528 lines
34 KiB
HTML
528 lines
34 KiB
HTML
<!DOCTYPE html>
|
||
<html lang="zh-CN" data-theme="night">
|
||
|
||
<head>
|
||
<meta charset="UTF-8">
|
||
<meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1.0">
|
||
<title>存储芯片产业 - 深度投研报告</title>
|
||
<script src="https://cdn.jsdelivr.net/npm/echarts@5.5.0/dist/echarts.min.js"></script>
|
||
<script defer src="https://cdn.jsdelivr.net/npm/alpinejs@3.13.10/dist/cdn.min.js"></script>
|
||
<link href="https://cdn.jsdelivr.net/npm/daisyui@4.11.1/dist/full.min.css" rel="stylesheet" type="text/css" />
|
||
<script src="https://cdn.tailwindcss.com"></script>
|
||
<style>
|
||
@import url('https://fonts.googleapis.com/css2?family=Noto+Sans+SC:wght@300;400;500;700&family=Orbitron:wght@400;500;700&display=swap');
|
||
|
||
body {
|
||
font-family: 'Noto Sans SC', sans-serif;
|
||
background-color: #030415;
|
||
color: #e0e0e0;
|
||
overflow-x: hidden;
|
||
position: relative;
|
||
}
|
||
|
||
.font-orbitron {
|
||
font-family: 'Orbitron', sans-serif;
|
||
}
|
||
|
||
.glass {
|
||
backdrop-filter: blur(16px) saturate(180%);
|
||
-webkit-backdrop-filter: blur(16px) saturate(180%);
|
||
background-color: rgba(17, 25, 40, 0.6);
|
||
border: 1px solid rgba(255, 255, 255, 0.1);
|
||
}
|
||
|
||
.glass-deep {
|
||
backdrop-filter: blur(20px) saturate(200%);
|
||
-webkit-backdrop-filter: blur(20px) saturate(200%);
|
||
background-color: rgba(10, 15, 28, 0.7);
|
||
border: 1px solid rgba(255, 255, 255, 0.125);
|
||
}
|
||
|
||
.glow-effect {
|
||
box-shadow: 0 0 10px rgba(76, 29, 149, 0.5), 0 0 20px rgba(76, 29, 149, 0.4), 0 0 30px rgba(0, 119, 255, 0.3);
|
||
}
|
||
|
||
.glow-text {
|
||
text-shadow: 0 0 5px rgba(255, 255, 255, 0.5), 0 0 10px rgba(132, 146, 166, 0.4);
|
||
}
|
||
|
||
.glow-accent-text {
|
||
text-shadow: 0 0 8px rgba(0, 191, 255, 0.8), 0 0 12px rgba(0, 191, 255, 0.6);
|
||
}
|
||
|
||
.bg-space {
|
||
position: fixed;
|
||
top: 0;
|
||
left: 0;
|
||
width: 100%;
|
||
height: 100%;
|
||
z-index: -1;
|
||
background-color: #030415;
|
||
background-image:
|
||
radial-gradient(ellipse 40% 50% at 20% 25%, rgba(96, 102, 208, 0.3), transparent),
|
||
radial-gradient(ellipse 30% 40% at 80% 75%, rgba(41, 128, 185, 0.25), transparent);
|
||
animation: subtle-pulse 15s infinite alternate;
|
||
}
|
||
|
||
@keyframes subtle-pulse {
|
||
0% { opacity: 0.8; }
|
||
100% { opacity: 1; }
|
||
}
|
||
|
||
.timeline .timeline-start, .timeline .timeline-end {
|
||
color: #a7a7a7;
|
||
}
|
||
|
||
.table th, .table td {
|
||
border-color: rgba(255, 255, 255, 0.1) !important;
|
||
}
|
||
|
||
.table tbody tr:hover {
|
||
background-color: rgba(74, 85, 104, 0.3) !important;
|
||
}
|
||
</style>
|
||
</head>
|
||
|
||
<body class="antialiased">
|
||
<div class="bg-space"></div>
|
||
|
||
<div class="container mx-auto p-4 md:p-8">
|
||
|
||
<!-- Header Section -->
|
||
<header class="text-center mb-12 animate-fade-in-down">
|
||
<h1 class="text-4xl md:text-6xl font-orbitron font-bold text-white glow-text mb-4">存储芯片产业</h1>
|
||
<h2 class="text-xl md:text-2xl text-blue-300 glow-accent-text">深度投研报告</h2>
|
||
<p class="text-sm text-gray-400 mt-4 max-w-3xl mx-auto">
|
||
北京价值前沿科技有限公司 AI投研agent:“价小前投研”进行投研呈现,本报告为AI合成数据,投资需谨慎。
|
||
</p>
|
||
</header>
|
||
|
||
<main class="space-y-12">
|
||
|
||
<!-- Core View Summary -->
|
||
<section class="glass-deep rounded-3xl p-6 md:p-8 glow-effect animate-fade-in">
|
||
<h3 class="text-2xl font-bold mb-4 font-orbitron text-cyan-300 glow-accent-text">核心观点摘要</h3>
|
||
<p class="text-lg text-gray-200 leading-relaxed">
|
||
存储芯片产业正处于一轮由 <strong class="text-yellow-300">“周期性反转 + AI结构性需求爆发”</strong> 双轮驱动的“U型”强劲复苏周期中。当前已从上游原厂通过减产控制供给的“价稳”阶段,全面进入由AI服务器、AI终端等强劲需求拉动的 <strong class="text-green-300">“量价齐升”</strong> 阶段。<strong class="text-purple-300">HBM (高带宽内存)</strong> 是本轮周期的技术与价值核心,而 <strong class="text-blue-300">国产替代</strong> 则构成了并行发展的长期主线,整个产业链正迎来业绩与估值的双重修复。
|
||
</p>
|
||
</section>
|
||
|
||
<!-- Concept Events Timeline -->
|
||
<section class="glass rounded-3xl p-6 md:p-8">
|
||
<h3 class="text-2xl font-bold mb-6 font-orbitron text-cyan-300 glow-accent-text">概念事件:周期演进脉络</h3>
|
||
<ul class="timeline timeline-snap-icon max-md:timeline-compact timeline-vertical">
|
||
<li>
|
||
<div class="timeline-middle">
|
||
<svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="currentColor" class="h-5 w-5 text-gray-500"><path fill-rule="evenodd" d="M10 18a8 8 0 100-16 8 8 0 000 16zm-.75-4.75a.75.75 0 001.5 0V8.66l1.95 2.1a.75.75 0 101.1-1.02l-3.25-3.5a.75.75 0 00-1.1 0L6.2 9.74a.75.75 0 101.1 1.02l1.95-2.1v4.59z" clip-rule="evenodd" /></svg>
|
||
</div>
|
||
<div class="timeline-start md:text-end mb-10">
|
||
<time class="font-mono italic text-gray-400">2022 - 2023 H1</time>
|
||
<div class="text-lg font-black text-red-400">周期前夜</div>
|
||
行业处于下行周期,下游需求萎缩,价格持续下滑,库存高企。
|
||
</div>
|
||
<hr class="bg-gray-600"/>
|
||
</li>
|
||
<li>
|
||
<hr class="bg-gray-600"/>
|
||
<div class="timeline-middle">
|
||
<svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="currentColor" class="h-5 w-5 text-yellow-400"><path fill-rule="evenodd" d="M10 18a8 8 0 100-16 8 8 0 000 16zm.75-11.25a.75.75 0 00-1.5 0v4.59L7.3 9.24a.75.75 0 00-1.1 1.02l3.25 3.5a.75.75 0 001.1 0l3.25-3.5a.75.75 0 10-1.1-1.02l-1.95 2.1V6.75z" clip-rule="evenodd" /></svg>
|
||
</div>
|
||
<div class="timeline-end mb-10">
|
||
<time class="font-mono italic text-gray-400">2023 H2</time>
|
||
<div class="text-lg font-black text-yellow-300">周期拐点</div>
|
||
9月起存储芯片价格开始上涨,Q4 DRAM合约价上涨8-13%,NAND上涨10-30%,原厂减产去库存效应显现,市场触底反弹。
|
||
</div>
|
||
<hr class="bg-gray-600"/>
|
||
</li>
|
||
<li>
|
||
<hr class="bg-gray-600"/>
|
||
<div class="timeline-middle">
|
||
<svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="currentColor" class="h-5 w-5 text-green-400"><path fill-rule="evenodd" d="M10 18a8 8 0 100-16 8 8 0 000 16zm3.857-9.809a.75.75 0 00-1.214-.882l-3.483 4.79-1.88-1.88a.75.75 0 10-1.06 1.061l2.5 2.5a.75.75 0 001.137-.089l4-5.5z" clip-rule="evenodd" /></svg>
|
||
</div>
|
||
<div class="timeline-start md:text-end mb-10">
|
||
<time class="font-mono italic text-gray-400">2024 - 2025</time>
|
||
<div class="text-lg font-black text-green-300">周期加速</div>
|
||
涨价潮全面爆发,Sandisk发函涨价超10%,美光计划提价20-30%。部分芯片涨价达100%,产线满负荷仍供不应求。江波龙等公司Q3净利暴增,验证行业高景气度。
|
||
</div>
|
||
<hr class="bg-gray-600"/>
|
||
</li>
|
||
<li>
|
||
<hr class="bg-gray-600"/>
|
||
<div class="timeline-middle">
|
||
<svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="currentColor" class="h-5 w-5 text-blue-400"><path d="M10 12.5a2.5 2.5 0 100-5 2.5 2.5 0 000 5z" /><path fill-rule="evenodd" d="M.664 10.59a1.651 1.651 0 010-1.18l3.75-7.03a1.65 1.65 0 013.018 1.605L4.857 9.5h10.286l-2.573-4.516a1.65 1.65 0 013.018-1.605l3.75 7.03a1.65 1.65 0 010 1.18l-3.75 7.03a1.65 1.65 0 01-3.018-1.605L15.143 10.5H4.857l2.573 4.516a1.65 1.65 0 01-3.018 1.605l-3.75-7.03z" clip-rule="evenodd" /></svg>
|
||
</div>
|
||
<div class="timeline-end">
|
||
<time class="font-mono italic text-gray-400">展望</time>
|
||
<div class="text-lg font-black text-blue-300">未来展望</div>
|
||
分析师普遍预计,由AI驱动的涨价潮或将延续至2026年,国产化进程将持续加速。
|
||
</div>
|
||
</li>
|
||
</ul>
|
||
</section>
|
||
|
||
<!-- Core Logic & Market Perception -->
|
||
<section class="glass rounded-3xl p-6 md:p-8">
|
||
<h3 class="text-2xl font-bold mb-6 font-orbitron text-cyan-300 glow-accent-text">核心逻辑与市场认知</h3>
|
||
<div class="grid grid-cols-1 lg:grid-cols-3 gap-6">
|
||
<!-- Triple Logic Resonance -->
|
||
<div class="glass-deep rounded-2xl p-6 border-l-4 border-purple-400">
|
||
<h4 class="text-xl font-bold mb-3 text-purple-300">三重逻辑共振</h4>
|
||
<ul class="space-y-3 text-gray-300">
|
||
<li><strong class="text-white">供给端-周期性反转:</strong>国际寡头主动减产,24年6月稼动率仅73-75%,远低于85%平衡线,供给端高度可控。</li>
|
||
<li><strong class="text-white">需求端-AI结构性爆发:</strong>AI服务器DRAM需求为普通服务器8倍。产能优先分配HBM/DDR5,挤占DDR4供应,加剧结构性短缺。</li>
|
||
<li><strong class="text-white">国产化-自主可控叙事:</strong>长鑫(CXMT)与长江(YMTC)加速追赶,DDR5良率达80%,294层NAND已量产,带动下游国产模组厂崛起。</li>
|
||
</ul>
|
||
</div>
|
||
<!-- Market Heat & Sentiment -->
|
||
<div class="glass-deep rounded-2xl p-6 border-l-4 border-yellow-400">
|
||
<h4 class="text-xl font-bold mb-3 text-yellow-300">市场热度与情绪</h4>
|
||
<p class="text-gray-300">市场情绪 <strong class="text-white">极其乐观</strong>。“涨价100%”、“供不应求”等字眼频繁见诸报端。研报密集发布,普遍看好周期延续。关联个股股价创历史新高或涨停,显示资金高度认同。存储芯片已从纯周期板块,被赋予了 <strong class="text-white">AI和国产替代</strong> 的双重成长属性,市场热度空前。</p>
|
||
</div>
|
||
<!-- Expectation Gap Analysis -->
|
||
<div class="glass-deep rounded-2xl p-6 border-l-4 border-red-400">
|
||
<h4 class="text-xl font-bold mb-3 text-red-300">预期差分析</h4>
|
||
<ul class="space-y-3 text-gray-300">
|
||
<li><strong class="text-white">HBM的“光环”与“现实”:</strong>国内龙头长鑫存储目标24年底量产HBM2E,落后国际主流约一代,短期业绩贡献可能被高估。</li>
|
||
<li><strong class="text-white">复苏的“广度”与“深度”:</strong>PC和利基市场需求增长乏力(仅2%),复苏存在结构性不均衡,依赖非AI领域的公司业绩弹性或不及预期。</li>
|
||
<li><strong class="text-white">库存水平的“矛盾”:</strong>新闻渲染“争相备货”,但亦有数据显示服务器OEM有2-3个季度库存,暗示可能存在超前备货,是乐观共识下的潜在风险点。</li>
|
||
</ul>
|
||
</div>
|
||
</div>
|
||
</section>
|
||
|
||
<!-- Bento Grid for Supporting Data & Charts -->
|
||
<section class="grid grid-cols-1 md:grid-cols-2 lg:grid-cols-3 gap-6">
|
||
<!-- Market Size Chart -->
|
||
<div class="lg:col-span-2 glass rounded-3xl p-6">
|
||
<h4 class="text-lg font-bold mb-4 text-cyan-300">中国存储芯片市场规模预测 (亿美元)</h4>
|
||
<div id="market-size-chart" class="w-full h-64 md:h-80"></div>
|
||
</div>
|
||
|
||
<!-- Price Trend Chart -->
|
||
<div class="glass rounded-3xl p-6">
|
||
<h4 class="text-lg font-bold mb-4 text-cyan-300">存储芯片价格指数</h4>
|
||
<div id="price-trend-chart" class="w-full h-64 md:h-80"></div>
|
||
</div>
|
||
|
||
<!-- AI Driven Demand -->
|
||
<div class="glass rounded-3xl p-6 flex flex-col justify-between">
|
||
<div>
|
||
<h4 class="text-lg font-bold text-purple-300">AI驱动的需求扩张</h4>
|
||
<p class="mt-2 text-gray-300">AI革命重塑存储价值,需求呈指数级增长。阿里宣布三年 <strong class="text-white">3800亿</strong> AI硬件投入,AI服务器渗透率将从2024年11%跃升至2030年22%。</p>
|
||
</div>
|
||
<div class="stats stats-vertical lg:stats-horizontal shadow bg-transparent mt-4">
|
||
<div class="stat p-2">
|
||
<div class="stat-title text-gray-400">AI服务器DRAM需求</div>
|
||
<div class="stat-value text-green-300 text-3xl">8x</div>
|
||
<div class="stat-desc text-gray-400">vs 普通服务器</div>
|
||
</div>
|
||
<div class="stat p-2">
|
||
<div class="stat-title text-gray-400">AI服务器NAND需求</div>
|
||
<div class="stat-value text-green-300 text-3xl">3x</div>
|
||
<div class="stat-desc text-gray-400">vs 普通服务器</div>
|
||
</div>
|
||
</div>
|
||
</div>
|
||
|
||
<!-- Downstream Impact -->
|
||
<div class="glass rounded-3xl p-6">
|
||
<h4 class="text-lg font-bold text-yellow-300">下游影响与备货潮</h4>
|
||
<p class="mt-2 text-gray-300">下游厂商争相备货,供不应求加剧。戴尔、惠普警告可能提高产品定价。研究机构预测,至2026年Q2,存储芯片价格将在当前基础上 <strong class="text-white">再上涨约50%</strong>。手机终端市场面临最大涨价风险。</p>
|
||
</div>
|
||
|
||
<!-- Domestic Progress -->
|
||
<div class="lg:col-span-2 glass rounded-3xl p-6">
|
||
<h4 class="text-lg font-bold text-blue-300">国产化进程加速</h4>
|
||
<p class="mt-2 mb-4 text-gray-300">国产突破,技术壁垒全面攻破,呈现上游突破带动下游崛起的良性循环。长鑫/长存晶圆技术升级,推动国产模组厂进入高端市场。</p>
|
||
<div class="flex flex-wrap gap-4">
|
||
<div class="badge badge-outline border-blue-400 text-blue-300 p-3">长鑫存储:DDR5良率达80%</div>
|
||
<div class="badge badge-outline border-blue-400 text-blue-300 p-3">长江存储:294层3D NAND量产</div>
|
||
<div class="badge badge-outline border-blue-400 text-blue-300 p-3">大普微:IPO过会,导入NVIDIA供应链</div>
|
||
<div class="badge badge-outline border-blue-400 text-blue-300 p-3">长鑫存储:规划2025年底量产HBM3</div>
|
||
</div>
|
||
</div>
|
||
</section>
|
||
|
||
|
||
<!-- Catalysts, Path & Risks -->
|
||
<section class="grid grid-cols-1 lg:grid-cols-2 gap-6">
|
||
<!-- Catalysts & Future Path -->
|
||
<div class="glass rounded-3xl p-6 md:p-8">
|
||
<h3 class="text-2xl font-bold mb-6 font-orbitron text-cyan-300 glow-accent-text">催化剂与发展路径</h3>
|
||
<div>
|
||
<h4 class="text-lg font-bold text-green-300 mb-2">近期催化剂 (未来3-6个月)</h4>
|
||
<ul class="list-disc list-inside space-y-1 text-gray-300">
|
||
<li>龙头企业财报/指引:直接验证价格上涨和需求强度。</li>
|
||
<li>国产大厂IPO进程:长鑫存储IPO若有进展将提振产业链估值。</li>
|
||
<li>重大AI产品发布:如NVIDIA新GPU,将定义HBM/LPDDR新规格。</li>
|
||
</ul>
|
||
</div>
|
||
<div class="divider before:bg-gray-700 after:bg-gray-700"></div>
|
||
<div>
|
||
<h4 class="text-lg font-bold text-blue-300 mb-2">长期发展路径</h4>
|
||
<ul class="list-decimal list-inside space-y-1 text-gray-300">
|
||
<li><strong>当前-2026年 (AI驱动期):</strong> AI服务器拉动HBM/DDR5需求,量价齐升。</li>
|
||
<li><strong>2026-2027年 (端侧接力期):</strong> AI PC/手机渗透率超50%,高容量LPDDR和NAND成主角。</li>
|
||
<li><strong>2027年及以后 (国产成熟期):</strong> 国内厂商技术追平,进入全球竞争阶段。</li>
|
||
</ul>
|
||
</div>
|
||
</div>
|
||
<!-- Risks & Challenges -->
|
||
<div class="glass rounded-3xl p-6 md:p-8">
|
||
<h3 class="text-2xl font-bold mb-6 font-orbitron text-red-400">潜在风险与挑战</h3>
|
||
<div role="alert" class="alert bg-red-900/30 border-red-500/50 text-red-200 mb-4">
|
||
<svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" class="stroke-current shrink-0 h-6 w-6" fill="none" viewBox="0 0 24 24"><path stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" stroke-width="2" d="M12 9v2m0 4h.01m-6.938 4h13.856c1.54 0 2.502-1.667 1.732-3L13.732 4c-.77-1.333-2.694-1.333-3.464 0L3.34 16c-.77 1.333.192 3 1.732 3z" /></svg>
|
||
<div>
|
||
<h3 class="font-bold">技术风险</h3>
|
||
<div class="text-xs">国内厂商在HBM、先进制程上的良率与成本控制是最大挑战。美国技术限制是悬顶之剑。</div>
|
||
</div>
|
||
</div>
|
||
<div role="alert" class="alert bg-yellow-900/30 border-yellow-500/50 text-yellow-200 mb-4">
|
||
<svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" class="stroke-current shrink-0 h-6 w-6" fill="none" viewBox="0 0 24 24"><path stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" stroke-width="2" d="M12 9v2m0 4h.01m-6.938 4h13.856c1.54 0 2.502-1.667 1.732-3L13.732 4c-.77-1.333-2.694-1.333-3.464 0L3.34 16c-.77 1.333.192 3 1.732 3z" /></svg>
|
||
<div>
|
||
<h3 class="font-bold">商业化风险</h3>
|
||
<div class="text-xs">AI需求若不及预期,或下游出现库存修正,将对价格造成严重冲击。行业周期性本质未变。</div>
|
||
</div>
|
||
</div>
|
||
<div role="alert" class="alert bg-blue-900/30 border-blue-500/50 text-blue-200">
|
||
<svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" class="stroke-current shrink-0 h-6 w-6" fill="none" viewBox="0 0 24 24"><path stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" stroke-width="2" d="M13 16h-1v-4h-1m1-4h.01M21 12a9 9 0 11-18 0 9 9 0 0118 0z" /></svg>
|
||
<div>
|
||
<h3 class="font-bold">信息交叉验证风险 (明确矛盾点)</h3>
|
||
<div class="text-xs">早期价格预测(TrendForce)与后期实际走势存在矛盾。下游库存水平描述存在差异(抢购 vs 2-3季度库存),需审慎判断。</div>
|
||
</div>
|
||
</div>
|
||
</div>
|
||
</section>
|
||
|
||
<!-- Investment Insights -->
|
||
<section class="glass rounded-3xl p-6 md:p-8">
|
||
<h3 class="text-2xl font-bold mb-6 font-orbitron text-cyan-300 glow-accent-text">综合结论与投资启示</h3>
|
||
<div class="grid grid-cols-1 md:grid-cols-2 gap-6">
|
||
<div>
|
||
<h4 class="text-lg font-bold text-green-300 mb-2">最具投资价值的细分环节</h4>
|
||
<ol class="list-decimal list-inside space-y-2 text-gray-300">
|
||
<li><strong class="text-white">HBM产业链的“卖铲人”(设备与材料):</strong> 确定性最高,资本开支刚性,逻辑最硬。</li>
|
||
<li><strong class="text-white">国产存储模组厂商:</strong> 业绩弹性最大,受益于“低价库存+高价销售”,但需紧盯价格拐点。</li>
|
||
<li><strong class="text-white">具备利基市场优势的芯片设计公司:</strong> 成长路径相对独立,具备穿越周期的潜力。</li>
|
||
</ol>
|
||
</div>
|
||
<div>
|
||
<h4 class="text-lg font-bold text-yellow-300 mb-2">需重点跟踪的关键指标</h4>
|
||
<ul class="list-disc list-inside space-y-2 text-gray-300">
|
||
<li><strong class="text-white">价格指标:</strong> DRAM/NAND的合约价与现货价走势。</li>
|
||
<li><strong class="text-white">供给指标:</strong> 三星、SK海力士、美光的季度资本开支(CAPEX)和产能利用率。</li>
|
||
<li><strong class="text-white">需求指标:</strong> 全球云厂商资本开支、AI服务器出货量增速。</li>
|
||
<li><strong class="text-white">国产化指标:</strong> 长鑫HBM量产时间与良率,长江高端NAND导入情况。</li>
|
||
</ul>
|
||
</div>
|
||
</div>
|
||
</section>
|
||
|
||
<!-- Rise Analysis Table -->
|
||
<section class="glass rounded-3xl p-6 md:p-8">
|
||
<h3 class="text-2xl font-bold mb-6 font-orbitron text-cyan-300 glow-accent-text">近期异动个股解析</h3>
|
||
<div class="overflow-x-auto">
|
||
<table class="table table-zebra table-sm md:table-md">
|
||
<thead class="text-white">
|
||
<tr>
|
||
<th>股票名称</th>
|
||
<th>涨跌幅</th>
|
||
<th>日期</th>
|
||
<th class="w-2/3">异动原因解析</th>
|
||
</tr>
|
||
</thead>
|
||
<tbody>
|
||
<tr>
|
||
<td>大港股份 (002077)</td>
|
||
<td class="text-red-400 font-bold">+10.01%</td>
|
||
<td>2025-11-12</td>
|
||
<td class="text-sm whitespace-pre-wrap"><strong>核心:</strong> 存储芯片价格跳涨+国产NAND良率突破触发β行情,资金涌入封测环节,公司因具备NAND/DRAM堆叠封装产能被选为弹性龙头。
|
||
<strong>驱动:</strong> ①价格拐点: DRAM合约价Q4上调,NAND现货价大涨。②国产替代: 长江存储良率提升,封测订单外溢。</td>
|
||
</tr>
|
||
<tr>
|
||
<td>大为股份 (002213)</td>
|
||
<td class="text-red-400 font-bold">+7.23%</td>
|
||
<td>2025-06-17</td>
|
||
<td class="text-sm whitespace-pre-wrap"><strong>核心:</strong> 受益于行业重大利好“DDR4停产潮”。
|
||
<strong>驱动:</strong> 韩系及美光宣布DDR4将停产(EOL),导致市场供给减少,DDR4现货价格单日跳涨近8%,作为存储芯片概念股受板块联动效应提振。</td>
|
||
</tr>
|
||
<tr>
|
||
<td>雅创电子 (301099)</td>
|
||
<td class="text-red-400 font-bold">+8.05%</td>
|
||
<td>2025-09-29</td>
|
||
<td class="text-sm whitespace-pre-wrap"><strong>核心:</strong> 存储芯片行业全面上涨带动。
|
||
<strong>驱动:</strong> 三星、美光等巨头宣布上调价格20-30%,行业供需关系改善。公司主营芯片分销和电源管理IC设计,直接受益于行业景气度提升。</td>
|
||
</tr>
|
||
<tr>
|
||
<td>同有科技 (300302)</td>
|
||
<td class="text-red-400 font-bold">+7.63%</td>
|
||
<td>2025-06-18</td>
|
||
<td class="text-sm whitespace-pre-wrap"><strong>核心:</strong> 存储芯片板块集体异动带动。
|
||
<strong>驱动:</strong> 与大为股份逻辑类似,受DDR4停产消息刺激,板块联动上涨。尽管公司基本面存在经营亏损和股东减持压力,但短期市场情绪更关注行业利好。</td>
|
||
</tr>
|
||
</tbody>
|
||
</table>
|
||
</div>
|
||
</section>
|
||
|
||
|
||
<!-- Stock List Table -->
|
||
<section class="glass rounded-3xl p-6 md:p-8">
|
||
<h3 class="text-2xl font-bold mb-6 font-orbitron text-cyan-300 glow-accent-text">产业链核心标的</h3>
|
||
<div class="overflow-x-auto">
|
||
<table class="table table-zebra w-full">
|
||
<thead class="text-white text-base">
|
||
<tr>
|
||
<th>产业链环节</th>
|
||
<th>股票名称</th>
|
||
<th>推荐原因</th>
|
||
</tr>
|
||
</thead>
|
||
<tbody>
|
||
<!-- HBM -->
|
||
<tr><td rowspan="13" class="font-bold text-purple-300 align-top pt-4">HBM</td><td><a href="https://valuefrontier.cn/company?scode=300475" target="_blank" class="link link-hover">香农芯创 (300475)</a></td><td>电子元器件产品分销,拥有SK海力士、MTK、兆易创新等公司的授权代理权</td></tr>
|
||
<tr><td><a href="https://valuefrontier.cn/company?scode=002156" target="_blank" class="link link-hover">通富微电 (002156)</a></td><td>国内规模最大、产品品种最多的集成电路封装测试企业之一</td></tr>
|
||
<tr><td><a href="https://valuefrontier.cn/company?scode=600584" target="_blank" class="link link-hover">长电科技 (600584)</a></td><td>世界第三、中国大陆第一的芯片封测龙头,业务覆盖了高中低各种集成电路封测</td></tr>
|
||
<tr><td><a href="https://valuefrontier.cn/company?scode=600667" target="_blank" class="link link-hover">太极实业 (600667)</a></td><td>国内领先的半导体封测企业,DRAM封装龙头</td></tr>
|
||
<tr><td><a href="https://valuefrontier.cn/company?scode=000021" target="_blank" class="link link-hover">深科技 (000021)</a></td><td>国内最大的独立DRAM内存芯片封测企业,全球第二大硬盘磁头制造商</td></tr>
|
||
<tr><td><a href="https://valuefrontier.cn/company?scode=688535" target="_blank" class="link link-hover">华海诚科 (688535)</a></td><td>国内极少数同时布局FC底填胶与液态塑封料的内资半导体封装材料厂商</td></tr>
|
||
<tr><td><a href="https://valuefrontier.cn/company?scode=002409" target="_blank" class="link link-hover">雅克科技 (002409)</a></td><td>全球著名的磷酸酯阻燃剂生产企业,前驱体材料进入海力士供应链</td></tr>
|
||
<tr><td><a href="https://valuefrontier.cn/company?scode=688012" target="_blank" class="link link-hover">中微公司 (688012)</a></td><td>面向全球的高端半导体微观加工设备公司</td></tr>
|
||
<tr><td><a href="https://valuefrontier.cn/company?scode=688385" target="_blank" class="link link-hover">复旦微电 (688385)</a></td><td>公司在国内FPGA芯片设计领域处于领先地位,是国内最早推出亿门级FPGA产品的厂商</td></tr>
|
||
<tr><td><a href="https://valuefrontier.cn/company?scode=002559" target="_blank" class="link link-hover">亚威股份 (002559)</a></td><td>中高端金属成形机床企业,钣金加工机床国内领先</td></tr>
|
||
<tr><td><a href="https://valuefrontier.cn/company?scode=603002" target="_blank" class="link link-hover">宏昌电子 (603002)</a></td><td>国内电子级环氧树脂领域龙头公司</td></tr>
|
||
<tr><td>山东华鹏</td><td>“石岛”牌日用玻璃制品,国内设备装备水平和生产技术水平最高</td></tr>
|
||
<tr><td><a href="https://valuefrontier.cn/company?scode=002579" target="_blank" class="link link-hover">中京电子 (002579)</a></td><td>国内少数兼具刚柔印制电路板批量生产与较强研发能力的PCB制造商</td></tr>
|
||
|
||
<!-- 模组 -->
|
||
<tr><td rowspan="3" class="font-bold text-green-300 align-top pt-4">模组</td><td><a href="https://valuefrontier.cn/company?scode=301308" target="_blank" class="link link-hover">江波龙 (301308)</a></td><td>旗下Lexar存储卡全球市场份额第二、闪存盘全球第三,业绩弹性巨大</td></tr>
|
||
<tr><td><a href="https://valuefrontier.cn/company?scode=688525" target="_blank" class="link link-hover">佰维存储 (688525)</a></td><td>国内少数同时掌握NAND/DRAM研发设计与封测制造的企业,市占率居前</td></tr>
|
||
<tr><td><a href="https://valuefrontier.cn/company?scode=001309" target="_blank" class="link link-hover">德明利 (001309)</a></td><td>在全球存储卡、存储盘等移动存储领域拥有一定市场份额</td></tr>
|
||
|
||
<!-- DRAM -->
|
||
<tr><td rowspan="3" class="font-bold text-blue-300 align-top pt-4">DRAM</td><td><a href="https://valuefrontier.cn/company?scode=603986" target="_blank" class="link link-hover">兆易创新 (603986)</a></td><td>主要产品为闪存芯片,半导体存储器领域领导企业</td></tr>
|
||
<tr><td><a href="https://valuefrontier.cn/company?scode=300223" target="_blank" class="link link-hover">北京君正 (300223)</a></td><td>掌握嵌入式CPU核心技术并成功市场化的极少数本土企业之一</td></tr>
|
||
<tr><td><a href="https://valuefrontier.cn/company?scode=688110" target="_blank" class="link link-hover">东芯股份 (688110)</a></td><td>中国大陆领先的存储芯片设计公司</td></tr>
|
||
|
||
<!-- NANDFLASH -->
|
||
<tr><td rowspan="2" class="font-bold text-yellow-300 align-top pt-4">NAND FLASH</td><td><a href="https://valuefrontier.cn/company?scode=603986" target="_blank" class="link link-hover">兆易创新 (603986)</a></td><td>主要产品为闪存芯片,半导体存储器领域领导企业</td></tr>
|
||
<tr><td><a href="https://valuefrontier.cn/company?scode=688110" target="_blank" class="link link-hover">东芯股份 (688110)</a></td><td>中国大陆领先的存储芯片设计公司</td></tr>
|
||
|
||
<!-- NORFLASH -->
|
||
<tr><td rowspan="3" class="font-bold text-orange-300 align-top pt-4">NOR FLASH</td><td><a href="https://valuefrontier.cn/company?scode=603986" target="_blank" class="link link-hover">兆易创新 (603986)</a></td><td>主要产品为闪存芯片,半导体存储器领域领导企业</td></tr>
|
||
<tr><td><a href="https://valuefrontier.cn/company?scode=688766" target="_blank" class="link link-hover">普冉股份 (688766)</a></td><td>国内重要的存储器芯片提供商之一,深耕于EEPROM行业</td></tr>
|
||
<tr><td><a href="https://valuefrontier.cn/company?scode=688416" target="_blank" class="link link-hover">恒烁股份 (688416)</a></td><td>国内领先的NOR Flash存储芯片设计公司,延伸布局通用32位MCU芯片</td></tr>
|
||
|
||
<!-- EEPROM -->
|
||
<tr><td rowspan="2" class="font-bold text-cyan-300 align-top pt-4">EEPROM</td><td><a href="https://valuefrontier.cn/company?scode=688766" target="_blank" class="link link-hover">普冉股份 (688766)</a></td><td>国内重要的存储器芯片提供商之一,深耕于EEPROM行业</td></tr>
|
||
<tr><td><a href="https://valuefrontier.cn/company?scode=688123" target="_blank" class="link link-hover">聚辰股份 (688123)</a></td><td>领先的集成电路产品的研发设计和销售企业,DDR5 SPD芯片出货量快速增长</td></tr>
|
||
|
||
</tbody>
|
||
</table>
|
||
</div>
|
||
</section>
|
||
|
||
</main>
|
||
|
||
<footer class="text-center mt-12 text-gray-500 text-sm">
|
||
<p>© 2024 北京价值前沿科技有限公司. All Rights Reserved.</p>
|
||
<p>AI投研agent: 价小前投研 V1.0</p>
|
||
</footer>
|
||
|
||
</div>
|
||
|
||
<script>
|
||
document.addEventListener('DOMContentLoaded', function() {
|
||
// Market Size Chart
|
||
var marketSizeChartDom = document.getElementById('market-size-chart');
|
||
var marketSizeChart = echarts.init(marketSizeChartDom, 'dark');
|
||
var marketSizeOption = {
|
||
backgroundColor: 'transparent',
|
||
tooltip: { trigger: 'axis', axisPointer: { type: 'shadow' } },
|
||
legend: { data: ['市场规模'], textStyle: { color: '#ccc' } },
|
||
grid: { left: '3%', right: '4%', bottom: '3%', containLabel: true },
|
||
xAxis: {
|
||
type: 'category',
|
||
data: ['2018', '2019', '2022', '2027(E)'],
|
||
axisLine: { lineStyle: { color: 'rgba(255,255,255,0.3)' } }
|
||
},
|
||
yAxis: {
|
||
type: 'value',
|
||
name: '亿美元',
|
||
axisLine: { show: true, lineStyle: { color: 'rgba(255,255,255,0.3)' } },
|
||
splitLine: { lineStyle: { color: 'rgba(255,255,255,0.1)' } }
|
||
},
|
||
series: [{
|
||
name: '市场规模',
|
||
type: 'bar',
|
||
data: [843.6, 589.7, 828.4, 1511.7],
|
||
itemStyle: {
|
||
color: new echarts.graphic.LinearGradient(0, 0, 0, 1, [
|
||
{ offset: 0, color: '#2980B9' },
|
||
{ offset: 1, color: '#8E44AD' }
|
||
])
|
||
},
|
||
emphasis: {
|
||
itemStyle: {
|
||
color: new echarts.graphic.LinearGradient(0, 0, 0, 1, [
|
||
{ offset: 0, color: '#3498DB' },
|
||
{ offset: 1, color: '#9B59B6' }
|
||
])
|
||
}
|
||
}
|
||
}]
|
||
};
|
||
marketSizeChart.setOption(marketSizeOption);
|
||
|
||
// Price Trend Chart
|
||
var priceTrendChartDom = document.getElementById('price-trend-chart');
|
||
var priceTrendChart = echarts.init(priceTrendChartDom, 'dark');
|
||
var priceTrendOption = {
|
||
backgroundColor: 'transparent',
|
||
tooltip: { trigger: 'axis' },
|
||
xAxis: {
|
||
type: 'category',
|
||
boundaryGap: false,
|
||
data: ['2023Q2', '2023Q4', '2024Q2', '2025Q2', '2026Q2(E)'],
|
||
axisLine: { lineStyle: { color: 'rgba(255,255,255,0.3)' } }
|
||
},
|
||
yAxis: {
|
||
type: 'value',
|
||
name: '相对价格指数',
|
||
splitLine: { lineStyle: { color: 'rgba(255,255,255,0.1)' } },
|
||
axisLabel: { formatter: '{value}' },
|
||
axisLine: { show: true, lineStyle: { color: 'rgba(255,255,255,0.3)' } }
|
||
},
|
||
series: [{
|
||
name: '价格指数',
|
||
type: 'line',
|
||
data: [100, 115, 140, 180, 210],
|
||
smooth: true,
|
||
itemStyle: { color: '#00BFFF' },
|
||
lineStyle: {
|
||
width: 3,
|
||
shadowColor: 'rgba(0, 191, 255, 0.8)',
|
||
shadowBlur: 10
|
||
},
|
||
areaStyle: {
|
||
color: new echarts.graphic.LinearGradient(0, 0, 0, 1, [{
|
||
offset: 0,
|
||
color: 'rgba(0, 191, 255, 0.5)'
|
||
}, {
|
||
offset: 1,
|
||
color: 'rgba(0, 191, 255, 0)'
|
||
}])
|
||
}
|
||
}]
|
||
};
|
||
priceTrendChart.setOption(priceTrendOption);
|
||
|
||
window.addEventListener('resize', function() {
|
||
marketSizeChart.resize();
|
||
priceTrendChart.resize();
|
||
});
|
||
});
|
||
</script>
|
||
|
||
</body>
|
||
</html> |