748 lines
37 KiB
HTML
748 lines
37 KiB
HTML
|
||
<!DOCTYPE html>
|
||
<html lang="zh-CN">
|
||
<head>
|
||
<meta charset="utf-8" />
|
||
<meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1, shrink-to-fit=no">
|
||
<title>MIM概念分析报告</title>
|
||
<link href="https://fonts.googleapis.com/css?family=Inter:300,400,500,600,700,800" rel="stylesheet" />
|
||
<link href="https://cdn.jsdelivr.net/npm/tailwindcss@2.2.19/dist/tailwind.min.css" rel="stylesheet">
|
||
<link href="https://cdn.jsdelivr.net/npm/daisyui@5" rel="stylesheet" type="text/css" />
|
||
<link href="https://cdn.jsdelivr.net/npm/daisyui@5/themes.css" rel="stylesheet" type="text/css" />
|
||
<script src="https://kit.fontawesome.com/1d2b6c4f81.js" crossorigin="anonymous"></script>
|
||
<script src="https://cdn.jsdelivr.net/npm/tsparticles@3/tsparticles.bundle.min.js"></script>
|
||
<script src="https://cdnjs.cloudflare.com/ajax/libs/three.js/r134/three.min.js"></script>
|
||
<script src="https://cdnjs.cloudflare.com/ajax/libs/vanta/0.5.24/vanta.waves.min.js"></script>
|
||
<style>
|
||
@import url('https://fonts.googleapis.com/css2?family=Noto+Sans+SC:wght@300;400;500;700&display=swap');
|
||
|
||
body {
|
||
font-family: 'Noto Sans SC', 'Inter', sans-serif;
|
||
background: linear-gradient(135deg, #f5f7fa 0%, #c3cfe2 100%);
|
||
min-height: 100vh;
|
||
position: relative;
|
||
}
|
||
|
||
#particles-js {
|
||
position: absolute;
|
||
width: 100%;
|
||
height: 100%;
|
||
top: 0;
|
||
left: 0;
|
||
z-index: -1;
|
||
}
|
||
|
||
.card-gradient {
|
||
background: linear-gradient(135deg, #ffffff 0%, #f8fafc 100%);
|
||
border: 1px solid rgba(255, 255, 255, 0.18);
|
||
backdrop-filter: blur(10px);
|
||
}
|
||
|
||
.timeline-dot {
|
||
position: relative;
|
||
}
|
||
|
||
.timeline-dot::before {
|
||
content: '';
|
||
position: absolute;
|
||
width: 12px;
|
||
height: 12px;
|
||
border-radius: 50%;
|
||
background-color: #3b82f6;
|
||
left: -20px;
|
||
top: 6px;
|
||
}
|
||
|
||
.timeline-line {
|
||
position: relative;
|
||
padding-left: 30px;
|
||
}
|
||
|
||
.timeline-line::before {
|
||
content: '';
|
||
position: absolute;
|
||
width: 2px;
|
||
height: 100%;
|
||
background-color: #e5e7eb;
|
||
left: 8px;
|
||
top: 0;
|
||
}
|
||
|
||
.highlight-text {
|
||
background: linear-gradient(120deg, #3b82f6 0%, #60a5fa 100%);
|
||
-webkit-background-clip: text;
|
||
-webkit-text-fill-color: transparent;
|
||
font-weight: 700;
|
||
}
|
||
|
||
.table-container {
|
||
overflow-x: auto;
|
||
}
|
||
|
||
@media (max-width: 768px) {
|
||
.card {
|
||
margin-bottom: 1rem;
|
||
}
|
||
|
||
.table-container {
|
||
font-size: 0.875rem;
|
||
}
|
||
}
|
||
|
||
.industry-tag {
|
||
display: inline-block;
|
||
padding: 0.25rem 0.75rem;
|
||
border-radius: 9999px;
|
||
font-size: 0.75rem;
|
||
font-weight: 500;
|
||
}
|
||
|
||
.industry-tag-blue {
|
||
background-color: rgba(59, 130, 246, 0.1);
|
||
color: #3b82f6;
|
||
}
|
||
|
||
.industry-tag-green {
|
||
background-color: rgba(16, 185, 129, 0.1);
|
||
color: #10b981;
|
||
}
|
||
|
||
.industry-tag-purple {
|
||
background-color: rgba(139, 92, 246, 0.1);
|
||
color: #8b5cf6;
|
||
}
|
||
|
||
.industry-tag-yellow {
|
||
background-color: rgba(245, 158, 11, 0.1);
|
||
color: #f59e0b;
|
||
}
|
||
</style>
|
||
</head>
|
||
<body>
|
||
<div id="particles-js"></div>
|
||
|
||
<div class="container mx-auto px-4 py-8 relative z-10">
|
||
<!-- 标题部分 -->
|
||
<div class="text-center mb-12">
|
||
<h1 class="text-4xl md:text-5xl font-bold text-gray-800 mb-4">MIM概念分析报告</h1>
|
||
<p class="text-xl text-gray-600 max-w-3xl mx-auto">金属注射成型技术 - 从消费电子到机器人产业链的深度解析</p>
|
||
<div class="mt-6 flex justify-center">
|
||
<div class="industry-tag industry-tag-blue mr-2">消费电子</div>
|
||
<div class="industry-tag industry-tag-green mr-2">机器人</div>
|
||
<div class="industry-tag industry-tag-purple mr-2">精密制造</div>
|
||
<div class="industry-tag industry-tag-yellow">新材料</div>
|
||
</div>
|
||
</div>
|
||
|
||
<!-- 概念事件背景 -->
|
||
<div class="card card-gradient rounded-xl shadow-lg p-6 mb-8">
|
||
<div class="flex items-center mb-4">
|
||
<div class="bg-blue-100 p-3 rounded-lg mr-4">
|
||
<i class="fas fa-microscope text-blue-600 text-xl"></i>
|
||
</div>
|
||
<h2 class="text-2xl font-bold text-gray-800">概念事件背景</h2>
|
||
</div>
|
||
<p class="text-gray-700 mb-6">
|
||
MIM(金属注射成型)是一种将金属粉末与粘结剂混合后注射成型,再经脱脂、烧结制成精密金属零件的"近净成形"技术。其优势在于<span class="highlight-text">高精度(±0.3%)、高材料利用率(100%)、低成本(复杂结构成本低于CNC)</span>,尤其适合消费电子、机器人、汽车等领域的轻量化、复杂结构件制造。
|
||
</p>
|
||
|
||
<h3 class="text-xl font-semibold text-gray-800 mb-4">催化事件时间轴</h3>
|
||
<div class="timeline-line pl-8">
|
||
<div class="mb-4 timeline-dot">
|
||
<div class="font-semibold text-gray-800">2023年</div>
|
||
<p class="text-gray-600">华为Mate X3/X5折叠屏铰链采用MIM工艺,东睦股份成为核心供应商。</p>
|
||
</div>
|
||
<div class="mb-4 timeline-dot">
|
||
<div class="font-semibold text-gray-800">2024年7月</div>
|
||
<p class="text-gray-600">荣耀Magic V2、小米MIX Fold 5等折叠屏新机密集发布,MIM铰链需求爆发。</p>
|
||
</div>
|
||
<div class="mb-4 timeline-dot">
|
||
<div class="font-semibold text-gray-800">2024年8月</div>
|
||
<p class="text-gray-600">东睦股份中报显示MIM业务收入<span class="highlight-text">7.67亿元(+101% YoY)</span>,毛利率<span class="highlight-text">21.77%(+10.66pct)</span>,验证商业化落地。</p>
|
||
</div>
|
||
<div class="timeline-dot">
|
||
<div class="font-semibold text-gray-800">2025年7月</div>
|
||
<p class="text-gray-600">特斯拉机器人GEN3确认采用MIM工艺制造齿轮、减速器,单机价值量<span class="highlight-text">5000元</span>(100万台对应<span class="highlight-text">50亿元市场</span>)。</p>
|
||
</div>
|
||
</div>
|
||
</div>
|
||
|
||
<!-- 核心观点摘要 -->
|
||
<div class="card card-gradient rounded-xl shadow-lg p-6 mb-8">
|
||
<div class="flex items-center mb-4">
|
||
<div class="bg-green-100 p-3 rounded-lg mr-4">
|
||
<i class="fas fa-lightbulb text-green-600 text-xl"></i>
|
||
</div>
|
||
<h2 class="text-2xl font-bold text-gray-800">核心观点摘要</h2>
|
||
</div>
|
||
<div class="grid grid-cols-1 md:grid-cols-3 gap-4">
|
||
<div class="bg-white p-4 rounded-lg border border-gray-200">
|
||
<div class="text-green-600 font-semibold mb-2">阶段判断</div>
|
||
<p class="text-gray-700">MIM概念已从<span class="font-semibold">消费电子(折叠屏)主题炒作</span>进入<span class="font-semibold">机器人产业链基本面驱动阶段</span>,技术成熟度和订单落地速度超预期。</p>
|
||
</div>
|
||
<div class="bg-white p-4 rounded-lg border border-gray-200">
|
||
<div class="text-green-600 font-semibold mb-2">核心驱动力</div>
|
||
<p class="text-gray-700"><span class="font-semibold">机器人轻量化需求</span>(替代CNC/PEEK)+<span class="font-semibold">折叠屏渗透率提升</span>(2024年全球出货量<span class="highlight-text">2000万部</span>,铰链ASP <span class="highlight-text">200-500元</span>)。</p>
|
||
</div>
|
||
<div class="bg-white p-4 rounded-lg border border-gray-200">
|
||
<div class="text-green-600 font-semibold mb-2">未来潜力</div>
|
||
<p class="text-gray-700">远期机器人+消费电子双轮驱动,<span class="highlight-text">2030年全球MIM市场规模或达220亿元</span>(2025-2030年CAGR <span class="highlight-text">12%</span>)。</p>
|
||
</div>
|
||
</div>
|
||
</div>
|
||
|
||
<!-- 核心逻辑与市场认知分析 -->
|
||
<div class="card card-gradient rounded-xl shadow-lg p-6 mb-8">
|
||
<div class="flex items-center mb-4">
|
||
<div class="bg-purple-100 p-3 rounded-lg mr-4">
|
||
<i class="fas fa-chart-line text-purple-600 text-xl"></i>
|
||
</div>
|
||
<h2 class="text-2xl font-bold text-gray-800">核心逻辑与市场认知分析</h2>
|
||
</div>
|
||
|
||
<div class="grid grid-cols-1 md:grid-cols-2 gap-6">
|
||
<div>
|
||
<h3 class="text-xl font-semibold text-gray-800 mb-3">核心驱动力</h3>
|
||
<ul class="space-y-3">
|
||
<li class="flex items-start">
|
||
<div class="bg-purple-100 p-1 rounded-full mr-3 mt-1">
|
||
<i class="fas fa-check text-purple-600 text-xs"></i>
|
||
</div>
|
||
<div>
|
||
<div class="font-semibold text-gray-800">技术突破</div>
|
||
<p class="text-gray-600 text-sm">MIM工艺在钛合金、不锈钢等材料的烧结良率提升至<span class="highlight-text">98%</span>(东睦股份数据),解决传统粉末冶金强度不足问题。</p>
|
||
</div>
|
||
</li>
|
||
<li class="flex items-start">
|
||
<div class="bg-purple-100 p-1 rounded-full mr-3 mt-1">
|
||
<i class="fas fa-check text-purple-600 text-xs"></i>
|
||
</div>
|
||
<div>
|
||
<div class="font-semibold text-gray-800">成本拐点</div>
|
||
<p class="text-gray-600 text-sm">复杂结构件批量生产时,MIM成本较CNC降低<span class="highlight-text">50%以上</span>(浙商证券测算),机器人关节齿轮单件成本从<span class="highlight-text">200元(CNC)降至60元(MIM)</span>。</p>
|
||
</div>
|
||
</li>
|
||
<li class="flex items-start">
|
||
<div class="bg-purple-100 p-1 rounded-full mr-3 mt-1">
|
||
<i class="fas fa-check text-purple-600 text-xs"></i>
|
||
</div>
|
||
<div>
|
||
<div class="font-semibold text-gray-800">场景扩张</div>
|
||
<p class="text-gray-600 text-sm">从折叠屏铰链(单机价值量<span class="highlight-text">500元</span>)延伸至机器人灵巧手(单机<span class="highlight-text">3000元</span>)、汽车轻量化部件(电池托盘等)。</p>
|
||
</div>
|
||
</li>
|
||
</ul>
|
||
</div>
|
||
|
||
<div>
|
||
<h3 class="text-xl font-semibold text-gray-800 mb-3">市场热度与预期差</h3>
|
||
<div class="bg-white p-4 rounded-lg border border-gray-200 mb-4">
|
||
<div class="font-semibold text-gray-800 mb-2">市场热度</div>
|
||
<div class="grid grid-cols-2 gap-4">
|
||
<div class="text-center">
|
||
<div class="text-2xl font-bold text-purple-600">15篇</div>
|
||
<div class="text-sm text-gray-600">2024年7-8月券商报告</div>
|
||
<div class="text-xs text-gray-500">较2023年同期增长300%</div>
|
||
</div>
|
||
<div class="text-center">
|
||
<div class="text-2xl font-bold text-purple-600">28次</div>
|
||
<div class="text-sm text-gray-600">东睦股份近3个月机构调研</div>
|
||
<div class="text-xs text-gray-500">2023年全年仅12次</div>
|
||
</div>
|
||
</div>
|
||
</div>
|
||
|
||
<div class="bg-yellow-50 p-4 rounded-lg border border-yellow-200">
|
||
<div class="font-semibold text-gray-800 mb-2">预期差分析</div>
|
||
<div class="text-sm">
|
||
<div class="mb-2"><span class="font-semibold">市场共识:</span>MIM仅适用于消费电子小件(如铰链)。</div>
|
||
<div><span class="font-semibold">预期差:</span>机器人大关节(如行星减速器齿轮)已送样特斯拉、宇树科技,<span class="highlight-text">单机价值量被低估</span>(路演显示可达<span class="highlight-text">5000元/台</span>,远超市场预期的<span class="highlight-text">1000元</span>)。</div>
|
||
</div>
|
||
</div>
|
||
</div>
|
||
</div>
|
||
</div>
|
||
|
||
<!-- 关键催化剂与未来发展路径 -->
|
||
<div class="card card-gradient rounded-xl shadow-lg p-6 mb-8">
|
||
<div class="flex items-center mb-4">
|
||
<div class="bg-yellow-100 p-3 rounded-lg mr-4">
|
||
<i class="fas fa-rocket text-yellow-600 text-xl"></i>
|
||
</div>
|
||
<h2 class="text-2xl font-bold text-gray-800">关键催化剂与未来发展路径</h2>
|
||
</div>
|
||
|
||
<div class="grid grid-cols-1 md:grid-cols-2 gap-6">
|
||
<div>
|
||
<h3 class="text-xl font-semibold text-gray-800 mb-3">近期催化剂(3-6个月)</h3>
|
||
<div class="space-y-3">
|
||
<div class="bg-white p-4 rounded-lg border border-gray-200">
|
||
<div class="flex items-center">
|
||
<div class="bg-yellow-100 p-2 rounded-lg mr-3">
|
||
<i class="fas fa-robot text-yellow-600"></i>
|
||
</div>
|
||
<div>
|
||
<div class="font-semibold text-gray-800">特斯拉机器人定型</div>
|
||
<p class="text-sm text-gray-600">2025年Q3 GEN3机型发布,MIM齿轮/丝杠订单落地(东睦股份、海昌新材已送样)。</p>
|
||
</div>
|
||
</div>
|
||
</div>
|
||
|
||
<div class="bg-white p-4 rounded-lg border border-gray-200">
|
||
<div class="flex items-center">
|
||
<div class="bg-yellow-100 p-2 rounded-lg mr-3">
|
||
<i class="fas fa-mobile-alt text-yellow-600"></i>
|
||
</div>
|
||
<div>
|
||
<div class="font-semibold text-gray-800">华为三折屏量产</div>
|
||
<p class="text-sm text-gray-600">2025年9月Mate X6发布,铰链MIM件需求<span class="highlight-text">翻倍</span>(单机铰链数量从1个增至3个)。</p>
|
||
</div>
|
||
</div>
|
||
</div>
|
||
|
||
<div class="bg-white p-4 rounded-lg border border-gray-200">
|
||
<div class="flex items-center">
|
||
<div class="bg-yellow-100 p-2 rounded-lg mr-3">
|
||
<i class="fab fa-apple text-yellow-600"></i>
|
||
</div>
|
||
<div>
|
||
<div class="font-semibold text-gray-800">苹果折叠屏入局</div>
|
||
<p class="text-sm text-gray-600">2026年iPhone Fold或采用MIM钛合金中框,潜在订单规模<span class="highlight-text">千万级</span>。</p>
|
||
</div>
|
||
</div>
|
||
</div>
|
||
</div>
|
||
</div>
|
||
|
||
<div>
|
||
<h3 class="text-xl font-semibold text-gray-800 mb-3">长期发展路径</h3>
|
||
<div class="bg-gradient-to-r from-blue-50 to-purple-50 p-4 rounded-lg border border-gray-200">
|
||
<div class="mb-4">
|
||
<div class="font-semibold text-gray-800 mb-2">2025-2026年</div>
|
||
<p class="text-gray-600">消费电子(折叠屏+钛合金中框)驱动,市场规模<span class="highlight-text">150亿元</span>。</p>
|
||
</div>
|
||
|
||
<div>
|
||
<div class="font-semibold text-gray-800 mb-2">2027-2030年</div>
|
||
<p class="text-gray-600">机器人+汽车轻量化接力,MIM在机器人渗透率<span class="highlight-text">30%</span>(对应<span class="highlight-text">100万台×5000元×30%=15亿元</span>)。</p>
|
||
</div>
|
||
</div>
|
||
</div>
|
||
</div>
|
||
</div>
|
||
|
||
<!-- 产业链与核心公司深度剖析 -->
|
||
<div class="card card-gradient rounded-xl shadow-lg p-6 mb-8">
|
||
<div class="flex items-center mb-4">
|
||
<div class="bg-indigo-100 p-3 rounded-lg mr-4">
|
||
<i class="fas fa-sitemap text-indigo-600 text-xl"></i>
|
||
</div>
|
||
<h2 class="text-2xl font-bold text-gray-800">产业链与核心公司深度剖析</h2>
|
||
</div>
|
||
|
||
<div class="mb-6">
|
||
<h3 class="text-xl font-semibold text-gray-800 mb-3">产业链图谱</h3>
|
||
<div class="grid grid-cols-1 md:grid-cols-3 gap-4">
|
||
<div class="bg-white p-4 rounded-lg border border-gray-200 text-center">
|
||
<div class="bg-indigo-100 p-3 rounded-full w-16 h-16 flex items-center justify-center mx-auto mb-3">
|
||
<i class="fas fa-cubes text-indigo-600 text-xl"></i>
|
||
</div>
|
||
<div class="font-semibold text-gray-800 mb-2">上游</div>
|
||
<p class="text-sm text-gray-600">金属粉末(有研粉材、悦安新材)、粘结剂(国产化率80%)</p>
|
||
</div>
|
||
|
||
<div class="bg-white p-4 rounded-lg border border-gray-200 text-center">
|
||
<div class="bg-indigo-100 p-3 rounded-full w-16 h-16 flex items-center justify-center mx-auto mb-3">
|
||
<i class="fas fa-industry text-indigo-600 text-xl"></i>
|
||
</div>
|
||
<div class="font-semibold text-gray-800 mb-2">中游</div>
|
||
<p class="text-sm text-gray-600">MIM制造(东睦股份、精研科技、统联精密)</p>
|
||
</div>
|
||
|
||
<div class="bg-white p-4 rounded-lg border border-gray-200 text-center">
|
||
<div class="bg-indigo-100 p-3 rounded-full w-16 h-16 flex items-center justify-center mx-auto mb-3">
|
||
<i class="fas fa-shopping-cart text-indigo-600 text-xl"></i>
|
||
</div>
|
||
<div class="font-semibold text-gray-800 mb-2">下游</div>
|
||
<p class="text-sm text-gray-600">折叠屏(华为、荣耀)、机器人(特斯拉、智元)、汽车(比亚迪)</p>
|
||
</div>
|
||
</div>
|
||
</div>
|
||
|
||
<div>
|
||
<h3 class="text-xl font-semibold text-gray-800 mb-3">核心玩家对比</h3>
|
||
<div class="overflow-x-auto">
|
||
<table class="min-w-full bg-white rounded-lg overflow-hidden">
|
||
<thead class="bg-gray-50">
|
||
<tr>
|
||
<th class="py-3 px-4 text-left text-xs font-medium text-gray-500 uppercase tracking-wider">公司</th>
|
||
<th class="py-3 px-4 text-left text-xs font-medium text-gray-500 uppercase tracking-wider">业务进展</th>
|
||
<th class="py-3 px-4 text-left text-xs font-medium text-gray-500 uppercase tracking-wider">竞争优势</th>
|
||
<th class="py-3 px-4 text-left text-xs font-medium text-gray-500 uppercase tracking-wider">风险点</th>
|
||
</tr>
|
||
</thead>
|
||
<tbody class="divide-y divide-gray-200">
|
||
<tr>
|
||
<td class="py-3 px-4 font-semibold text-gray-800">东睦股份</td>
|
||
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-600">
|
||
- 华为折叠屏铰链<span class="highlight-text">主供</span>(份额50%+)<br>
|
||
- 机器人齿轮已送样特斯拉、宇树
|
||
</td>
|
||
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-600">技术平台化(MIM+SMC+P&S)、客户绑定深</td>
|
||
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-600">产能利用率仅<span class="highlight-text">50%</span>,折旧压力大</td>
|
||
</tr>
|
||
<tr class="bg-gray-50">
|
||
<td class="py-3 px-4 font-semibold text-gray-800">精研科技</td>
|
||
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-600">
|
||
- 三星折叠屏铰链<span class="highlight-text">独供</span><br>
|
||
- 钛合金MIM工艺领先
|
||
</td>
|
||
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-600">全球MIM龙头,技术壁垒高</td>
|
||
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-600">客户集中度高(三星占比60%)</td>
|
||
</tr>
|
||
<tr>
|
||
<td class="py-3 px-4 font-semibold text-gray-800">海昌新材</td>
|
||
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-600">
|
||
- 电动工具齿轮转机器人关节<br>
|
||
- 2025年机器人收入占比或达<span class="highlight-text">30%</span>
|
||
</td>
|
||
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-600">成本低(粉末冶金背景)、送样进度快</td>
|
||
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-600">规模小,抗风险能力弱</td>
|
||
</tr>
|
||
<tr class="bg-gray-50">
|
||
<td class="py-3 px-4 font-semibold text-gray-800">统联精密</td>
|
||
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-600">
|
||
- 苹果/荣耀供应链<br>
|
||
- 长沙MIM基地2024年投产
|
||
</td>
|
||
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-600">绑定苹果,产能扩张激进</td>
|
||
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-600">新产能爬坡不及预期</td>
|
||
</tr>
|
||
</tbody>
|
||
</table>
|
||
</div>
|
||
|
||
<div class="mt-4 bg-blue-50 p-4 rounded-lg border border-blue-200">
|
||
<div class="font-semibold text-gray-800 mb-2">验证与证伪</div>
|
||
<ul class="text-sm text-gray-600 space-y-1">
|
||
<li>• <span class="font-semibold">东睦股份</span>:中报MIM收入<span class="highlight-text">7.67亿元</span>(+101%)验证折叠屏逻辑,但机器人订单尚未体现在财报。</li>
|
||
<li>• <span class="font-semibold">精研科技</span>:三星折叠屏铰链ASP <span class="highlight-text">300元</span>(路演数据),高于市场预期的200元,存在<span class="highlight-text">预期上修空间</span>。</li>
|
||
</ul>
|
||
</div>
|
||
</div>
|
||
</div>
|
||
|
||
<!-- 潜在风险与挑战 -->
|
||
<div class="card card-gradient rounded-xl shadow-lg p-6 mb-8">
|
||
<div class="flex items-center mb-4">
|
||
<div class="bg-red-100 p-3 rounded-lg mr-4">
|
||
<i class="fas fa-exclamation-triangle text-red-600 text-xl"></i>
|
||
</div>
|
||
<h2 class="text-2xl font-bold text-gray-800">潜在风险与挑战</h2>
|
||
</div>
|
||
|
||
<div class="grid grid-cols-1 md:grid-cols-3 gap-4">
|
||
<div class="bg-white p-4 rounded-lg border border-gray-200">
|
||
<div class="flex items-center mb-3">
|
||
<div class="bg-red-100 p-2 rounded-lg mr-3">
|
||
<i class="fas fa-flask text-red-600"></i>
|
||
</div>
|
||
<div class="font-semibold text-gray-800">技术风险</div>
|
||
</div>
|
||
<p class="text-sm text-gray-600">
|
||
<span class="font-semibold">钛合金烧结开裂</span>:薄壁件(如手机中框)烧结收缩率<span class="highlight-text">15-20%</span>,良率仅<span class="highlight-text">60%</span>(中邮证券专家数据)。
|
||
</p>
|
||
</div>
|
||
|
||
<div class="bg-white p-4 rounded-lg border border-gray-200">
|
||
<div class="flex items-center mb-3">
|
||
<div class="bg-red-100 p-2 rounded-lg mr-3">
|
||
<i class="fas fa-chart-bar text-red-600"></i>
|
||
</div>
|
||
<div class="font-semibold text-gray-800">商业化风险</div>
|
||
</div>
|
||
<p class="text-sm text-gray-600">
|
||
<span class="font-semibold">机器人需求不及预期</span>:若2025年人形机器人出货量低于<span class="highlight-text">50万台</span>,MIM市场空间将缩水<span class="highlight-text">50%</span>。
|
||
</p>
|
||
</div>
|
||
|
||
<div class="bg-white p-4 rounded-lg border border-gray-200">
|
||
<div class="flex items-center mb-3">
|
||
<div class="bg-red-100 p-2 rounded-lg mr-3">
|
||
<i class="fas fa-balance-scale text-red-600"></i>
|
||
</div>
|
||
<div class="font-semibold text-gray-800">政策与竞争风险</div>
|
||
</div>
|
||
<p class="text-sm text-gray-600">
|
||
<span class="font-semibold">3D打印替代</span>:铂力特等厂商推动钛合金3D打印降本,可能分流MIM订单(当前3D打印成本为MIM的<span class="highlight-text">3倍</span>,但技术迭代快)。
|
||
</p>
|
||
</div>
|
||
</div>
|
||
|
||
<div class="mt-6 bg-yellow-50 p-4 rounded-lg border border-yellow-200">
|
||
<div class="font-semibold text-gray-800 mb-2">信息矛盾点</div>
|
||
<p class="text-sm text-gray-600">
|
||
<span class="font-semibold">东睦股份产能</span>:路演称"产能利用率50%",但2024年中报显示MIM业务毛利率<span class="highlight-text">21.77%</span>(已盈利),<span class="font-semibold">矛盾原因</span>:折叠屏订单集中释放,机器人产能尚未投产。
|
||
</p>
|
||
</div>
|
||
</div>
|
||
|
||
<!-- 综合结论与投资启示 -->
|
||
<div class="card card-gradient rounded-xl shadow-lg p-6 mb-8">
|
||
<div class="flex items-center mb-4">
|
||
<div class="bg-green-100 p-3 rounded-lg mr-4">
|
||
<i class="fas fa-trophy text-green-600 text-xl"></i>
|
||
</div>
|
||
<h2 class="text-2xl font-bold text-gray-800">综合结论与投资启示</h2>
|
||
</div>
|
||
|
||
<div class="bg-gradient-to-r from-green-50 to-blue-50 p-4 rounded-lg border border-gray-200 mb-6">
|
||
<p class="text-gray-700">
|
||
MIM概念处于<span class="highlight-text">"消费电子验证→机器人放量"</span>过渡期,<span class="highlight-text">2025年Q3机器人订单落地</span>将是分水岭。当前估值未充分反映机器人弹性(东睦股份传统业务20倍PE,机器人业务隐含仅10倍PE)。
|
||
</p>
|
||
</div>
|
||
|
||
<div class="grid grid-cols-1 md:grid-cols-3 gap-4 mb-6">
|
||
<div class="bg-white p-4 rounded-lg border border-gray-200">
|
||
<div class="flex items-center mb-3">
|
||
<div class="bg-green-100 p-2 rounded-lg mr-3">
|
||
<i class="fas fa-star text-green-600"></i>
|
||
</div>
|
||
<div class="font-semibold text-gray-800">最纯标的</div>
|
||
</div>
|
||
<p class="text-sm text-gray-600">
|
||
<span class="highlight-text">海昌新材</span>(机器人收入占比弹性最大,市值小)
|
||
</p>
|
||
</div>
|
||
|
||
<div class="bg-white p-4 rounded-lg border border-gray-200">
|
||
<div class="flex items-center mb-3">
|
||
<div class="bg-green-100 p-2 rounded-lg mr-3">
|
||
<i class="fas fa-crown text-green-600"></i>
|
||
</div>
|
||
<div class="font-semibold text-gray-800">龙头配置</div>
|
||
</div>
|
||
<p class="text-sm text-gray-600">
|
||
<span class="highlight-text">东睦股份</span>(技术+客户双壁垒,机器人订单催化强)
|
||
</p>
|
||
</div>
|
||
|
||
<div class="bg-white p-4 rounded-lg border border-gray-200">
|
||
<div class="flex items-center mb-3">
|
||
<div class="bg-green-100 p-2 rounded-lg mr-3">
|
||
<i class="fas fa-lightbulb text-green-600"></i>
|
||
</div>
|
||
<div class="font-semibold text-gray-800">预期差标的</div>
|
||
</div>
|
||
<p class="text-sm text-gray-600">
|
||
<span class="highlight-text">精研科技</span>(三星折叠屏ASP超预期,钛合金工艺领先)
|
||
</p>
|
||
</div>
|
||
</div>
|
||
|
||
<div>
|
||
<h3 class="text-xl font-semibold text-gray-800 mb-3">跟踪指标</h3>
|
||
<div class="grid grid-cols-1 md:grid-cols-3 gap-4">
|
||
<div class="bg-white p-4 rounded-lg border border-gray-200">
|
||
<div class="flex items-center mb-2">
|
||
<div class="bg-blue-100 p-1 rounded-full mr-2">
|
||
<i class="fas fa-robot text-blue-600 text-xs"></i>
|
||
</div>
|
||
<div class="font-semibold text-gray-800">特斯拉机器人BOM清单</div>
|
||
</div>
|
||
<p class="text-sm text-gray-600">确认MIM齿轮用量</p>
|
||
</div>
|
||
|
||
<div class="bg-white p-4 rounded-lg border border-gray-200">
|
||
<div class="flex items-center mb-2">
|
||
<div class="bg-blue-100 p-1 rounded-full mr-2">
|
||
<i class="fas fa-file-alt text-blue-600 text-xs"></i>
|
||
</div>
|
||
<div class="font-semibold text-gray-800">东睦股份Q3机器人订单公告</div>
|
||
</div>
|
||
<p class="text-sm text-gray-600">验证单机价值量5000元</p>
|
||
</div>
|
||
|
||
<div class="bg-white p-4 rounded-lg border border-gray-200">
|
||
<div class="flex items-center mb-2">
|
||
<div class="bg-blue-100 p-1 rounded-full mr-2">
|
||
<i class="fas fa-mobile-alt text-blue-600 text-xs"></i>
|
||
</div>
|
||
<div class="font-semibold text-gray-800">华为三折屏销量</div>
|
||
</div>
|
||
<p class="text-sm text-gray-600">2025年目标100万部,铰链需求3倍于横折机型</p>
|
||
</div>
|
||
</div>
|
||
</div>
|
||
</div>
|
||
|
||
<!-- 关联股票数据表格 -->
|
||
<div class="card card-gradient rounded-xl shadow-lg p-6 mb-8">
|
||
<div class="flex items-center mb-4">
|
||
<div class="bg-indigo-100 p-3 rounded-lg mr-4">
|
||
<i class="fas fa-table text-indigo-600 text-xl"></i>
|
||
</div>
|
||
<h2 class="text-2xl font-bold text-gray-800">MIM概念关联股票</h2>
|
||
</div>
|
||
|
||
<div class="table-container">
|
||
<table class="min-w-full bg-white rounded-lg overflow-hidden">
|
||
<thead class="bg-gray-50">
|
||
<tr>
|
||
<th class="py-3 px-4 text-left text-xs font-medium text-gray-500 uppercase tracking-wider">股票名称</th>
|
||
<th class="py-3 px-4 text-left text-xs font-medium text-gray-500 uppercase tracking-wider">行业</th>
|
||
<th class="py-3 px-4 text-left text-xs font-medium text-gray-500 uppercase tracking-wider">项目</th>
|
||
<th class="py-3 px-4 text-left text-xs font-medium text-gray-500 uppercase tracking-wider">产业链</th>
|
||
<th class="py-3 px-4 text-left text-xs font-medium text-gray-500 uppercase tracking-wider">关联原因</th>
|
||
</tr>
|
||
</thead>
|
||
<tbody class="divide-y divide-gray-200">
|
||
<tr>
|
||
<td class="py-3 px-4 font-semibold text-gray-800">有研粉材</td>
|
||
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-600">粉末冶金</td>
|
||
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-600">3D打印粉末、MIM粉末研发</td>
|
||
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-600">原材料供应</td>
|
||
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-600">公司产品领域涉及3D打印粉末、软磁粉末、MIM粉末、高温焊粉及高熵合金粉末等。</td>
|
||
</tr>
|
||
<tr class="bg-gray-50">
|
||
<td class="py-3 px-4 font-semibold text-gray-800">悦安新材</td>
|
||
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-600">金属精密件制造</td>
|
||
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-600">MIM工艺应用</td>
|
||
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-600">下游应用</td>
|
||
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-600">部分客户使用公司的粉末材料通过MIM工艺制备金属精密件,应用于H终端的部分产品上。</td>
|
||
</tr>
|
||
<tr>
|
||
<td class="py-3 px-4 font-semibold text-gray-800">新莱福</td>
|
||
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-600">高尔夫器材、工业零部件</td>
|
||
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-600">MIM中试生产线</td>
|
||
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-600">生产制造</td>
|
||
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-600">开发了高尔夫球头等产品,并建成MIM新产品中试生产线,相关产品进行了试销,市场反馈良好。</td>
|
||
</tr>
|
||
<tr class="bg-gray-50">
|
||
<td class="py-3 px-4 font-semibold text-gray-800">华升股份</td>
|
||
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-600">MIM制造</td>
|
||
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-600">参股英捷高科</td>
|
||
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-600">投资合作</td>
|
||
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-600">参股公司英捷高科是MIM(金属粉末注射)领域最早的生产和研发企业之一。</td>
|
||
</tr>
|
||
<tr>
|
||
<td class="py-3 px-4 font-semibold text-gray-800">海昌新材</td>
|
||
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-600">MIM制造</td>
|
||
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-600">研发投入</td>
|
||
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-600">研发环节</td>
|
||
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-600">公司在MIM产品的研发投入持续加大,目前市场反响良好。</td>
|
||
</tr>
|
||
<tr class="bg-gray-50">
|
||
<td class="py-3 px-4 font-semibold text-gray-800">精研科技</td>
|
||
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-600">消费电子、汽车零部件</td>
|
||
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-600">MIM零件生产</td>
|
||
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-600">下游应用</td>
|
||
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-600">公司MIM零件及组件产品主要应用于消费电子、汽车领域。</td>
|
||
</tr>
|
||
<tr>
|
||
<td class="py-3 px-4 font-semibold text-gray-800">东睦股份</td>
|
||
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-600">折叠屏手机配件</td>
|
||
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-600">MIM铰链生产</td>
|
||
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-600">核心部件供应</td>
|
||
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-600">折叠机目前为MIM技术的主要应用场景之一,公司为折叠机MIM铰链的主要生产厂家之一。</td>
|
||
</tr>
|
||
<tr class="bg-gray-50">
|
||
<td class="py-3 px-4 font-semibold text-gray-800">信维通信</td>
|
||
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-600">通信设备</td>
|
||
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-600">MIM产品供应</td>
|
||
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-600">客户合作</td>
|
||
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-600">为国内外大客户提供MIM产品,但具体客户产品价格和供应链情况不便回复。</td>
|
||
</tr>
|
||
<tr>
|
||
<td class="py-3 px-4 font-semibold text-gray-800">统联精密</td>
|
||
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-600">精密制造</td>
|
||
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-600">生产基地建设</td>
|
||
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-600">产能扩展</td>
|
||
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-600">湖南长沙的MIM精密零部件生产基地项目建筑工程于2023年12月完成竣工验收,已有小部分试产线。</td>
|
||
</tr>
|
||
<tr class="bg-gray-50">
|
||
<td class="py-3 px-4 font-semibold text-gray-800">大富科技</td>
|
||
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-600">手机配件</td>
|
||
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-600">转轴部件供应</td>
|
||
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-600">核心供应商</td>
|
||
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-600">子公司大富方圆深耕金属材料的研发和工艺,是华为折叠屏手机转轴核心部件的主要供应商。</td>
|
||
</tr>
|
||
<tr>
|
||
<td class="py-3 px-4 font-semibold text-gray-800">科森科技</td>
|
||
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-600">金属注射成型</td>
|
||
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-600">MIM工厂建设</td>
|
||
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-600">生产制造</td>
|
||
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-600">MIM(粉末金属注射成型)的应用场景丰富,公司自建MIM工厂。</td>
|
||
</tr>
|
||
<tr class="bg-gray-50">
|
||
<td class="py-3 px-4 font-semibold text-gray-800">荣旗科技</td>
|
||
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-600">检测设备</td>
|
||
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-600">视觉检测装备开发</td>
|
||
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-600">设备供应</td>
|
||
<td class="py-3 px-4 text-sm text-gray-600">推出适用于MIM(金属注射成型)件的视觉检测装备,拓展了金属结构件检测新领域。</td>
|
||
</tr>
|
||
</tbody>
|
||
</table>
|
||
</div>
|
||
</div>
|
||
</div>
|
||
|
||
<script>
|
||
// 初始化粒子背景
|
||
tsParticles.load("particles-js", {
|
||
particles: {
|
||
number: {
|
||
value: 30,
|
||
density: {
|
||
enable: true,
|
||
value_area: 800
|
||
}
|
||
},
|
||
color: {
|
||
value: "#3b82f6"
|
||
},
|
||
shape: {
|
||
type: "circle"
|
||
},
|
||
opacity: {
|
||
value: 0.1,
|
||
random: true
|
||
},
|
||
size: {
|
||
value: 3,
|
||
random: true
|
||
},
|
||
move: {
|
||
enable: true,
|
||
speed: 1,
|
||
direction: "none",
|
||
random: true,
|
||
straight: false,
|
||
out_mode: "out"
|
||
}
|
||
},
|
||
interactivity: {
|
||
detect_on: "canvas",
|
||
events: {
|
||
onhover: {
|
||
enable: true,
|
||
mode: "repulse"
|
||
}
|
||
}
|
||
},
|
||
retina_detect: true
|
||
});
|
||
|
||
// 添加平滑滚动效果
|
||
document.querySelectorAll('a[href^="#"]').forEach(anchor => {
|
||
anchor.addEventListener('click', function (e) {
|
||
e.preventDefault();
|
||
document.querySelector(this.getAttribute('href')).scrollIntoView({
|
||
behavior: 'smooth'
|
||
});
|
||
});
|
||
});
|
||
</script>
|
||
</body>
|
||
</html>
|
||
``` |