)：</strong> 实现“百亿营收与利润”的长期目标。</li>
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</ul>
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</div>
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</div>
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<div class="glass-card rounded-3xl p-6 md:p-8">
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<h2 class="sub-title mb-6">潜在风险与挑战</h2>
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<div class="prose prose-invert max-w-none prose-p:text-slate-300 prose-li:text-slate-300 space-y-4">
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<h4 class="text-indigo-300">技术与商业化风险</h4>
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<ul>
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<li><strong>生态壁垒：</strong> TPU生态成熟度不及GPU的CUDA生态，吸引开发者是成功的关键，也是最大软肋。</li>
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<li><strong>业绩兑现风险：</strong> 从10亿到百亿营收的跨越，需要持续获取大规模订单，客户集中度和订单持续性存在不确定性。</li>
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<li><strong>成本与供应链：</strong> 先进制程产能可能受外部因素影响，稳定性和成本控制是巨大挑战。</li>
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</ul>
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<h4 class="text-indigo-300">竞争与市场风险</h4>
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<ul>
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<li><strong>内部竞争：</strong> 华为昇腾凭借强大的生态和渠道能力，是最直接和最强大的竞争对手。</li>
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<li><strong>资本市场风险：</strong> IPO进程及上市后估值水平存在不确定性。</li>
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<li><strong>信息交叉验证风险：</strong> 业绩预期、股东持股、资本运作意图等在不同信息源中存在矛盾，市场信息存在夸大成分。</li>
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</ul>
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</div>
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</div>
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</div>
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</section>
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<!-- Conclusion & Investment Advice -->
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<section class="glass-card rounded-3xl p-6 md:p-8 space-y-6">
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<h2 class="section-title">综合结论与投资启示</h2>
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<div class="prose prose-invert max-w-none prose-p:text-slate-300 prose-li:text-slate-300 space-y-4">
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<p><strong>阶段判断：</strong> 中昊芯英概念目前处于<strong>“故事+基本面”双轮驱动的早期阶段</strong>。2023年的盈利使其脱离了纯粹的“PPT概念”，但当前市场估值和股价表现已严重透支了未来多年的成长预期，<strong>主题炒作和投机成分显著</strong>。</p>
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<h4 class="text-indigo-300">投资价值排序与启示：</h4>
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<ol>
|
||
<li><strong>高风险高弹性选手（事件驱动型）：</strong> <strong class="text-cyan-300">天普股份、艾布鲁</strong>。股价与中昊芯英资本运作、估值变化直接挂钩，适合风险偏好高的投资者。</li>
|
||
<li><strong>基本面逻辑验证者（业绩驱动型）：</strong> <strong class="text-cyan-300">太极股份</strong>。合作有实际项目和收入支撑，逻辑更稳健，弹性相对较低。</li>
|
||
<li><strong>价值重估观察者（财务投资型）：</strong> <strong class="text-cyan-300">科德教育</strong>。持股价值面临重估，但需警惕其战略跟随意愿不强和可能进一步减持的风险。</li>
|
||
</ol>
|
||
<h4 class="text-indigo-300">需重点跟踪和验证的关键指标：</h4>
|
||
<ul>
|
||
<li><strong>财务指标：</strong> 中昊芯英2024年下半年及全年的实际收入与净利润。</li>
|
||
<li><strong>订单指标：</strong> 新增亿元级别以上合同的公告。</li>
|
||
<li><strong>资本市场指标：</strong> IPO招股说明书的正式受理与披露。</li>
|
||
<li><strong>生态指标：</strong> 开发者社区活跃度、适配主流大模型的数量和性能评测报告。</li>
|
||
</ul>
|
||
</div>
|
||
</section>
|
||
|
||
<!-- Stock Table -->
|
||
<section class="space-y-6">
|
||
<h2 class="sub-title">核心概念股列表</h2>
|
||
<div class="overflow-x-auto glass-card rounded-3xl p-4">
|
||
<table class="table table-zebra w-full">
|
||
<thead class="text-base text-slate-300">
|
||
<tr>
|
||
<th>股票名称</th>
|
||
<th>关联逻辑</th>
|
||
<th>分类</th>
|
||
<th>消息来源</th>
|
||
</tr>
|
||
</thead>
|
||
<tbody>
|
||
<tr class="hover:bg-indigo-900/50">
|
||
<td class="font-bold text-red-400"><a href="https://valuefrontier.cn/company?scode=605255" target="_blank" class="hover:underline">天普股份 (605255)</a></td>
|
||
<td>公司实控人筹划控制权变更，完成后中昊芯英实控人杨龚轶凡将成为公司新实控人。</td>
|
||
<td><div class="badge badge-error badge-outline">拟入主</div></td>
|
||
<td>公告</td>
|
||
</tr>
|
||
<tr class="hover:bg-indigo-900/50">
|
||
<td class="font-bold text-red-400"><a href="https://valuefrontier.cn/company?scode=301259" target="_blank" class="hover:underline">艾布鲁 (301259)</a></td>
|
||
<td>控股子公司持有中昊芯英7.0465%股份，深度绑定，全力转型AI。</td>
|
||
<td><div class="badge badge-secondary badge-outline">参股</div></td>
|
||
<td>互动</td>
|
||
</tr>
|
||
<tr class="hover:bg-indigo-900/50">
|
||
<td class="font-bold"><a href="https://valuefrontier.cn/company?scode=002368" target="_blank" class="hover:underline">太极股份 (002368)</a></td>
|
||
<td>与中昊芯英联合参与天津移动TPU智算中心建设，成为双方协同能力的商业化标杆。</td>
|
||
<td><div class="badge badge-primary badge-outline">合作</div></td>
|
||
<td>公开资料</td>
|
||
</tr>
|
||
<tr class="hover:bg-indigo-900/50">
|
||
<td class="font-bold"><a href="https://valuefrontier.cn/company?scode=300192" target="_blank" class="hover:underline">科德教育 (300192)</a></td>
|
||
<td>公司参股中昊芯英(5.9933%)，中昊芯英重点优化DeepSeek-V3系列模型。</td>
|
||
<td><div class="badge badge-secondary badge-outline">参股</div></td>
|
||
<td>网传纪要</td>
|
||
</tr>
|
||
<tr class="hover:bg-indigo-900/50">
|
||
<td class="font-bold text-red-400"><a href="https://valuefrontier.cn/company?scode=600979" target="_blank" class="hover:underline">广安爱众 (600979)</a></td>
|
||
<td>参股孙公司联合中昊芯英共建丝绸云谷项目，提供液冷芯能柜。</td>
|
||
<td><div class="badge badge-primary badge-outline">合作</div></td>
|
||
<td>网传纪要</td>
|
||
</tr>
|
||
<tr class="hover:bg-indigo-900/50">
|
||
<td class="font-bold text-red-400"><a href="https://valuefrontier.cn/company?scode=002575" target="_blank" class="hover:underline">群兴玩具 (002575)</a></td>
|
||
<td>子公司杭州图灵与中昊芯英展开战略合作，加速V-Gen等大模型落地。</td>
|
||
<td><div class="badge badge-primary badge-outline">合作</div></td>
|
||
<td>公开资料</td>
|
||
</tr>
|
||
<tr class="hover:bg-indigo-900/50">
|
||
<td class="font-bold"><a href="https://valuefrontier.cn/company?scode=600797" target="_blank" class="hover:underline">浙大网新 (600797)</a></td>
|
||
<td>通过旗下参与设立的基金持有中昊芯英0.5169%股权。</td>
|
||
<td><div class="badge badge-secondary badge-outline">参股</div></td>
|
||
<td>互动</td>
|
||
</tr>
|
||
<tr class="hover:bg-indigo-900/50">
|
||
<td class="font-bold"><a href="https://valuefrontier.cn/company?scode=600633" target="_blank" class="hover:underline">浙数文化 (600633)</a></td>
|
||
<td>作为LP参与投资的基金专项投资中昊芯英。</td>
|
||
<td><div class="badge badge-secondary badge-outline">参股</div></td>
|
||
<td>互动</td>
|
||
</tr>
|
||
</tbody>
|
||
</table>
|
||
</div>
|
||
</section>
|
||
</main>
|
||
|
||
<!-- Footer -->
|
||
<footer class="text-center text-xs text-slate-500 py-8">
|
||
<p>由北京价值前沿科技有限公司 AI投研agent：“价小前投研”进行投研呈现。</p>
|
||
<p>本报告基于公开数据AI合成，观点仅供参考，不构成任何投资建议，投资需谨慎。</p>
|
||
</footer>
|
||
|
||
</div>
|
||
|
||
<script>
|
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document.addEventListener('DOMContentLoaded', function () {
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}
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// Revenue Chart
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var revenueChart = echarts.init(document.getElementById('revenueChart'));
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revenueChart.setOption({
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...commonChartOptions,
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title: { text: '中昊芯英收入增长（亿元）', left: 'center', textStyle: { color: '#cbd5e1' } },
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xAxis: { type: 'category', data: ['2023 实际', '2024 目标'] },
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series: [{
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name: '净利润',
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type: 'bar',
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data: [0.81, null],
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itemStyle: { color: new echarts.graphic.LinearGradient(0, 0, 0, 1, [{ offset: 0, color: '#6ee7b7' }, { offset: 1, color: '#10b981' }]) }
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}]
|
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});
|
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|
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// Shareholding Chart
|
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var shareholdingChart = echarts.init(document.getElementById('shareholdingChart'));
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shareholdingChart.setOption({
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...commonChartOptions,
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title: { text: '科德教育持股比例变化', left: 'center', textStyle: { color: '#cbd5e1' } },
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xAxis: { type: 'category', data: ['2024-07', '2024-08', '2024-10', '2025-04'] },
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yAxis: { type: 'value', name: '持股比例(%)', min: 5.5, max: 8 },
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])
|
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}
|
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}]
|
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});
|
||
|
||
// Valuation Chart
|
||
var valuationChart = echarts.init(document.getElementById('valuationChart'));
|
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valuationChart.setOption({
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...commonChartOptions,
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title: { text: '中昊芯英估值预期对比（亿元）', left: 'center', textStyle: { color: '#cbd5e1' } },
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|
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}
|
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|
||
});
|
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|
||
window.addEventListener('resize', function() {
|
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revenueChart.resize();
|
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shareholdingChart.resize();
|
||
valuationChart.resize();
|
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});
|
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});
|
||
</script>
|
||
</body>
|
||
</html> |