458 lines
30 KiB
HTML
458 lines
30 KiB
HTML
<!DOCTYPE html>
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<html lang="zh-CN" data-theme="night">
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<head>
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<meta charset="UTF-8">
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<meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1.0">
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<title>深度行研报告：矿山智驾</title>
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<!-- Tailwind CSS & DaisyUI -->
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<link href="https://cdn.jsdelivr.net/npm/daisyui@4.10.1/dist/full.min.css" rel="stylesheet" type="text/css" />
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body {
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font-family: 'Noto Sans SC', sans-serif;
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background-color: #02040a;
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background-image:
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radial-gradient(ellipse 80% 50% at 50% -20%, rgba(120, 119, 198, 0.3), transparent),
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radial-gradient(ellipse 80% 50% at 50% 120%, rgba(39, 119, 198, 0.3), transparent);
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background-attachment: fixed;
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color: #e0e0e0;
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font-family: 'Orbitron', sans-serif;
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text-shadow: 0 0 5px rgba(0, 255, 255, 0.7), 0 0 10px rgba(0, 255, 255, 0.5), 0 0 20px rgba(0, 255, 255, 0.3);
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border-image-source: linear-gradient(to right bottom, #2dd4bf, #3b82f6, #a855f7);
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.bento-grid {
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display: grid;
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gap: 1.5rem;
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}
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.bento-grid-item {
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min-height: 200px;
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.fui-header {
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font-weight: 500;
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color: #67e8f9; /* cyan-300 */
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text-shadow: 0 0 3px rgba(103, 232, 249, 0.5);
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margin-bottom: 1rem;
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border-left: 3px solid #67e8f9;
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padding-left: 1rem;
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}
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.table thead th {
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background-color: rgba(14, 165, 233, 0.2);
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background: rgba(14, 165, 233, 0.8);
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</style>
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</head>
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<body class="min-h-screen">
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<div class="container mx-auto p-4 md:p-8">
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<!-- Header -->
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<header class="text-center mb-12">
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<h1 class="concept-title text-5xl md:text-7xl font-bold text-cyan-300">矿山智驾</h1>
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<p class="mt-4 text-lg text-slate-400">Mine Autonomous Driving - Deep Dive Analysis</p>
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<p class="text-xs text-slate-500 mt-2">由 北京价值前沿科技有限公司 AI投研agent：“价小前投研” 进行投研呈现</p>
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</header>
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<main class="space-y-16">
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<!-- Bento Grid Section -->
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<section class="bento-grid grid-cols-1 md:grid-cols-3 lg:grid-cols-4">
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<div class="glass-card p-6 bento-grid-item md:col-span-2 lg:col-span-2 row-span-2 flex flex-col justify-between">
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<div>
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<h2 class="fui-header text-xl">核心观点摘要</h2>
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<p class="text-slate-300 leading-relaxed">
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矿山智驾是典型的<strong class="text-cyan-400">政策驱动型+场景限定型</strong>的强α概念，目前正处于从试点示范（0→1）向量产复制（1→N）过渡的关键阶段。其核心驱动力源于矿山作业对“安全”和“效率”的刚性需求，叠加国家层面强制性的智能化改造政策。相比于乘用车自动驾驶，矿山智驾因其<strong class="text-cyan-400">封闭场景、固定路线</strong>的特点，商业化落地路径更清晰、更迅速，具备率先实现大规模盈利的潜力。
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</p>
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</div>
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<div class="mt-4 text-right">
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<span class="badge badge-outline border-cyan-400 text-cyan-400">强政策驱动</span>
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<span class="badge badge-outline border-sky-400 text-sky-400 ml-2">商业化清晰</span>
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<span class="badge badge-outline border-indigo-400 text-indigo-400 ml-2">高景气周期</span>
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</div>
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</div>
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<div class="glass-card p-6 bento-grid-item md:col-span-1 lg:col-span-2">
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<h2 class="fui-header text-xl">概念事件与催化</h2>
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<ul class="list-disc list-inside text-slate-300 space-y-2 text-sm">
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<li><strong class="text-sky-300">2023年 - 政策元年:</strong> 《“机器人+”应用行动》等文件明确推进矿山无人化运输，标志性商业订单出现。</li>
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<li><strong class="text-sky-300">2024年 - 落地加速:</strong> 《5G规模化应用“扬帆”行动》等文件细化目标，龙头企业实现数百台规模化常态运营。</li>
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<li><strong class="text-sky-300">2025年及以后 (预期):</strong> 进入标准化与规模爆发阶段，目标2026年危险岗位机器人替代率≥30%。</li>
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</ul>
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</div>
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<div class="glass-card p-6 bento-grid-item md:col-span-1 lg:col-span-2 bg-rose-900/30 border-rose-500/30">
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<h2 class="fui-header text-xl text-rose-300 border-rose-300">预期差：巨大的信息鸿沟</h2>
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<p class="text-rose-200">
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本次分析最关键的发现是，<strong class="text-rose-100">新闻与路演数据中完全没有“矿山智驾”的直接信息</strong>，所有公开舆论均聚焦于乘用车智驾。然而，深度研报和个股数据却揭示了<strong class="text-rose-100">一个已实现百台级商业化落地、市场规模近400亿的成熟产业</strong>。这种认知偏差构成了巨大的投资预期差。
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</p>
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</div>
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</section>
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<!-- Market Size Chart Section -->
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<section class="glass-card p-6">
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<h2 class="fui-header text-xl">市场规模预测 (亿元人民币)</h2>
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<div id="market-size-chart" class="w-full h-96"></div>
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</section>
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<!-- Deep Dive Tabs Section -->
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<section x-data="{ tab: 'insight' }">
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<div class="tabs tabs-bordered mb-6">
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<a class="tab tab-lg" :class="{ 'tab-active': tab === 'insight' }" @click.prevent="tab = 'insight'">深度洞察 (Insight)</a>
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<a class="tab tab-lg" :class="{ 'tab-active': tab === 'reports' }" @click.prevent="tab = 'reports'">关键研报与数据</a>
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<a class="tab tab-lg" :class="{ 'tab-active': tab === 'links' }" @click.prevent="tab = 'links'">潜在关联信息</a>
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</div>
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<!-- Insight Content -->
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<div x-show="tab === 'insight'" class="space-y-8">
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<article class="glass-card p-6">
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<h3 class="fui-header text-lg">核心驱动力分析</h3>
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<ol class="list-decimal list-inside space-y-4 text-slate-300">
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<li><strong>政策强制性驱动:</strong> 这是支撑概念成立的最硬逻辑。从2023年到2024年，国家密集出台高级别文件，特别是<strong class="text-cyan-400">“2026年替代率≥30%”</strong>这类量化KPI，为行业提供了确定性增长预期，将企业可选的资本开支转变为必须完成的合规性投入。</li>
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<li><strong>经济效益驱动 (降本增效):</strong> 商业模式闭环清晰。自动驾驶可实现<strong class="text-cyan-400">24小时连续作业</strong>，并减少司机70%的工作量。在人力成本上升和熟练司机短缺的背景下，无人驾驶系统的投入产出比（ROI）极具吸引力。</li>
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<li><strong>安全生产的“一票否决”:</strong> 矿用车辆因视野盲区大、作业环境恶劣，是安全事故高发区。自动驾驶系统能从根本上杜绝人为操作失误，满足矿业安全生产的最高优先级需求。</li>
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</ol>
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</article>
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<article class="glass-card p-6">
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<h3 class="fui-header text-lg">关键催化剂与未来发展路径</h3>
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<div class="grid grid-cols-1 md:grid-cols-2 gap-8">
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<div>
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<h4 class="font-semibold text-sky-300 mb-2">近期催化剂 (未来3-6个月)</h4>
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<ul class="list-disc list-inside space-y-2 text-slate-400 text-sm">
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<li>大型矿企新的<strong class="text-white">百台级招标公告</strong>。</li>
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<li>首个大规模实现<strong class="text-white">“安全员下车”</strong>的标志性项目出现。</li>
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<li><strong class="text-white">井工矿</strong>无人驾驶商业化项目取得突破性进展。</li>
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</ul>
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</div>
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<div>
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<h4 class="font-semibold text-sky-300 mb-2">长期发展路径</h4>
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<ul class="list-disc list-inside space-y-2 text-slate-400 text-sm">
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<li><strong>场景渗透:</strong> 从露天矿向井工矿延伸，从运输环节向全流程协同扩展。</li>
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<li><strong>商业模式演进:</strong> 从设备销售向<strong class="text-white">运输运营服务</strong>和数据增值服务演进。</li>
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<li><strong>技术迭代:</strong> 从单车智能向<strong class="text-white">5G+V2X车路云协同智能</strong>演进。</li>
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<li><strong>市场格局:</strong> <strong class="text-white">“组团出海”</strong>，输出中国技术方案和行业标准。</li>
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</ul>
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</div>
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</div>
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</article>
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<article class="glass-card p-6">
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<h3 class="fui-header text-lg">潜在风险与挑战</h3>
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<ul class="list-disc list-inside space-y-2 text-slate-300">
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<li><strong>技术风险:</strong> 井工矿技术瓶颈（光线、空间、无卫星信号）攻克缓慢；跨场景适应性仍不足。</li>
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<li><strong>商业化风险:</strong> 高昂的初始投入可能影响中小矿山采纳意愿；目前<strong class="text-amber-400">整体渗透率不到3%</strong>，渗透速度可能不及预期。</li>
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<li><strong>竞争风险:</strong> <strong class="text-amber-400">华为</strong>等科技巨头已布局智慧矿山项目，可能对现有玩家形成降维打击。</li>
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<li><strong>信息交叉验证风险:</strong> 公开新闻与深度研报之间存在巨大信息鸿沟，主题尚未形成广泛市场共识，可能导致股价剧烈波动。</li>
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</ul>
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</article>
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</div>
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<!-- Reports Content -->
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<div x-show="tab === 'reports'" class="space-y-6">
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<div class="glass-card p-6">
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<h3 class="fui-header text-lg">政策环境与目标</h3>
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<ul class="list-disc list-inside space-y-2 text-slate-300">
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<li><strong>《关于加快应急机器人发展的指导意见》:</strong> 面向煤矿、非煤矿山等高风险行业，加强机器人研制与应用。</li>
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<li><strong>《5G规模化应用“扬帆”行动升级方案》 (2024年):</strong> 要求推进5G+智能矿山，加快5G远程掘进、远程综采、<strong class="text-cyan-400">无人矿卡</strong>等场景规模推广。</li>
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<li><strong>《关于深入推进矿山智能化建设促进矿山安全发展的指导意见》 (2024年):</strong> 强调无人化运输等技术应用，提出到2026年实现环境智能感知、系统智能联动。</li>
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<li><strong>目标愿景:</strong> 2026年煤矿危险繁重岗位作业智能装备或<strong class="text-cyan-400">机器人替代率≥30%</strong>；2030年实现开采作业少人化、无人化。</li>
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</ul>
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</div>
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<div class="glass-card p-6">
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<h3 class="fui-header text-lg">技术路径与案例</h3>
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<ul class="list-disc list-inside space-y-2 text-slate-300">
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<li><strong>核心技术组成:</strong> 环境感知 (多传感器融合)、路径规划、高精度定位 (北斗/GPS+惯导)、车辆控制 (线控底盘)、车路协同 (V2X)。</li>
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<li><strong>技术标杆应用案例:</strong>
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<ul class="list-['-_'] list-inside ml-4 mt-2 space-y-1 text-slate-400">
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<li><strong>伯镭科技:</strong> L4级自动驾驶全栈方案，优化电动矿卡控制策略。</li>
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<li><strong>华为:</strong> 依托5G+云计算+AI算法优化感知决策。</li>
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<li><strong>易控智驾:</strong> 在国家能源集团锦界煤矿等多个矿区实现无人驾驶常态化运行。</li>
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<li><strong>新疆天池能源南露天矿:</strong> 建成世界最大规模无人驾驶示范基地，实现<strong class="text-white">243台无人驾驶矿用卡车常态化运行</strong>。</li>
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</ul>
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</li>
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<li><strong>技术成熟度:</strong> 露天矿自动驾驶解决方案已趋于成熟，可规模部署；井工矿因环境复杂，技术落地进展较慢。</li>
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</ul>
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</div>
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<div class="glass-card p-6">
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<h3 class="fui-header text-lg">商业模式与市场动态</h3>
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<ul class="list-disc list-inside space-y-2 text-slate-300">
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<li><strong>商业模式:</strong>
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<ul class="list-['-_'] list-inside ml-4 mt-2 space-y-1 text-slate-400">
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<li><strong>技术服务模式:</strong> 前装量产或后装改造。</li>
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<li><strong>运输运营模式:</strong> 成立自动驾驶工程承包商，提供一体化服务。</li>
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</ul>
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</li>
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<li><strong>资本市场动态:</strong> 出现多个<strong class="text-cyan-400">数百台规模</strong>的大额订单，如三一智矿与新疆骏瑞众研签署超500台无人驾驶矿车合作订单。</li>
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</ul>
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</div>
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</div>
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<!-- Potential Links Content -->
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<div x-show="tab === 'links'" class="space-y-6">
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<div class="glass-card p-6 bg-indigo-900/30 border-indigo-500/30">
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<h3 class="fui-header text-lg text-indigo-300 border-indigo-300">技术同源性：机器人与Robotaxi</h3>
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<p class="text-indigo-200 mb-4">
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虽然路演材料未直接提及矿山，但高频出现机器人、Robotaxi和具身智能概念。这些领域与矿山智驾在技术原理、应用场景和供应链上存在高度关联。无人驾驶矿卡本质上是在特定场景下运行的大型作业机器人，其技术栈（感知、决策、控制）与机器人和Robotaxi相通。
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</p>
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<div class="grid grid-cols-1 md:grid-cols-2 gap-4">
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<div class="p-4 border border-indigo-500/50 rounded-2xl">
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<h4 class="font-semibold text-indigo-200">机器人 (Robotics)</h4>
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<p class="text-sm text-indigo-300 mt-2">激光雷达将在智驾与机器人场景中“共振式”放量。地平线、小鹏等公司均将机器人业务视为重要增长点和估值催化剂。</p>
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</div>
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<div class="p-4 border border-indigo-500/50 rounded-2xl">
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<h4 class="font-semibold text-indigo-200">Robotaxi</h4>
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<p class="text-sm text-indigo-300 mt-2">L4 Robotaxi对激光雷达等感知硬件的需求远超乘用车（≥5颗），其商业化运营模式可为矿区无人运输服务提供借鉴。</p>
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</div>
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</div>
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</div>
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<div class="glass-card p-6 bg-purple-900/30 border-purple-500/30">
|
||
<h3 class="fui-header text-lg text-purple-300 border-purple-300">前沿趋势：具身智能 (Embodied AI)</h3>
|
||
<p class="text-purple-200">
|
||
具身智能是结合物理交互与环境感知的AI模型，能够降低车端算力需求，推动“智驾平权”。这一技术趋势利好国产芯片厂商通过优化算法实现算力效率提升，同样适用于对成本敏感且需要高效决策的矿山智驾场景。
|
||
</p>
|
||
</div>
|
||
</div>
|
||
</section>
|
||
|
||
<!-- Stocks Table Section -->
|
||
<section>
|
||
<h2 class="fui-header text-2xl mb-6">核心产业链公司</h2>
|
||
<div class="overflow-x-auto glass-card">
|
||
<table class="table table-zebra w-full text-base">
|
||
<thead>
|
||
<tr>
|
||
<th class="w-1/6">公司名称</th>
|
||
<th class="w-1/6">核心逻辑</th>
|
||
<th class="w-2/6">关联原因</th>
|
||
<th class="w-1/6">其他标签</th>
|
||
</tr>
|
||
</thead>
|
||
<tbody>
|
||
<tr>
|
||
<td>
|
||
<div class="font-bold">同力股份</div>
|
||
<div class="text-sm opacity-70"><a href="https://valuefrontier.cn/company?scode=920599" target="_blank" class="link link-hover text-cyan-400">920599.BJ</a></div>
|
||
</td>
|
||
<td class="font-semibold text-green-400">行业领导者 & 逻辑最纯</td>
|
||
<td class="whitespace-normal">无人驾驶车型已经规模化生产，截至2024年交付700多台；易控智驾采购公司联合研发的大型化新能源无人驾驶产品，下游客户全是国内大型露天煤矿业主。</td>
|
||
<td><span class="badge badge-accent badge-outline">无人矿卡</span></td>
|
||
</tr>
|
||
<tr>
|
||
<td>
|
||
<div class="font-bold">宇通重工</div>
|
||
<div class="text-sm opacity-70"><a href="https://valuefrontier.cn/company?scode=600817" target="_blank" class="link link-hover text-cyan-400">600817.SH</a></div>
|
||
</td>
|
||
<td class="font-semibold text-green-400">有力追赶者 & 方案集成</td>
|
||
<td class="whitespace-normal">公司与主流无人驾驶科技公司联合打造矿山无人驾驶运营方案，目前已在内蒙古鄂尔多斯、安徽芜湖、山西阳泉等多地实现常态化无人运营。</td>
|
||
<td><span class="badge badge-accent badge-outline">无人矿卡</span></td>
|
||
</tr>
|
||
<tr>
|
||
<td>
|
||
<div class="font-bold">宝通科技</div>
|
||
<div class="text-sm opacity-70"><a href="https://valuefrontier.cn/company?scode=300031" target="_blank" class="link link-hover text-cyan-400">300031.SZ</a></div>
|
||
</td>
|
||
<td class="font-semibold text-sky-400">技术方案核心</td>
|
||
<td class="whitespace-normal">通过持股7.49%的踏歌智行，间接布局矿用车无人驾驶技术、产品研发和无人矿山整体工程化设计及实施。</td>
|
||
<td><span class="badge badge-info badge-outline">无人驾驶技术</span></td>
|
||
</tr>
|
||
<tr>
|
||
<td>
|
||
<div class="font-bold">科达自控</div>
|
||
<div class="text-sm opacity-70"><a href="https://valuefrontier.cn/company?scode=920932" target="_blank" class="link link-hover text-cyan-400">920932.BJ</a></div>
|
||
</td>
|
||
<td class="font-semibold text-purple-400">差异化竞争 & 蓝海市场</td>
|
||
<td class="whitespace-normal">专注于井工矿场景，开发5G通讯、定位、调度等无人驾驶基础技术。已实现L1级辅助驾驶，后续逐步升级，卡位未来最具挑战和潜力的细分市场。</td>
|
||
<td><span class="badge badge-secondary badge-outline">井工矿</span></td>
|
||
</tr>
|
||
<tr>
|
||
<td>
|
||
<div class="font-bold">北方股份</div>
|
||
<div class="text-sm opacity-70"><a href="https://valuefrontier.cn/company?scode=600262" target="_blank" class="link link-hover text-cyan-400">600262.SH</a></div>
|
||
</td>
|
||
<td>传统矿机龙头</td>
|
||
<td class="whitespace-normal">无人驾驶矿车项目小批量落地。</td>
|
||
<td><span class="badge badge-accent badge-outline">无人矿卡</span></td>
|
||
</tr>
|
||
<tr>
|
||
<td>
|
||
<div class="font-bold">山推股份</div>
|
||
<div class="text-sm opacity-70"><a href="https://valuefrontier.cn/company?scode=000680" target="_blank" class="link link-hover text-cyan-400">000680.SZ</a></div>
|
||
</td>
|
||
<td>工程机械延伸</td>
|
||
<td class="whitespace-normal">布局智慧矿山业务，已开发出基于5G遥控的无人驾驶推土机并推向市场。</td>
|
||
<td><span class="badge badge-warning badge-outline">无人推土机</span></td>
|
||
</tr>
|
||
<tr>
|
||
<td>
|
||
<div class="font-bold">梅安森</div>
|
||
<div class="text-sm opacity-70"><a href="https://valuefrontier.cn/company?scode=300275" target="_blank" class="link link-hover text-cyan-400">300275.SZ</a></div>
|
||
</td>
|
||
<td>核心技术-定位</td>
|
||
<td class="whitespace-normal">基于UWB技术研发精确定位产品，已应用于矿山井下车辆智能驾驶及导航场景。</td>
|
||
<td><span class="badge badge-info badge-outline">UWB定位</span></td>
|
||
</tr>
|
||
<tr>
|
||
<td>
|
||
<div class="font-bold">尤洛卡</div>
|
||
<div class="text-sm opacity-70"><a href="https://valuefrontier.cn/company?scode=300099" target="_blank" class="link link-hover text-cyan-400">300099.SZ</a></div>
|
||
</td>
|
||
<td>细分场景应用</td>
|
||
<td class="whitespace-normal">公司的无人驾驶技术主要应用于煤矿智能单轨吊产品中。</td>
|
||
<td><span class="badge badge-info badge-outline">无人驾驶技术</span></td>
|
||
</tr>
|
||
<tr>
|
||
<td>
|
||
<div class="font-bold">四川金顶</div>
|
||
<div class="text-sm opacity-70"><a href="https://valuefrontier.cn/company?scode=600678" target="_blank" class="link link-hover text-cyan-400">600678.SH</a></div>
|
||
</td>
|
||
<td>自有矿山测试</td>
|
||
<td class="whitespace-normal">控股子公司四川开物信息的无人驾驶矿卡在公司自有矿山开展测试，后续将推动技术迭代升级。</td>
|
||
<td><span class="badge badge-accent badge-outline">无人矿卡</span></td>
|
||
</tr>
|
||
</tbody>
|
||
</table>
|
||
</div>
|
||
</section>
|
||
</main>
|
||
|
||
<footer class="text-center mt-16 text-xs text-slate-600">
|
||
<p>本报告为AI合成数据，投资需谨慎。</p>
|
||
<p>© 2024 北京价值前沿科技有限公司. All Rights Reserved.</p>
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