513 lines
38 KiB
HTML
513 lines
38 KiB
HTML
<!DOCTYPE html>
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<html lang="zh-CN" data-theme="night">
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<head>
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<meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1.0">
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<title>隔膜 - 概念深度研究</title>
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body {
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font-family: 'Exo 2', sans-serif;
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radial-gradient(circle at 15% 15%, rgba(10, 108, 243, 0.2) 0%, transparent 30%),
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radial-gradient(circle at 85% 75%, rgba(190, 30, 255, 0.15) 0%, transparent 40%),
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font-size: 2.25rem;
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.daisy-table tr:hover td {
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.collapse-title, .tab {
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font-size: 1.1rem;
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.collapse, .tabs {
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border-radius: 1.5rem;
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</style>
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</head>
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<body class="p-4 sm:p-8">
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<div class="max-w-7xl mx-auto">
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<!-- Header -->
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<header class="text-center mb-12">
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<h1 class="section-title glow-text">隔膜概念</h1>
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<h2 class="text-4xl font-bold text-white tracking-wider">深度研究报告</h2>
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<p class="mt-4 text-gray-400">北京价值前沿科技有限公司 AI投研agent:“价小前投研” 进行投研呈现,本报告为AI合成数据,投资需谨慎。</p>
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</header>
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<!-- Insight Section -->
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<main class="bento-grid">
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<div class="bento-item glass-card bento-span-12">
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<h3 class="card-title-custom">核心观点摘要</h3>
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<p class="text-lg">隔膜概念正经历一场由<strong class="text-cyan-400">供给侧强制出清</strong>驱动的、确定性极高的周期性反转。在全行业亏损倒逼下形成的“扩产真空期”与“价格同盟”,正与下游稳健增长的需求形成尖锐的供需错配,驱动行业从价格战的“废墟”中走向盈利修复;同时,<strong class="text-purple-400">5μm超薄化</strong>和<strong class="text-green-400">固态电池膜</strong>等技术迭代,正开启具备阿尔法属性的结构性增长新篇章。</p>
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</div>
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<div class="bento-item glass-card bento-span-8">
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<h3 class="card-title-custom">核心逻辑与价格周期可视化</h3>
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<div class="space-y-4">
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<div>
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<h4 class="font-bold text-sky-300">1. 供给端强制收缩 (核心逻辑)</h4>
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<p class="text-gray-300">隔膜作为锂电重资产环节,扩产周期长(1.5年)、投资巨大。2024年前价格战致行业大面积亏损,彻底摧毁扩产意愿,形成<strong class="text-amber-400">1.5-2年扩产真空期</strong>。这是本轮行情最坚实的底层逻辑。</p>
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</div>
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<div>
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<h4 class="font-bold text-sky-300">2. 需求端结构优化</h4>
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<p class="text-gray-300">“储能全部切湿法”等结构性变化显著抬高湿法隔膜需求基数,加速产能利用率修复。</p>
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</div>
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<div>
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<h4 class="font-bold text-sky-300">3. 技术升级消耗有效产能</h4>
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<p class="text-gray-300">5μm超薄隔膜渗透率提升,但其生产将导致<strong class="text-amber-400">产能减少50%</strong>,等效于行业有效产能收缩,加剧供需紧张。</p>
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</div>
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</div>
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</div>
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<div class="bento-item glass-card bento-span-4">
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<div id="price-chart" style="width: 100%; height: 300px;"></div>
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</div>
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<div class="bento-item glass-card bento-span-12">
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<h3 class="card-title-custom">市场预期差分析</h3>
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<div class="grid grid-cols-1 md:grid-cols-3 gap-6">
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<div class="p-4 rounded-xl bg-black bg-opacity-20 border border-gray-700">
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<h4 class="font-semibold text-lg text-green-400">预期差一:涨价的持续性与幅度</h4>
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<p class="mt-2 text-sm text-gray-300">当前涨价是<strong class="text-white">供给端“合谋”下的价格修复</strong>,目标是恢复到覆盖重资产投资的合理盈利水平(约0.3元/平)。当前涨幅可能仅是开始,2026年若出现供需缺口,价格弹性或远超预期。</p>
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</div>
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<div class="p-4 rounded-xl bg-black bg-opacity-20 border border-gray-700">
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<h4 class="font-semibold text-lg text-green-400">预期差二:龙头与二线的弹性差异</h4>
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<p class="mt-2 text-sm text-gray-300">恩捷对宁德时代出货占比高(30%),而<strong class="text-white">星源材质仅7%</strong>。在与大客户博弈中,星源的议价能力和价格弹性可能显著更高。</p>
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</div>
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<div class="p-4 rounded-xl bg-black bg-opacity-20 border border-gray-700">
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<h4 class="font-semibold text-lg text-green-400">预期差三:固态电池的“威胁”与“机遇”</h4>
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<p class="mt-2 text-sm text-gray-300">市场低估了头部企业在新技术浪潮中延续领先地位的能力。固态电池对它们而言,更可能是<strong class="text-white">打开第二增长曲线的机遇</strong>而非颠覆性威胁。</p>
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</div>
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</div>
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</div>
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<div class="bento-item glass-card bento-span-6">
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<h3 class="card-title-custom">关键催化剂与未来发展路径</h3>
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<div class="space-y-4">
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<div>
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<h4 class="font-bold text-purple-400">近期催化剂 (3-6个月)</h4>
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<ul class="list-disc list-inside text-sm text-gray-300 space-y-1">
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<li>2026年度价格谈判落地,验证涨价传导能力。</li>
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<li>头部企业Q4及年报业绩,验证盈利修复。</li>
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<li>佛塑科技收购金力完成,重塑高端竞争格局。</li>
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</ul>
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</div>
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<div>
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<h4 class="font-bold text-purple-400">长期发展路径</h4>
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<ul class="list-disc list-inside text-sm text-gray-300 space-y-1">
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<li><strong class="text-white">2025-2026:</strong> 国内盈利修复期,目标单平利润0.3-0.4元。</li>
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<li><strong class="text-white">2026-2027:</strong> 海外产能放量期,优化盈利结构。</li>
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<li><strong class="text-white">潜在2026 H2后:</strong> 供需硬缺口期,价格或非线性上涨。</li>
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<li><strong class="text-white">2027-2030:</strong> 技术分化成熟期,固态电池膜商业化。</li>
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</ul>
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</div>
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</div>
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</div>
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<div class="bento-item glass-card bento-span-6">
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<h3 class="card-title-custom">潜在风险与挑战</h3>
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<div class="space-y-4 text-sm">
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<div class="flex items-start gap-3">
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<svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" class="h-5 w-5 text-red-400 flex-shrink-0" fill="none" viewBox="0 0 24 24" stroke="currentColor"><path stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" stroke-width="2" d="M12 9v2m0 4h.01m-6.938 4h13.856c1.54 0 2.502-1.667 1.732-3L13.732 4c-.77-1.333-2.694-1.333-3.464 0L3.34 16c-.77 1.333.192 3 1.732 3z" /></svg>
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<div>
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<h4 class="font-semibold text-red-400">技术风险</h4>
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<p class="text-gray-300">全固态电池技术路线若完全无需现有隔膜,将构成颠覆性打击。5μm良率瓶颈可能导致渗透率不及预期。</p>
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</div>
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</div>
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<div class="flex items-start gap-3">
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<svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" class="h-5 w-5 text-red-400 flex-shrink-0" fill="none" viewBox="0 0 24 24" stroke="currentColor"><path stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" stroke-width="2" d="M12 9v2m0 4h.01m-6.938 4h13.856c1.54 0 2.502-1.667 1.732-3L13.732 4c-.77-1.333-2.694-1.333-3.464 0L3.34 16c-.77 1.333.192 3 1.732 3z" /></svg>
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<div>
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<h4 class="font-semibold text-red-400">商业化风险</h4>
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<p class="text-gray-300">价格同盟脆弱,盈利好转后可能再现价格战。下游需求不及预期会削弱涨价基础。</p>
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</div>
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</div>
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<div class="flex items-start gap-3">
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<svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" class="h-5 w-5 text-red-400 flex-shrink-0" fill="none" viewBox="0 0 24 24" stroke="currentColor"><path stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" stroke-width="2" d="M12 9v2m0 4h.01m-6.938 4h13.856c1.54 0 2.502-1.667 1.732-3L13.732 4c-.77-1.333-2.694-1.333-3.464 0L3.34 16c-.77 1.333.192 3 1.732 3z" /></svg>
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<div>
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<h4 class="font-semibold text-red-400">政策与竞争风险</h4>
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<p class="text-gray-300">海外扩张面临贸易壁垒。利润恢复后不排除新进入者成为“搅局者”。</p>
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</div>
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</div>
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</div>
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</div>
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<div class="bento-item glass-card bento-span-12">
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<h3 class="card-title-custom">核心公司深度剖析</h3>
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<div x-data="{ tab: '恩捷股份' }" class="w-full">
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<div class="tabs tabs-boxed bg-black bg-opacity-20 mb-4">
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<a class="tab" :class="{ 'tab-active': tab === '恩捷股份' }" @click="tab = '恩捷股份'">恩捷股份</a>
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<a class="tab" :class="{ 'tab-active': tab === '星源材质' }" @click="tab = '星源材质'">星源材质</a>
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<a class="tab" :class="{ 'tab-active': tab === '佛塑科技' }" @click="tab = '佛塑科技'">佛塑科技 / 金力</a>
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<a class="tab" :class="{ 'tab-active': tab === '长阳科技' }" @click="tab = '长阳科技'">长阳科技</a>
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</div>
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<div class="p-4 rounded-xl bg-black bg-opacity-20">
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<div x-show="tab === '恩捷股份'">
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<h4 class="text-xl font-bold text-white mb-2">恩捷股份 (002812) - “绝对龙头,大象转身”</h4>
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<p class="text-sm"><strong class="text-cyan-400">优势:</strong> 全球市占率第一,成本控制与海外布局领先。收购蓝科途补强5μm技术,并布局硫化物固态电解质。</p>
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<p class="text-sm mt-2"><strong class="text-amber-400">风险/验证点:</strong> 与大客户深度绑定(宁德占比30%),价格回升周期中弹性可能受限。需验证其与大客户的价格谈判结果。</p>
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</div>
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<div x-show="tab === '星源材质'">
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<h4 class="text-xl font-bold text-white mb-2">星源材质 (300568) - “弹性先锋,技术全面”</h4>
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<p class="text-sm"><strong class="text-cyan-400">优势:</strong> 干法全球第一,湿法国内前三。客户结构多元化,对宁德依赖度低(仅7%),<strong class="text-green-400">价格弹性最大</strong>。固态骨架膜专利领先。</p>
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<p class="text-sm mt-2"><strong class="text-amber-400">风险/验证点:</strong> 30%涨价函能否全面落地是行业风向标。盈利修复的迫切性最强。</p>
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</div>
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<div x-show="tab === '佛塑科技'">
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<h4 class="text-xl font-bold text-white mb-2">佛塑科技 (000973) / 金力 - “高端奇兵,成长最快”</h4>
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<p class="text-sm"><strong class="text-cyan-400">优势:</strong> 逻辑最纯粹的<strong class="text-green-400">5μm技术龙头</strong>(24年市占率63%)。产能新、设备先进,实际盈利能力已领先同行。</p>
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<p class="text-sm mt-2"><strong class="text-amber-400">风险/验证点:</strong> 收购尚未完成存在不确定性。需验证高速增长能否在价格上涨中转化为超额利润。</p>
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</div>
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<div x-show="tab === '长阳科技'">
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<h4 class="text-xl font-bold text-white mb-2">长阳科技 (688299) - “未来技术的颠覆者”</h4>
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<p class="text-sm"><strong class="text-cyan-400">优势:</strong> 聚焦固态/半固态电池复合膜蓝海市场。产品技术全球领先(孔隙率≥85%),<strong class="text-green-400">独供宁德凝聚态电池</strong>,单价和毛利率极高。</p>
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<p class="text-sm mt-2"><strong class="text-amber-400">风险/验证点:</strong> 逻辑完全依赖下游固态电池放量进程。需密切跟踪对宁德时代的月度出货量。</p>
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</div>
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</div>
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</div>
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</div>
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<div class="bento-item glass-card bento-span-12">
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<h3 class="card-title-custom">综合结论与投资启示</h3>
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<div class="space-y-4">
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<p>隔膜行业已明确走出主题炒作阶段,进入由<strong class="text-cyan-400">强劲基本面逻辑驱动的价值回归与景气上行通道</strong>。供给端的硬约束(扩产真空期)是核心保障,价格上涨是盈利修复的直接体现。当前阶段,确定性远大于风险。</p>
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<div>
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<h4 class="font-bold text-purple-400">最具投资价值的细分方向:</h4>
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<ul class="list-decimal list-inside text-sm text-gray-300 space-y-2 pl-4 mt-2">
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<li><strong class="text-white">价格弹性方向:</strong> 关注客户结构优异、对巨头依赖度低的 <strong class="text-green-400">星源材质</strong>。</li>
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<li><strong class="text-white">技术领先方向 (中期):</strong> 聚焦5μm超薄隔膜,<strong class="text-green-400">佛塑科技 (金力)</strong> 是逻辑最纯粹、壁垒最高的标的。</li>
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<li><strong class="text-white">技术领先方向 (长期):</strong> 聚焦固态电池隔膜,<strong class="text-green-400">长阳科技</strong> 具备从0到1的巨大想象空间。</li>
|
||
<li><strong class="text-white">稳健龙头方向:</strong> <strong class="text-green-400">恩捷股份</strong> 规模和成本优势显著,海外业务放量是未来增长点。</li>
|
||
</ul>
|
||
</div>
|
||
</div>
|
||
</div>
|
||
|
||
</main>
|
||
|
||
<!-- Source Data Section -->
|
||
<section class="mt-16" x-data="{ mainTab: 'news' }">
|
||
<h2 class="section-title text-center mb-8">源数据档案</h2>
|
||
|
||
<div class="tabs tabs-boxed justify-center glass-card p-2 mb-8">
|
||
<a class="tab tab-lg" :class="{ 'tab-active': mainTab === 'news' }" @click="mainTab = 'news'">新闻数据</a>
|
||
<a class="tab tab-lg" :class="{ 'tab-active': mainTab === 'roadshows' }" @click="mainTab = 'roadshows'">路演纪要</a>
|
||
<a class="tab tab-lg" :class="{ 'tab-active': mainTab === 'reports' }" @click="mainTab = 'reports'">研究报告</a>
|
||
</div>
|
||
|
||
<div class="space-y-4">
|
||
<!-- News Data -->
|
||
<div x-show="mainTab === 'news'">
|
||
<div class="collapse collapse-plus glass-card">
|
||
<input type="radio" name="news-accordion" checked="checked" />
|
||
<div class="collapse-title">一、 市场供需与产能</div>
|
||
<div class="collapse-content">
|
||
<ul class="list-disc list-inside space-y-2 text-sm">
|
||
<li><strong>产能利用率:</strong> 湿法隔膜第一梯队已满产数月,TOP2产能利用率已打满。恩捷股份表示产能利用率处较高水平,中材科技Q4预计75-80%。</li>
|
||
<li><strong>扩产意愿:</strong> 主要参与者扩产意愿低,24年以后基本无新建项目。尾部企业亏损,供给释放有限。26年行业新增供给显著减少。</li>
|
||
<li><strong>供需展望:</strong> 供需态势持续向好,头部企业供需紧平衡。鑫椤锂电预计26年TOP3产能利用率95%以上,或迎供需缺口。</li>
|
||
</ul>
|
||
</div>
|
||
</div>
|
||
<div class="collapse collapse-plus glass-card">
|
||
<input type="radio" name="news-accordion" />
|
||
<div class="collapse-title">二、 价格动态</div>
|
||
<div class="collapse-content">
|
||
<ul class="list-disc list-inside space-y-2 text-sm">
|
||
<li><strong>湿法涨价:</strong> 星源材质发出涨价函,对湿法基膜与涂覆膜提价30% (约0.20~0.39元/平),超预期。中小电池厂7um产品普遍提价0.2元/平米以上。恩捷9月已给二线提价10%。</li>
|
||
<li><strong>干法涨价:</strong> 今年累计涨幅超30%,8月初第二次提价约10%。</li>
|
||
<li><strong>价格拐点:</strong> 价格底部明确,行业有望见底反转,26年有望周期拐点。年底开启26年价格谈判,涨价预期强。</li>
|
||
</ul>
|
||
</div>
|
||
</div>
|
||
<div class="collapse collapse-plus glass-card">
|
||
<input type="radio" name="news-accordion" />
|
||
<div class="collapse-title">三、 技术路线与发展趋势</div>
|
||
<div class="collapse-content">
|
||
<ul class="list-disc list-inside space-y-2 text-sm">
|
||
<li><strong>湿法渗透率提升:</strong> 储能电芯基本全部转向湿法膜,湿法市占率预计将进一步提升。</li>
|
||
<li><strong>5μm超薄隔膜:</strong> 渗透率加速,25年预计10-15%。供给更紧,目前仅2-3家企业可稳定供货(佛塑拟收购的金力24年市占率超60%)。5μm会导致产能减少50%。</li>
|
||
<li><strong>固态电池隔膜:</strong> 头部企业均已布局(恩捷-硫化锂,星源-骨架膜,长阳-高孔隙复合膜),短期冲击可控,长期是新增长点。</li>
|
||
</ul>
|
||
</div>
|
||
</div>
|
||
</div>
|
||
|
||
<!-- Roadshows Data -->
|
||
<div x-show="mainTab === 'roadshows'">
|
||
<div class="collapse collapse-plus glass-card">
|
||
<input type="radio" name="roadshow-accordion" checked="checked" />
|
||
<div class="collapse-title">价格与供需 (综合纪要)</div>
|
||
<div class="collapse-content">
|
||
<ul class="list-disc list-inside space-y-2 text-sm">
|
||
<li><strong>价格战 (2023H2-2024Q1):</strong> 价格累计降幅约40%,干法逼近成本线,湿法单平利润压缩至0.3元。2024年为盈利“绝对低点”。</li>
|
||
<li><strong>价格修复 (2024Q4-2025):</strong> 行业反转,涨价启动。涂布膜已累涨0.1元/㎡。走出三年通缩,12月启动第二轮谈判,涨价周期有望延续至2027年。</li>
|
||
<li><strong>供需缺口 (2026-):</strong> 资产重、扩产慢 (1.5–2年真空期),2026H2起或出现硬缺口。</li>
|
||
<li><strong>产能利用率:</strong> 2024Q1触底(约55%),Q1末龙头已达80%,Q2预计提升至60-65%。</li>
|
||
</ul>
|
||
</div>
|
||
</div>
|
||
<div class="collapse collapse-plus glass-card">
|
||
<input type="radio" name="roadshow-accordion" />
|
||
<div class="collapse-title">技术趋势与新产品 (综合纪要)</div>
|
||
<div class="collapse-content">
|
||
<ul class="list-disc list-inside space-y-2 text-sm">
|
||
<li><strong>薄型化 (5μm):</strong> 宁德时代需求转向5μm,产品溢价0.3–0.4元/㎡,显著改善盈利。恩捷、蓝科途为主要供应商。</li>
|
||
<li><strong>固态电池隔膜:</strong> 以“固态电解质复合膜”形式存在。恩捷(硫化物)、星源(骨架膜)、长阳(高孔隙复合膜)均有布局。长阳科技独供宁德凝聚态电池,单价5-15元/平,毛利率超60%。</li>
|
||
<li><strong>芳纶隔膜 (新技术):</strong> 泰和新材与星源材质联合发布,耐高温(>260℃)、高安全性,解决干法撕裂问题,有望提升干法渗透率。</li>
|
||
</ul>
|
||
</div>
|
||
</div>
|
||
<div class="collapse collapse-plus glass-card">
|
||
<input type="radio" name="roadshow-accordion" />
|
||
<div class="collapse-title">海外市场 (综合纪要)</div>
|
||
<div class="collapse-content">
|
||
<ul class="list-disc list-inside space-y-2 text-sm">
|
||
<li><strong>价格溢价:</strong> 海外隔膜价格是国内的3-4倍(国内0.3元/平 vs 海外1.2元/平以上)。</li>
|
||
<li><strong>本土化供应:</strong> 恩捷(美国、匈牙利)、星源(欧洲、马来)已布局海外基地,2026年起逐步放量,将大幅优化盈利结构。</li>
|
||
<li><strong>IRA法案影响:</strong> 恩捷俄亥俄州工厂符合补贴条件,规避关税壁垒。</li>
|
||
</ul>
|
||
</div>
|
||
</div>
|
||
</div>
|
||
|
||
<!-- Research Reports Data -->
|
||
<div x-show="mainTab === 'reports'">
|
||
<div class="collapse collapse-plus glass-card">
|
||
<input type="radio" name="report-accordion" checked="checked" />
|
||
<div class="collapse-title">行业宏观分析与趋势</div>
|
||
<div class="collapse-content">
|
||
<ul class="list-disc list-inside space-y-2 text-sm">
|
||
<li><strong>核心地位:</strong> 动力电池隔膜是锂电关键材料中技术壁垒最高、固定资产占比最大的一环。</li>
|
||
<li><strong>竞争格局:</strong> 竞争白热化,行业供给结构性过剩,价格持续下滑。龙头地位稳固,但行业正从资本开支导向型转向研发导向型。</li>
|
||
<li><strong>政策环境:</strong> 《"十四五"可再生能源发展规划》、《锂离子电池行业规范条件》等多项政策支持行业向多样化、先进化发展。</li>
|
||
</ul>
|
||
</div>
|
||
</div>
|
||
<div class="collapse collapse-plus glass-card">
|
||
<input type="radio" name="report-accordion" />
|
||
<div class="collapse-title">重点企业动态与数据</div>
|
||
<div class="collapse-content">
|
||
<ul class="list-disc list-inside space-y-2 text-sm">
|
||
<li><strong>璞泰来 (603659):</strong> 涂覆隔膜业务保持稳定盈利,成为业绩压舱石。涂覆市占率行业领先(41%)。</li>
|
||
<li><strong>恩捷股份 (002812):</strong> 2024Q1单平扣非净利仅4分钱/平,盈利承压,但积极推进海外产能建设。</li>
|
||
<li><strong>星源材质 (300568):</strong> 2024年销量39.9亿平,同比增长57.64%。持续加大新技术研发,批量供应LG、三星SDI、NORTHVOLT等国际一线厂商。</li>
|
||
<li><strong>长阳科技 (688299):</strong> 传统干法业务承压,聚焦湿法产线建设及固态/半固态电池隔膜。</li>
|
||
</ul>
|
||
</div>
|
||
</div>
|
||
</div>
|
||
</div>
|
||
</section>
|
||
|
||
|
||
<!-- Stock Data Section -->
|
||
<section class="mt-16">
|
||
<h2 class="section-title text-center mb-8">核心标的列表</h2>
|
||
<div class="overflow-x-auto glass-card rounded-2xl p-4">
|
||
<table class="table daisy-table w-full">
|
||
<thead>
|
||
<tr>
|
||
<th>股票名称</th>
|
||
<th>核心逻辑</th>
|
||
<th>其他标签</th>
|
||
<th>股票代码</th>
|
||
</tr>
|
||
</thead>
|
||
<tbody>
|
||
<tr><td>恩捷股份</td><td>隔膜市占率A股第一,公司预计2025年其占全球隔膜市场份额50%。</td><td>消息来源: 机构调研</td><td><a href="https://valuefrontier.cn/company?scode=002812" target="_blank" class="link link-info">002812</a></td></tr>
|
||
<tr><td>星源材质</td><td>隔膜市占率A股第二,2024年全球锂电隔膜市占率21%,国内市占率超30%</td><td>消息来源: 机构研报, 制图/更新时涨幅>10%</td><td><a href="https://valuefrontier.cn/company?scode=300568" target="_blank" class="link link-info">300568</a></td></tr>
|
||
<tr><td>中材科技</td><td>隔膜市占率A股第三,2023年湿法隔膜市占率13%,2024年锂电池隔膜销量19亿平米</td><td>消息来源: 官微, 制图/更新时涨幅>10%</td><td><a href="https://valuefrontier.cn/company?scode=002080" target="_blank" class="link link-info">002080</a></td></tr>
|
||
<tr><td>佛塑科技</td><td>收购锂电池湿法隔膜行业前三的金力新能源100%股权,2024年金力股份湿法隔膜市占率约为18%</td><td>消息来源: 公告/公开资料, 制图/更新时涨幅>10%</td><td><a href="https://valuefrontier.cn/company?scode=000973" target="_blank" class="link link-info">000973</a></td></tr>
|
||
<tr><td>璞泰来</td><td>涂覆隔膜产能第一,2025年1-9月公司涂覆加工量达到73.8亿m²</td><td>消息来源: 机构调研</td><td><a href="https://valuefrontier.cn/company?scode=603659" target="_blank" class="link link-info">603659</a></td></tr>
|
||
<tr><td>长阳科技</td><td>公司“年产6.5亿平方米储能及动力电池用锂电隔膜项目”缩减为年产3.5亿平方米,“年产4亿平方米储能和动力汽车用锂离子电池隔膜项目”缩减为年产2亿平方米</td><td>消息来源: 公告</td><td><a href="https://valuefrontier.cn/company?scode=688299" target="_blank" class="link link-info">688299</a></td></tr>
|
||
<tr><td>沧州明珠</td><td>隔膜市占率A股第四,目前公司隔膜产品已投产的生产线年设计产能合计为4.9亿平方米</td><td>消息来源: 互动, 制图/更新时涨幅>10%</td><td><a href="https://valuefrontier.cn/company?scode=002108" target="_blank" class="link link-info">002108</a></td></tr>
|
||
<tr><td>联泓新科</td><td>在新能源电池材料领域已形成系列产品布局,主要包括锂电隔膜材料UHMWPE、碳酸酯锂电溶剂、锂电添加剂VC、固态/半固态新型电池关键功能材料等</td><td>消息来源: 互动, 制图/更新时涨幅>10%</td><td><a href="https://valuefrontier.cn/company?scode=003022" target="_blank" class="link link-info">003022</a></td></tr>
|
||
<tr><td>欧克科技</td><td>新签1.76亿元隔膜生产线,占最近一年经审计营收的40.51%,天鸿新材采购公司两条湿法隔膜生产线</td><td>消息来源: 公告, 制图/更新时涨幅>10%</td><td><a href="https://valuefrontier.cn/company?scode=001223" target="_blank" class="link link-info">001223</a></td></tr>
|
||
<tr><td>美联新材</td><td>2024年锂电隔膜业务营收0.41亿元,出货量0.39亿平</td><td>消息来源: 公告, 制图/更新时涨幅>10%</td><td><a href="https://valuefrontier.cn/company?scode=300586" target="_blank" class="link link-info">300586</a></td></tr>
|
||
<tr><td>东风股份</td><td>规划建设8条湿法基膜生产线及配套涂覆生产线,预计年产能16亿平方米</td><td>消息来源: 公开资料</td><td><a href="https://valuefrontier.cn/company?scode=600006" target="_blank" class="link link-info">600006</a></td></tr>
|
||
</tbody>
|
||
</table>
|
||
</div>
|
||
|
||
<h2 class="section-title text-center mb-8 mt-16">涨幅异动分析</h2>
|
||
<div class="overflow-x-auto glass-card rounded-2xl p-4">
|
||
<table class="table daisy-table w-full">
|
||
<thead>
|
||
<tr>
|
||
<th>股票名称</th>
|
||
<th>涨跌幅</th>
|
||
<th>日期</th>
|
||
<th class="w-2/3">异动原因解析</th>
|
||
</tr>
|
||
</thead>
|
||
<tbody>
|
||
<tr><td>莱尔科技 (688683)</td><td class="text-error font-bold">+20.01%</td><td>2025-08-11</td><td>核心结论: 莱尔科技因“比亚迪8.3亿元陶瓷化隔膜大单+定增扩产1.2亿㎡+45%高毛利”三则公告形成订单-产能-盈利闭环,资金一日完成重估而涨停。 <br>驱动概念: 固态电池+比亚迪供应链+陶瓷化隔膜</td></tr>
|
||
<tr><td>东材科技 (601208)</td><td class="text-error font-bold">+10.01%</td><td>2025-07-04</td><td>核心结论: 东材科技涨停源于“PCB高频树脂国产替代+电动汽车阻燃隔膜国标”两大产业催化共振,叠加机构资金提前布局。 <br>驱动概念: PCB高频树脂国产替代+电动汽车阻燃隔膜国标+可转债</td></tr>
|
||
<tr><td>荣晟环保 (603165)</td><td class="text-error font-bold">+9.97%</td><td>2025-07-21</td><td>核心结论: 荣晟环保因“跨界收购湿法隔膜资产+省级首批次补贴落地+TOP3电池厂2026年框架锁量”三重催化共振而涨停。 <br>驱动概念: 湿法隔膜+隔膜回收+绿色电力</td></tr>
|
||
<tr><td>国瓷材料 (300285)</td><td class="text-error font-bold">+7.14%</td><td>2025-06-24</td><td>核心结论: 美国QuantumScape陶瓷隔膜技术突破的消息,作为陶瓷材料龙头的国瓷材料直接受益。 <br>驱动概念: 固态电池陶瓷隔膜</td></tr>
|
||
<tr><td>东峰集团 (601515)</td><td class="text-error font-bold">+10.05%</td><td>2025-10-21</td><td>核心结论: 机构通过融资通道抢筹,博弈公司“1.4万吨干法隔膜产线获IATF16949车规认证+2025Q4起向宁德/比亚迪批量供货”带来的业绩拐点。 <br>驱动概念: 锂电池干法隔膜+宁德时代供应链+储能</td></tr>
|
||
</tbody>
|
||
</table>
|
||
</div>
|
||
|
||
</section>
|
||
</div>
|
||
|
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|
||
data: ['2023H2', '2024Q1', '2024Q2', '2024Q3', '2024Q4', '2025E', '2026E'],
|
||
axisLine: { lineStyle: { color: '#8b949e' } },
|
||
},
|
||
yAxis: {
|
||
type: 'value',
|
||
name: '价格/利润',
|
||
axisLine: { show: true, lineStyle: { color: '#8b949e' } },
|
||
splitLine: { lineStyle: { color: 'rgba(139, 148, 158, 0.2)' } }
|
||
},
|
||
series: [
|
||
{
|
||
name: '价格指数',
|
||
type: 'line',
|
||
smooth: true,
|
||
symbol: 'none',
|
||
data: [100, 70, 60, 65, 75, 90, 110],
|
||
lineStyle: {
|
||
width: 3,
|
||
color: '#58a6ff',
|
||
shadowColor: 'rgba(0, 192, 255, 0.7)',
|
||
shadowBlur: 10
|
||
},
|
||
areaStyle: {
|
||
color: new echarts.graphic.LinearGradient(0, 0, 0, 1, [{
|
||
offset: 0,
|
||
color: 'rgba(88, 166, 255, 0.3)'
|
||
}, {
|
||
offset: 1,
|
||
color: 'rgba(88, 166, 255, 0)'
|
||
}])
|
||
},
|
||
markArea: {
|
||
itemStyle: { color: 'rgba(255, 173, 177, 0.1)' },
|
||
data: [
|
||
[{ name: '价格战 (盈利低点)', xAxis: '2024Q1' }, { xAxis: '2024Q2' }]
|
||
]
|
||
},
|
||
markLine: {
|
||
symbol: 'none',
|
||
label: { position: 'end', formatter: '{b}', color: '#c9d1d9' },
|
||
data: [
|
||
{ name: '行业自律 (拐点)', xAxis: '2024Q3', lineStyle: { color: '#31c48d', type: 'dashed' } },
|
||
{ name: '供需缺口预期', xAxis: '2026E', lineStyle: { color: '#f98080', type: 'dashed' } }
|
||
]
|
||
}
|
||
}
|
||
]
|
||
};
|
||
|
||
myChart.setOption(option);
|
||
window.addEventListener('resize', myChart.resize);
|
||
});
|
||
</script>
|
||
</body>
|
||
</html> |