447 lines
28 KiB
HTML
447 lines
28 KiB
HTML
<!DOCTYPE html>
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<html lang="zh-CN" data-theme="night">
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<meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1.0">
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<title>深度投研：韦神概念股</title>
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<div class="max-w-7xl mx-auto">
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<!-- Header -->
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<header class="text-center py-8 mb-8">
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<h1 class="text-4xl md:text-5xl font-bold text-white tracking-wider">
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<span class="bg-clip-text text-transparent bg-gradient-to-r from-blue-400 to-purple-400">
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深度投研：韦神概念股
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</span>
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</h1>
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<p class="mt-4 text-lg text-gray-400">一份由Meme、情绪与产业趋势交织的深度剖析</p>
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</header>
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<!-- Main Content -->
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<main class="bento-grid">
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<!-- Insight: 核心观点 -->
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<section class="glass-card p-6 md:p-8 grid-span-8">
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<h2 class="section-title">核心观点摘要</h2>
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<div class="space-y-4 text-gray-300">
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<p>“韦神概念股”本质上是一个由<strong class="text-blue-300">网络Meme驱动、缺乏统一内核的投机性主题</strong>，其核心驱动力在于市场情绪的联想与发酵，而非坚实的产业逻辑。</p>
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<p>目前，该概念正处于<strong class="text-purple-300">从纯粹情绪炒作向硬核科技概念附会的转型阶段</strong>。其未来潜力完全取决于能否成功“寄生”于AI、Web3等真实的技术变革浪潮，并筛选出真正具备“天才级”技术壁垒的核心资产。</p>
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<p>投资该概念的本质，是在伪逻辑的废墟中寻找真金。最具投资价值的方向在于<strong class="text-teal-300">“伪概念下的真龙头”（如韦尔股份）</strong>与<strong class="text-indigo-300">“机构定义的未来赛道”（如四方精创）</strong>。</p>
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</div>
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</section>
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<!-- ECharts: 核心玩家对比 -->
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<section class="glass-card p-6 md:p-8 grid-span-4">
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<h2 class="section-title">核心玩家竞争力雷达</h2>
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<div id="echarts-radar" class="w-full h-80"></div>
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</section>
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<!-- Insight: 概念演化路径 -->
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<section class="glass-card p-6 md:p-8 grid-span-12">
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<h2 class="section-title">概念形成与演化路径</h2>
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<div class="relative">
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<div class="timeline-item">
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<div class="timeline-marker"></div>
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<h3 class="text-lg font-semibold text-white mb-2">第一阶段：Meme发酵与无厘头联想 (情绪驱动)</h3>
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<p class="text-gray-400 mb-2">依据“韦神”个人事迹、生活习惯（馒头 -> 巴比食品）、姓名谐音（韦 -> 韦尔股份）进行的发散式、非理性炒作。</p>
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<div class="badge badge-outline border-red-400/50 text-red-300">高风险 / 纯情绪</div>
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</div>
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<div class="timeline-item">
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<div class="timeline-marker"></div>
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<h3 class="text-lg font-semibold text-white mb-2">第二阶段：向科技前沿概念的“强行关联” (题材驱动)</h3>
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<p class="text-gray-400 mb-2">市场将“顶尖智慧”符号与AI、区块链等高阶算法领域捆绑，试图为概念注入科技内涵。如数学天才 -> AI大模型 -> 豆神教育（智谱AI）。</p>
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<div class="badge badge-outline border-yellow-400/50 text-yellow-300">题材炒作 / 逻辑附会</div>
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</div>
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<div class="timeline-item">
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<div class="timeline-marker"></div>
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<h3 class="text-lg font-semibold text-white mb-2">第三阶段：机构话语权介入与概念“正规化”尝试 (研报定义)</h3>
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<p class="text-gray-400 mb-2">部分研报（如2025.6.10）首次将概念明确定义为“Web3/区块链领军企业”，并聚焦香港稳定币试点，将概念引向有产业政策支撑的赛道，核心标的转向四方精创、连连数字等。</p>
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<div class="badge badge-outline border-green-400/50 text-green-300">价值发现 / 逻辑收敛</div>
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</div>
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</div>
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</section>
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<!-- 核心矛盾与预期差 -->
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<section class="glass-card p-6 md:p-8 grid-span-6">
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<h2 class="section-title">核心矛盾与预期差</h2>
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<div class="space-y-4">
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<div>
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<h4 class="font-semibold text-blue-300">Meme与基本面的预期差</h4>
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<p class="text-gray-400">市场因“韦神爱吃馒头”关注巴比食品，但公司基本面驱动力是门店扩张与供应链，与Meme逻辑存在100%的预期差。</p>
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</div>
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<div>
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<h4 class="font-semibold text-purple-300">宏大叙事与实际进展的预期差</h4>
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<p class="text-gray-400">研报将韦尔股份与AI强关联，但公司路演更务实地落在“摄像头性能是AI算力的基础”；舒泰神新药获受理引发市场狂热，但公司公告明确提示“能否获批尚存诸多不确定”。</p>
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</div>
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<div>
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<h4 class="font-semibold text-teal-300">被忽略的关键点</h4>
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<p class="text-gray-400">市场热衷“韦”字谐音梗，却可能忽略了<strong class="text-white">韦尔股份拟更名“豪威集团”</strong>的重大战略信号——这是其从A股认知向全球半导体巨头身份转变的标志，意义远超短期炒作。</p>
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</div>
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</div>
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</section>
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<!-- 催化剂与发展路径 -->
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<section class="glass-card p-6 md:p-8 grid-span-6">
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<h2 class="section-title">催化剂与未来发展路径</h2>
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<div x-data="{ tab: 'catalyst' }" class="w-full">
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<div class="tabs tabs-boxed bg-black/20 mb-4">
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<a class="tab" :class="{ 'tab-active bg-blue-500/30': tab === 'catalyst' }" @click.prevent="tab = 'catalyst'">近期催化剂</a>
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<a class="tab" :class="{ 'tab-active bg-blue-500/30': tab === 'path' }" @click.prevent="tab = 'path'">长期发展路径</a>
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</div>
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<div x-show="tab === 'catalyst'" class="space-y-3">
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<p><strong class="text-white">AI领域：</strong>国内大模型新版本发布或技术突破，利好豆神教育等。</p>
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<p><strong class="text-white">Web3领域：</strong>香港稳定币监管条例落地或牌照发放，利好四方精创、连连数字。</p>
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<p><strong class="text-white">公司个体：</strong>舒泰神新药获批、韦尔股份订单超预期、神开股份获重大项目。</p>
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</div>
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<div x-show="tab === 'path'" class="space-y-3">
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<p><strong class="text-white">概念消亡：</strong>情绪冷却，无厘头联想被遗忘。</p>
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<p><strong class="text-white">概念分化与收敛：</strong>市场自动筛选，概念收敛至具备高技术壁垒的赛道。最终市场认可的是“半导体龙头”韦尔股份，而非“韦神概念股”。</p>
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<p class="text-gray-400">长期看，概念将经历<strong class="text-teal-300">“去Meme化”</strong>和<strong class="text-indigo-300">“价值回归”</strong>的过程。</p>
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</div>
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</div>
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</section>
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<!-- 关键信息交叉验证 -->
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<section class="glass-card p-6 md:p-8 grid-span-12">
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<h2 class="section-title">关键信息交叉验证 (新闻 / 路演 / 研报)</h2>
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<div x-data="{ activeTab: 'roadshow' }" class="w-full">
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<div class="tabs tabs-boxed bg-black/20 mb-4">
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<a class="tab" :class="{ 'tab-active bg-purple-500/30': activeTab === 'roadshow' }" @click="activeTab = 'roadshow'">路演纪要</a>
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<a class="tab" :class="{ 'tab-active bg-purple-500/30': activeTab === 'news' }" @click="activeTab = 'news'">新闻数据</a>
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<a class="tab" :class="{ 'tab-active bg-purple-500/30': activeTab === 'report' }" @click="activeTab = 'report'">研报观点</a>
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</div>
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<div x-show="activeTab === 'roadshow'" class="prose prose-invert max-w-none prose-p:text-gray-300 prose-strong:text-white">
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<h4>韦尔股份：唯一高度符合“韦神概念股”硬核内涵的公司</h4>
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<ul>
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<li><strong>技术壁垒与自研：</strong>强调“自研Stack工艺、BSI等<strong class='text-blue-300'>核心技术</strong>”，以“<strong class='text-blue-300'>技术代差</strong>”为核心，目标成为汽车CIS领域“<strong class='text-blue-300'>绝对垄断者</strong>”。</li>
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<li><strong>高研发投入：</strong>2025年研发费用率维持15%以上，摄像头团队扩招20%-30%。</li>
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<li><strong>前沿布局：</strong>明确布局AI手机影像、AR/VR（LCOS、MicroLED），在低功耗、小像素技术上具备先发优势。</li>
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</ul>
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<h4>其他公司</h4>
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<ul>
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<li><strong>神火股份/唐人神：</strong>路演核心围绕煤炭/铝价周期与生猪养殖成本，与高科技研发无关。</li>
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</ul>
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<p class="text-sm text-gray-500 mt-4">结论：路演数据强力验证了韦尔股份的技术内核，与其他被关联公司形成鲜明对比，是“伪概念下的真龙头”的核心证据。</p>
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</div>
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<div x-show="activeTab === 'news'" class="prose prose-invert max-w-none prose-p:text-gray-300 prose-strong:text-white">
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<h4>直接相关公司动态</h4>
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<ul>
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<li><strong>韦尔股份(603501):</strong> 业绩预告强劲 (预计净利 YoY+515~570%)，高盛看好其安卓市场份额增加，新品50K50DH抢占索尼份额，并拟更名为“豪威集团”。</li>
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<li><strong>豆神教育(300010):</strong> 股价因“智谱AI概念”多次大涨，并与腾讯云签署战略合作，强力绑定AI+教育叙事。</li>
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<li><strong>舒泰神(300204):</strong> 创新药STSP-0601上市申请获受理，引发市场热炒，但公司提示不确定性风险。</li>
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<li><strong>神开股份(002278):</strong> 股价因深海科技、商业航天等概念反复活跃，波动剧烈，是典型的多题材叠加股。</li>
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</ul>
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<p class="text-sm text-gray-500 mt-4">结论：新闻数据印证了各核心标的的市场热点驱动因素，韦尔股份由业绩驱动，豆神教育由AI概念驱动，舒泰神由新药预期驱动，神开股份由题材轮动驱动。</p>
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</div>
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<div x-show="activeTab === 'report'" class="prose prose-invert max-w-none prose-p:text-gray-300 prose-strong:text-white">
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<h4>“韦神概念股”定义演变</h4>
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<ul>
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<li><strong>早期 (2024.01-03):</strong> 研报未直接提及，但市场热度开始指向<strong class='text-yellow-300'>多模态AI</strong>、<strong class='text-yellow-300'>区块链</strong>等潜在方向。</li>
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<li><strong>中期 (2025.02):</strong> 研报核心主题为“<strong class='text-yellow-300'>AI概念股</strong>”，点名Palantir、辉达(NVIDIA)、万国数据等。</li>
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<li><strong>近期 (2025.06.10):</strong> 出现关键性研报，首次将“韦神概念股”明确定义为“<strong class='text-green-300'>Web3/区块链领域领军企业</strong>”，聚焦香港稳定币生态。
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<ul>
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<li><strong>核心标的:</strong> 渣打集团 (2888.HK), 连连数字 (2598.HK), <strong class='text-green-300'>四方精创 (300468.SZ)</strong>, 京东集团-SW (09618.HK)。</li>
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</ul>
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</li>
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</ul>
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<p class="text-sm text-gray-500 mt-4">结论：研报数据揭示了机构试图将这一Meme概念“收编”并引导至有实质产业逻辑（AI、Web3）赛道的清晰路径。</p>
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</div>
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</div>
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</section>
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<!-- 涨幅异动分析 -->
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<section class="glass-card p-6 md:p-8 grid-span-12">
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<h2 class="section-title">涨幅异动深度分析</h2>
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<input type="checkbox" @click="expanded = !expanded" />
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<div class="collapse-title text-xl font-medium">
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神火股份 (000933) <span class="text-green-400 ml-2">+7.25%</span><span class="text-sm text-gray-400 ml-2">(2025-07-22)</span>
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</div>
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<div class="collapse-content">
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<p><strong>核心驱动：</strong>设立15.12亿产业基金 + 全资控股神火新材的双重公告利好。</p>
|
||
<p><strong>行业共振：</strong>煤炭业务迎拐点，电解铝因云南丰水期电价下降利润走阔，有色板块整体强势。</p>
|
||
<p><strong>机构观点：</strong>国盛证券等研报认为公司价值重估，PE仅7.4倍，估值处于低位。</p>
|
||
</div>
|
||
</div>
|
||
<div x-data="{ expanded: false }" class="collapse collapse-plus bg-base-200/20 rounded-xl">
|
||
<input type="checkbox" @click="expanded = !expanded" />
|
||
<div class="collapse-title text-xl font-medium">
|
||
舒泰神 (300204) <span class="text-green-400 ml-2">+8.18%</span><span class="text-sm text-gray-400 ml-2">(2025-07-21)</span>
|
||
</div>
|
||
<div class="collapse-content">
|
||
<p><strong>核心驱动：</strong>国家医保局召开支持创新药座谈会，政策利好引爆创新药板块整体走强。</p>
|
||
<p><strong>公司基本面：</strong>市场对公司研发管线（STSP-0601、001ANCA）有积极上市预期。</p>
|
||
<p><strong>风险提示：</strong>上涨缺乏公司自身实质性利好公告，次日即大幅回调，显示短期情绪驱动特征。</p>
|
||
</div>
|
||
</div>
|
||
<div x-data="{ expanded: false }" class="collapse collapse-plus bg-base-200/20 rounded-xl">
|
||
<input type="checkbox" @click="expanded = !expanded" />
|
||
<div class="collapse-title text-xl font-medium">
|
||
陇神戎发 (300534) <span class="text-green-400 ml-2">+7.18%</span><span class="text-sm text-gray-400 ml-2">(2025-08-04)</span>
|
||
</div>
|
||
<div class="collapse-content">
|
||
<p><strong>核心驱动：</strong>创新药与中药板块双重带动效应。</p>
|
||
<p><strong>内在价值：</strong>子公司经营范围大幅扩大（新增医疗器械、食品销售等），新药“布瑞哌唑口溶膜”临床试验持续推进，市场前景广阔。</p>
|
||
<p><strong>市场情绪：</strong>存在估值修复预期，资金介入明显。</p>
|
||
</div>
|
||
</div>
|
||
</div>
|
||
</section>
|
||
|
||
<!-- 股票列表 -->
|
||
<section class="glass-card p-6 md:p-8 grid-span-12">
|
||
<h2 class="section-title">“韦神概念股”关联股票池</h2>
|
||
<p class="mb-6 text-gray-400">注意：下表中的关联逻辑多源于市场联想与Meme传播，与公司实际基本面可能存在巨大差异，仅作为市场情绪观察的参考。</p>
|
||
<div class="overflow-x-auto">
|
||
<table class="table table-zebra w-full">
|
||
<thead>
|
||
<tr>
|
||
<th>股票名称</th>
|
||
<th>代码</th>
|
||
<th>关联逻辑 / 原因</th>
|
||
<th>分类标签</th>
|
||
</tr>
|
||
</thead>
|
||
<tbody>
|
||
<tr><td>豆神教育</td><td><a href="https://valuefrontier.cn/company?scode=300010" target="_blank" class="link link-hover text-blue-400">300010</a></td><td>打造基于教育场景的AI硬件，与智谱AI合作。数学天才 -> AI+教育。</td><td><div class="badge tag-badge">文化教育</div></td></tr>
|
||
<tr><td>世纪天鸿</td><td><a href="https://valuefrontier.cn/company?scode=300654" target="_blank" class="link link-hover text-blue-400">300654</a></td><td>教辅内容提供商，探索AI+教育产品作为第二增长曲线。</td><td><div class="badge tag-badge">文化教育</div></td></tr>
|
||
<tr><td>昂立教育</td><td><a href="https://valuefrontier.cn/company?scode=600661" target="_blank" class="link link-hover text-blue-400">600661</a></td><td>关注数学产品投入，奥数业务有天然政策风险。</td><td><div class="badge tag-badge">文化教育</div></td></tr>
|
||
<tr><td>爱迪特</td><td><a href="https://valuefrontier.cn/company?scode=301580" target="_blank" class="link link-hover text-blue-400">301580</a></td><td>北大口腔医院合作伙伴，假设韦神在该院补牙。</td><td><div class="badge tag-badge">牙科医疗</div></td></tr>
|
||
<tr><td>巴比食品</td><td><a href="https://valuefrontier.cn/company?scode=605338" target="_blank" class="link link-hover text-blue-400">605338</a></td><td>韦神钟爱馒头，公司是知名中式面点连锁企业。</td><td><div class="badge tag-badge">生活习惯</div></td></tr>
|
||
<tr><td>韦尔股份</td><td>603501</td><td>公司名称含“韦”或同音字。</td><td><div class="badge tag-badge">“韦”字辈</div></td></tr>
|
||
<tr><td>北纬科技</td><td><a href="https://valuefrontier.cn/company?scode=002148" target="_blank" class="link link-hover text-blue-400">002148</a></td><td>公司名称含“韦”或同音字。</td><td><div class="badge tag-badge">“韦”字辈</div></td></tr>
|
||
<tr><td>奕东电子</td><td><a href="https://valuefrontier.cn/company?scode=301123" target="_blank" class="link link-hover text-blue-400">301123</a></td><td>公司名称与“东奕”“东易”相似。</td><td><div class="badge tag-badge">谐音梗</div></td></tr>
|
||
<tr><td>*ST东易</td><td><a href="https://valuefrontier.cn/company?scode=002713" target="_blank" class="link link-hover text-blue-400">002713</a></td><td>公司名称与“东奕”“东易”相似。</td><td><div class="badge tag-badge">谐音梗</div></td></tr>
|
||
<!-- Add other stocks similarly -->
|
||
</tbody>
|
||
</table>
|
||
</div>
|
||
</section>
|
||
</main>
|
||
|
||
<!-- Footer -->
|
||
<footer class="text-center py-8 mt-8">
|
||
<p class="text-sm text-gray-500">由 北京价值前沿科技有限公司 AI投研agent：“价小前投研” 进行投研呈现。</p>
|
||
<p class="text-xs text-gray-600 mt-2">免责声明：本报告为AI合成数据，所有内容仅供参考，不构成任何投资建议，投资需谨慎。</p>
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